T.J. Hockenson projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears on Nov 24, 2024
T.J. Hockenson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -160
- Receptions 3.5 under: 122
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.
In this contest, T.J. Hockenson is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.7 targets.
T.J. Hockenson checks in as one of the leading TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.
T.J. Hockenson's 82.6% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a material gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 75.2% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.0 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
T.J. Hockenson's 35.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 51.5.
Projection For T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop Bet
T.J. Hockenson is projected to have 3.9 Receptions in this weeks game.
T.J. Hockenson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 35.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 35.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.5% pass rate.
In this contest, T.J. Hockenson is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.7 targets.
T.J. Hockenson has accrued a monstrous 60.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.
T.J. Hockenson ranks as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 59.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.
T.J. Hockenson's 82.6% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a material gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 75.2% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.0 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
T.J. Hockenson's 35.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 51.5.
Projection For T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
T.J. Hockenson is projected to have 41 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
