Russell Wilson projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns on Nov 21, 2024
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 3.5 over: -139
- Carries 3.5 under: 102
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Steelers to run on 55.2% of their plays: the highest frequency on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
After accounting for 17.3% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Russell Wilson has been called on less the run game this season, currently sitting at just 5.6%.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Russell Wilson Carries Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 3.5 Carries in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 26.5 over: -109
- Pass Attempts 26.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 44.8% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to attempt 27.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Projection For Russell Wilson Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 27 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 16.5 over: -141
- Completions 16.5 under: 108
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
The Cleveland cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 44.8% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to attempt 27.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Russell Wilson's throwing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 66.1% to 61.9%.
Projection For Russell Wilson Completions Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 13.4 Completions in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 11.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 11.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Steelers to run on 55.2% of their plays: the highest frequency on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
This year, the strong Cleveland Browns run defense has yielded a mere 4.83 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's run game: the 24th-best rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
After accounting for 17.3% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Russell Wilson has been called on less the run game this season, currently sitting at just 5.6%.
Russell Wilson's 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a material drop-off in his running talent over last year's 22.0 rate.
Russell Wilson's 2.43 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a meaningful decline in his running prowess over last season's 5.11 rate.
Russell Wilson profiles as one of the worst quarterbacks in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging a measly 0.72 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 13th percentile.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 13.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -120
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
In racking up a monstrous 0.51 interceptions per game this year, Russell Wilson stands among the weakest QBs in the league (6th percentile).
Cleveland's defense profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, compiling a lowly 0.09 per game.
The Cleveland cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 44.8% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to attempt 27.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Projection For Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 182.5 over: -150
- Passing Yards 182.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
Russell Wilson has passed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (235.0) this season than he did last season (208.0).
Russell Wilson rates as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an excellent 7.76 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 81st percentile.
The Browns defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 2nd-most in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 44.8% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to attempt 27.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Russell Wilson's throwing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 66.1% to 61.9%.
Projection For Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 161.2 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 0.5 over: -235
- Touchdown Passes 0.5 under: 180
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 137.2 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).
With an impressive rate of 1.50 per game (83rd percentile), Russell Wilson stands among the best touchdown throwers in football this year.
The Cleveland cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 44.8% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 51.8% red zone pass rate.
The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to attempt 27.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
Projection For Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 0.8 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
