Kyle Pitts projections and prop bets for Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos on Nov 17, 2024
Kyle Pitts Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 37.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 37.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 133.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
The projections expect Kyle Pitts to accrue 5.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.
With an impressive 39.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (82nd percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts stands among the top tight ends in the pass game in football.
Kyle Pitts's 68.5% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a substantial progression in his receiving prowess over last year's 60.1% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
Kyle Pitts has notched quite a few less air yards this season (41.0 per game) than he did last season (62.0 per game).
Kyle Pitts's 34.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 44.8.
The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
This year, the strong Broncos defense has allowed a meager 42.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 10th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Kyle Pitts is projected to have 37.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Kyle Pitts Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: 115
- Receptions 3.5 under: -150
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 133.0 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
The projections expect Kyle Pitts to accrue 5.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.
With an outstanding 3.2 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts has been among the best TEs in the pass game in the NFL.
Kyle Pitts's 68.5% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a substantial progression in his receiving prowess over last year's 60.1% mark.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
Kyle Pitts's 34.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 44.8.
The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 5th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection For Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop Bet
Kyle Pitts is projected to have 3.4 Receptions in this weeks game.
