Russell Wilson projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers on Dec 25, 2024
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 219.5 over: -139
- Passing Yards 219.5 under: 108
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
Russell Wilson's 245.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a remarkable improvement in his throwing proficiency over last season's 208.0 rate.
Russell Wilson's 8.33 adjusted yards-per-target this season marks a substantial growth in his passing effectiveness over last season's 7.0% rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 55.0% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 221.8 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 12.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 12.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Steelers as the 9th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
The model projects Russell Wilson to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this contest (13.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.1% in games he has played).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
Russell Wilson's 8.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies an impressive reduction in his running proficiency over last year's 22.0 mark.
Russell Wilson's running effectiveness has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 3.25 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.11 rate last year.
Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 91.0 per game) vs. the Chiefs defense this year.
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection For Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 17.6 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 3.5 over: -108
- Carries 3.5 under: -121
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The model projects the Steelers as the 9th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
The model projects Russell Wilson to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this contest (13.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.1% in games he has played).
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection For Russell Wilson Carries Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 4.2 Carries in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -125
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 55.0% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
In totaling only 0.35 interceptions per game this year, Russell Wilson slots in among the best quarterbacks in the NFL (79th percentile).
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Russell Wilson Interceptions Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 0.7 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 30.5 over: -102
- Pass Attempts 30.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 55.0% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Projection For Russell Wilson Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 31.4 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 100
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
With an excellent ratio of 1.62 per game (76th percentile), Russell Wilson has been as one of the best touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 55.0% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football in the red zone (52.5% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Steelers.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Russell Wilson Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 1.2 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Russell Wilson Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 19.5 over: -108
- Completions 19.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.4 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 55.0% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Russell Wilson Completions Prop Bet
Russell Wilson is projected to have 20 Completions in this weeks game.
