Florida Panthers

Florida Panthers

Apr 30, 2025

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
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Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Game 5 Prediction – 4/30/2025

With the Florida Panthers holding a 3-1 series lead over the Tampa Bay Lightning, Game 5 on Wednesday, April 30, 2025, at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida, presents a critical juncture. The Panthers aim to advance to the second round, while the Lightning strive to extend the series and return to Tampa for Game 6. The puck drops at 7:00 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on ESPN.

Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game Preview

The Panthers won Game 4 of this series by a score of 4-2 to move within one game of advancing to the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Florida trailed 2-1 going into the third period of that game before scoring three unanswered goals in the final period to secure the win. The defending Stanley Cup champions can advance to face the winner of the Senators vs Maple Leafs series with a victory here and they will look to use their home-ice advantage to get the job done tonight.

The Tampa Bay Lightning went 0-2 at home in the first two games of this best-of-seven series. While they picked up a win on the Panthers' home rink to move to within 2-1, they were unable to sustain that momentum in Game 4. Now the Lightning have to win three straight games to avoid elimination, starting with this game at home. For that to happen, the Lightning need to be more solid defensively after allowing four or more goals in half of the games in this series.

Betting Insights

  • Moneyline: Panthers -105, Lightning -115
  • Puck Line: Panthers +1.5 (-300), Lightning +1.5 (+210)
  • Over/Under: 5.5 goals (Over -110, Under -110)

Despite the Lightning being at home, this game is basically a pick 'em. That is a product of the Lightning struggling to protect their home ice in this series, along with the championship experience of Florida.

Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game 5 Prediction

Considering the Panthers' strong road performance and the Lightning's struggles at home in this series, Florida appears poised to clinch the series in Game 5. The Panthers' offensive depth, combined with their effective special teams, gives them the edge.

  1. Pick: Florida Panthers Moneyline (-105)
  2. Lean: Over 5.5 Goals (-110)

In summary, the Panthers are well-positioned to close out the series, but bettors should consider the potential for a high-scoring game and a close final margin.

Be sure to check out all our free NHL picks here.

Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-105
38% FLA
-115
62% TB

Total Pick Consensus

5.5/-108
19% UN
5.5/-112
81% OV

Puckline Pick Consensus

+1.5/-270
0% FLA
-1.5/+220
0% TB

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Goalies
  • Recent Starts
FLA
Team Stats
TB
246
Goals For
292
223
Goals Agst
216
2.9
PP For GM
2.83
.68
PP Goals GM
.73
23.53
PP%
25.86
2.98
PP Agst GM
2.51
.57
PP Agst Goals GM
.46
80.74
PK%
81.55
10.4
PIM GM
8.1
9.5
oPIM GM
9.3
FLA
Team Records
TB
47-31-4
Overall
47-27-8
6-0
Shootout
2-3
4-4
Overtime
4-5
27-12-2
Home
29-8-4
20-19-2
Road
18-19-4
26-21-3
EAS
27-15-8
21-10-1
WES
20-12-0
12-12-2
ATL
11-12-3
14-9-1
MET
16-3-5
11-5-0
CEN
9-7-0
10-5-1
PAC
11-5-0
17-6-4
≤1
10-9-8
21-17-0
≥3
30-9-0
7-3-1
Oct
7-3-0
8-6-0
Nov
5-6-2
8-4-1
Dec
8-3-0
7-6-1
Jan
7-8-1
6-2-0
Feb
7-0-1
8-5-0
Mar
9-5-1
3-5-1
Apr
4-2-3
S. Bobrovsky
A. Vasilevskiy
9
GP
10
9
GS
10
6-2-1
W-L-T/O
6-4-0
27
Goals Allowed
24
3.08
GAA
2.54
249
Shots Against
256
.892
SV%
.906
0
SO
1
4
Quality Starts
5
.444
QS%
.500
1
Bad Starts
3
106
Goals All.%
92
-1.63
Goals Sv Above Avg
2.08

S. Bobrovsky

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
5/3/22 WAS
Vanecek N/A
L2-4 N/A
3
37
34
.919
4/26/22 BOS
Ullmark N/A
L2-4 N/A
3
37
34
.919
4/24/22 TB
Vasilevskiy N/A
L4-8 N/A
5
17
12
.706
4/23/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
W3-2 N/A
2
36
34
.944
4/21/22 DET
Nedeljkovic N/A
W5-2 N/A
2
30
28
.933

A. Vasilevskiy

Date
Opp
W/L
GA
SA
SV
SV%
5/4/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
W5-3 N/A
3
34
31
.912
5/2/22 TOR
Campbell N/A
L0-5 N/A
5
32
27
.844
4/29/22 NYI
Sorokin N/A
W6-4 N/A
4
37
33
.892
4/26/22 CBJ
Merzlikins N/A
W4-1 N/A
1
21
20
.952
4/24/22 FLA
Bobrovsky N/A
W8-4 N/A
4
39
35
.897

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • PuckLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
FLA TB
FLA TB
Consensus
+105
-125
-106
-112
+105
-125
-105
-115
-110
-110
-105
-114
Open
Current
Book
FLA TB
FLA TB
Consensus
+1.5 (-280)
-1.5 (+200)
+1.5 (-280)
-1.5 (+223)
+1.5 (-270)
-1.5 (+200)
+1.5 (-270)
-1.5 (+220)
+1.5 (-290)
-1.5 (+225)
+1.5 (-290)
-1.5 (+225)
+1.5 (-286)
-1.5 (+225)
+1.5 (-286)
-1.5 (+225)
+1.5 (-267)
-1.5 (+205)
+1.5 (-267)
-1.5 (+215)
+1.5 (-275)
-1.5 (+200)
+1.5 (-275)
-1.5 (+220)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
5.5 (-125)
5.5 (+105)
5.5 (-109)
5.5 (-110)
5.5 (-125)
5.5 (+105)
5.5 (-112)
5.5 (-108)
5.5 (-110)
5.5 (-110)
5.5 (-105)
5.5 (-115)
5.5 (-112)
5.5 (-109)
5.5 (-110)
5.5 (-110)
5.5 (-120)
5.5 (+100)
5.5 (-110)
5.5 (-110)
6.0 (+100)
6.0 (-120)
5.5 (-110)
5.5 (-110)

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Home NHL Picks Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Game 5 Prediction – 4/30/2025