San Francisco 49ers
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San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers Pick & Prediction – 11/24/2024
49ers vs Packers Betting Odds
Spread: | San Francisco 49ers 2.5, Green Bay Packers -2.5 |
Over/Under: | 47.5 |
Moneyline: | San Francisco 49ers 120, Green Bay Packers -140 |
San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
San Francisco 49ers - 44% | San Francisco 49ers - 54% |
Green Bay Packers - 56% | Green Bay Packers - 46% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
Brock Purdy and the San Francisco 49ers faceoff against Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers. The Packers enter the game as a favorite (-140) as the home team. Green Bay is currently favored by -2.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 47.5.
Green Bay's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #6 in the NFL at 362 yards per game. The quality of their passing attack has led to much of their success. The Packers 246 yards per game through the air ranks #10-best in football this year. They haven’t made things easy for opposing defense given they they've also positioned themselves in the top 10 on the ground as well, rushing for 4.58 yards per carry. It's easy to see why they've done so well through the air when you notice the quality of their offensive line, which ranks #4 in the league in pass protection. When it comes to their defense, the Packers check in at #16 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 230 yards per game against Green Bay this year (#13 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #18 against them with 4.55 yards per ground attempt. This Packers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, allowing them to complete just 81.2% of their passes (#7-lowest in the league). Green Bay's defensive effectiveness in the pass game bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 40 yards per game (#5-worst in the league).
San Francisco's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #3 in the league with 375 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their rushing attack, which is #3-best in football with 5.32 yards per carry. With how successful they've been on the ground, this has opened up opportunities through the air as well; San Francisco has averaged 8.49 yards per target, which ranks them #3 in football. In terms of their defense, the 49ers have ranked #7 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 212 yards per game through the air against them (#23 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #20 with 4.5 yards per carry. San Francisco has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 35 yards per game (#2-best). San Francisco has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up a 89.5% completion rate (#5-highest).
San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers Prediction
Final Score: San Francisco 49ers 26.01 vs Green Bay Packers 24.3
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