Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts

Nov 3, 2024

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings
  • Overview
  • Props

Sam Darnold Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Sam Darnold projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams on Oct 24, 2024

Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pass Attempts 31.5 over: 100
  • Pass Attempts 31.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

Projection For Sam Darnold Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 33.6 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Completions 21.5 over: -110
  • Completions 21.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Los Angeles's unit has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in football against the Rams defense this year (68.2% Adjusted Completion%).

Projection For Sam Darnold Completions Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 20.3 Completions in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 239.5 over: -124
  • Passing Yards 239.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.

Sam Darnold has passed for many more adjusted yards per game (228.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).

The Rams pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, conceding 8.07 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-most in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

Projection For Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 253.9 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 14.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 14.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

Sam Darnold has been a more important option in his offense's run game this year (10.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (0.0%).

Sam Darnold's 17.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a noteable progression in his running skills over last year's 3.0 mark.

This year, the porous Rams run defense has been gouged for a monstrous 155.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 2nd-worst in the league.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

At the present time, the 8th-least run-centric team in the league (36.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.

With a lousy total of 0.54 yards-after-contact (11th percentile), Sam Darnold has been as one of the bottom rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

Projection For Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 15.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -120
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.

With a fantastic rate of 2.00 per game (91st percentile), Sam Darnold stands as one of the leading touchdown throwers in football this year.

This year, the porous Rams defense has surrendered a staggering 1.67 passing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in football against the Rams defense this year (68.2% Adjusted Completion%).

Projection For Sam Darnold Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 1.9 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: -115
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Los Angeles's unit has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

Projection For Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 0.8 Interceptions in this weeks game.


Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 3.5 over: -145
  • Carries 3.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to have 131.1 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

Sam Darnold has been a more important option in his offense's run game this year (10.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (0.0%).

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

At the present time, the 8th-least run-centric team in the league (36.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop.

Projection For Sam Darnold Carries Prop Bet

Sam Darnold is projected to have 3.3 Carries in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • Total Pass Completions
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • To Throw For 300+ Passing Yards
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Throw An Interception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Pass
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Have 2+ Passing TDs And Player's Team To Win
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing Yards
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • To Throw For 300+ Passing Yards
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Complete First Pass
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Throw An Interception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • Longest Pass
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • To Have 2+ Passing TDs And Player's Team To Win
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Passing Yards
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
22
21
22
21
22
21
22
21
Consensus
-114
-
-107
-
-115
-
-101
-
-119
-
-115
-
-119
-
-115
-
-120
-
-105
-
-115
-
-115
-
-
-120
-
-108
-
-132
-
+102
-130
-
-110
-
-125
-
-110
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
-102
-128
-102
-130
-101
-135
-101
-135
-105
-130
+105
-125
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
2
2
2
Consensus
-135
+102
-132
-101
-137
+100
-137
+100
-130
+100
-135
+100
-135
+108
-140
+104
-130
+100
-140
+105
-140
+100
-130
+105
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-365
+300
-365
+300
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
269
271
273
274
270
275
272
268
59
60
58
271
269
273
272
275
270
274
268
58
60
59
269
271
273
274
270
275
272
268
59
60
58
271
269
273
272
275
270
274
268
58
60
59
Consensus
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-116
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-116
-116
-116
-
-
-
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-116
-117
-116
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-113
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1000
Consensus
-
+1900
-
+2100
Consensus
-
+900
-
+850
Consensus
-
+1300
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+1700
-
+1600
Consensus
-732
+460
-814
+456
Consensus
-
+750
-
+700
-
+1100
-
+1000
-
+2100
-
+2200
-
+900
-
+700
-
+1300
-
+1200
-
+1600
-
+1500
-
+420
-
+390
-
+700
-
+750
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+220
-300
+220
-300
+220
-300
+220
-300
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
16
15
17
1
15
16
17
1
16
15
17
1
15
16
17
Consensus
+118
-
-
-
-138
-
-
-
+108
-
-
-
-144
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-112
-119
-111
-
-110
-110
-119
-
-110
-118
-111
-
-114
-119
-119
-
-123
-121
-111
-
-113
-113
-123
-
-111
-121
-111
-
-113
-111
-123
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-120
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-120
+108
-
-
-
-142
-
-
-
+118
-
-
-
-144
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-110
-120
-110
-
-110
-115
-120
-
-120
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-120
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-115
-112
-112
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+5000
+5000
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+4025
+4325
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
4
5
4
5
4
5
4
5
Consensus
-163
+117
+120
-148
-165
+112
+122
-153
-155
+105
+120
-145
-165
+110
+125
-135
-160
+125
+115
-160
-160
+125
+125
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
37
38
36
37
38
36
37
38
36
37
38
36
Consensus
-118
-109
-
-112
-119
-
-120
-109
-
-108
-118
-
-123
-111
-
-111
-123
-
-123
-111
-
-113
-123
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-
-120
-110
-
-110
-120
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
32
33
32
33
32
33
32
33
Consensus
-126
-103
-108
-127
-122
+101
-104
-125
-123
-106
-104
-129
-133
-106
-104
-129
-130
-105
+100
-125
-130
-105
-105
-125
+102
-
-132
-
-108
-
-120
-
-130
+100
+100
-130
-130
-105
+100
-130
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-130
+110
-130
+110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
10
10
10
10
Consensus
-110
-123
-113
-110
-120
-115
-110
-110
-105
-120
-110
-120
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
252
251
250
253
255
254
246
249
248
256
56
54
55
249
250
252
253
251
255
256
254
248
246
56
54
55
252
251
250
253
255
254
246
249
248
256
56
54
55
249
250
252
253
251
255
256
254
248
246
56
54
55
Consensus
-116
-115
-114
-122
-114
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-113
-109
-115
-108
-114
-113
-113
-112
-
-
-
-
-116
-114
-113
-112
-116
-114
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-109
-108
-112
-113
-113
-112
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-119
-129
-123
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-119
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-123
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-119
-
-
-
-
-111
-111
-115
-111
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-115
-110
-110
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-110
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-113
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-110
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-120
-
-
-115
-
-
-