Florida Panthers

Florida Panthers

May 5, 2025

Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Game 1 Prediction – 5/5/2025

The 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs continue tonight as the Florida Panthers face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 1 of their second-round series at Scotiabank Arena. Both teams are coming off impressive first-round victories, setting the stage for a compelling matchup between two Atlantic Division rivals. The Panthers dispatched the Tampa Bay Lightning in five games, while the Maple Leafs overcame the Ottawa Senators in six. With momentum on their side, each team aims to gain an early advantage in this best-of-seven series.

Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Game 1 Preview

The Florida Panthers enter this series with confidence after a dominant performance against the Lightning. In their first-round series, the Panthers showcased their offensive depth and physicality, outscoring Tampa Bay 19-12 over five games. Key contributors included Matthew Tkachuk, who tallied multiple points, and goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky was solid between the pipes, providing stability and experience.

On the other side, the Toronto Maple Leafs demonstrated resilience in their series against the Senators. Despite facing challenges, the Leafs managed to secure the series in six games. Rookie Matthew Knies made a notable impact, scoring his first playoff goal. However, Toronto's will lean on its top offensive players, including Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, William Nylander, and John Tavares, who will need to produce for the Leafs to set the tone against the defending champions.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs will rely on goaltender Anthony Stolarz, who has been reliable throughout the season. The Panthers, known for their aggressive forechecking and physical play, will look to exploit any defensive lapses by Toronto. Special teams could play a crucial role, with the Maple Leafs boasting a strong power play unit, while the Panthers aim to capitalize on any opportunities with their own man advantage.

Betting Insights

  • Moneyline: Maple Leafs +105, Panthers -125
  • Over/Under: 5.5 goals

Given these trends, bettors might consider the under on total goals, especially considering the recent low-scoring games between these teams. Additionally, Florida's strong road performance suggests they could cover the puck line as favorites.

Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Game 1 Prediction

This matchup promises to be tightly contested, with both teams bringing unique strengths to the ice. The Panthers' physicality and depth scoring could pose challenges for the Maple Leafs, especially if Toronto's top players continue to struggle offensively. However, playing at home provides the Leafs with a significant advantage, and their power play could be a deciding factor if they capitalize on opportunities.

Considering the Panthers' recent road success and the Maple Leafs' home dominance, Game 1 could go either way. However, the key may lie in special teams performance and goaltending. If Toronto's stars can find their scoring touch and Stolarz maintains his form, the Maple Leafs have a strong chance to take the series opener.

Prediction: Maple Leafs 3, Panthers 2

Best Bet: Under 5.5 Total Goals

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-125
68% FLA
+105
32% TOR

Total Pick Consensus

5.5/-118
15% UN
5.5/-102
85% OV

Puckline Pick Consensus

-1.5/+205
28% FLA
+1.5/-250
72% TOR

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Goalies
  • Recent Starts
FLA
Team Stats
TOR
246
Goals For
267
223
Goals Agst
229
2.9
PP For GM
2.66
.68
PP Goals GM
.66
23.53
PP%
24.77
2.98
PP Agst GM
2.87
.57
PP Agst Goals GM
.63
80.74
PK%
77.87
10.4
PIM GM
8.0
9.5
oPIM GM
7.5
FLA
Team Records
TOR
47-31-4
Overall
52-26-4
6-0
Shootout
1-2
4-4
Overtime
10-2
27-12-2
Home
27-13-1
20-19-2
Road
25-13-3
26-21-3
EAS
33-16-1
21-10-1
WES
19-10-3
12-12-2
ATL
17-8-1
14-9-1
MET
16-8-0
11-5-0
CEN
8-7-1
10-5-1
PAC
11-3-2
17-6-4
≤1
22-4-4
21-17-0
≥3
18-16-0
7-3-1
Oct
6-4-1
8-6-0
Nov
8-3-1
8-4-1
Dec
9-6-0
7-6-1
Jan
7-6-0
6-2-0
Feb
7-1-0
8-5-0
Mar
8-5-2
3-5-1
Apr
7-1-0
S. Bobrovsky
A. Stolarz
9
GP
8
9
GS
8
6-2-1
W-L-T/O
4-2-2
27
Goals Allowed
19
3.08
GAA
2.38
249
Shots Against
235
.892
SV%
.919
0
SO
0
4
Quality Starts
6
.444
QS%
.750
1
Bad Starts
1
106
Goals All.%
79
-1.63
Goals Sv Above Avg
4.94

S. Bobrovsky

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
5/3/22 WAS
Vanecek N/A
L2-4 N/A
3
37
34
.919
4/26/22 BOS
Ullmark N/A
L2-4 N/A
3
37
34
.919
4/24/22 TB
Vasilevskiy N/A
L4-8 N/A
5
17
12
.706
4/23/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
W3-2 N/A
2
36
34
.944
4/21/22 DET
Nedeljkovic N/A
W5-2 N/A
2
30
28
.933

A. Stolarz

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
4/29/22 DAL
Oettinger N/A
L2-4 N/A
0
5
5
1.000
4/26/22 SJ
Kahkonen N/A
W5-2 N/A
2
33
31
.939
4/23/22 LA
Quick N/A
L2-4 N/A
3
39
36
.923
4/14/22 TB
Elliott N/A
L3-4 N/A
4
31
27
.871
4/9/22 PHI
Jones N/A
W5-3 N/A
3
33
30
.909

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • PuckLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
FLA TOR
FLA TOR
Consensus
-127
+105
-126
+107
-125
+105
-130
+105
-122
+102
-126
+105
Open
Current
Book
FLA TOR
FLA TOR
Consensus
-1.5 (+197)
+1.5 (-247)
-1.5 (+200)
+1.5 (-248)
-1.5 (+210)
+1.5 (-258)
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-260)
-1.5 (+198)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+195)
+1.5 (-245)
-1.5 (+195)
+1.5 (-245)
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+196)
+1.5 (-240)
-1.5 (+200)
+1.5 (-250)
-1.5 (+200)
+1.5 (-250)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
5.5 (-106)
5.5 (-115)
5.5 (-103)
5.5 (-118)
5.5 (+100)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (-102)
5.5 (-118)
5.5 (-102)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (-102)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (-108)
5.5 (-113)
5.5 (-105)
5.5 (-117)
5.5 (+100)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (+100)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (+100)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (+100)
5.5 (-120)

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