Najee Harris projections and prop bets for Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles on Dec 15, 2024
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 162
- Receptions 2.5 under: -215
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5-point underdog in this week's contest.
At the moment, the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Najee Harris has been a key part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 10.4% this year, which puts him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.7%) versus running backs this year (79.7%).
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
Projection For Najee Harris Receptions Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 1.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 11.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 11.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5-point underdog in this week's contest.
At the moment, the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Najee Harris has been a key part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 10.4% this year, which puts him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
Najee Harris's 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a noteable progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 11.0 rate.
Najee Harris's 7.1 adjusted yards per target this year signifies an impressive boost in his receiving ability over last year's 5.3 rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to air yards, Najee Harris ranks in the paltry 10th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.7%) versus running backs this year (79.7%).
This year, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a meager 5.7 yards.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
Projection For Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 10.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 14.5 over: -128
- Carries 14.5 under: -102
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 45.8% of their plays: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
In this week's contest, Najee Harris is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 90th percentile among RBs with 15.7 rush attempts.
Najee Harris has been given 53.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Projection For Najee Harris Carries Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 14.9 Carries in this weeks game.
Najee Harris Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 49.5 over: -145
- Rushing Yards 49.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 45.8% of their plays: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 6th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
In this week's contest, Najee Harris is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 90th percentile among RBs with 15.7 rush attempts.
Najee Harris has been given 53.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Najee Harris has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (59.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Najee Harris's rushing efficiency (4.00 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (23rd percentile among running backs).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 104.0 per game) vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.
Projection For Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Najee Harris is projected to have 62.3 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
