Kyle Pitts Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Kyle Pitts projections and prop bets for New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons on Dec 22, 2024

Kyle Pitts Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

• Receiving Yards 27.5 over: -110
• Receiving Yards 27.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

At a mere 27.94 seconds per play, the Falcons offense checks in as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects Kyle Pitts to accrue 4.2 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile among tight ends.

Kyle Pitts's talent in generating extra yardage have improved this year, compiling 5.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 2.53 rate last year.

This year, the poor New York Giants pass defense has given up a staggering 92.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the biggest rate in the NFL.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

With a 8.5-point advantage, the Falcons are a massive favorite in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New York Giants, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.

After accumulating 62.0 air yards per game last season, Kyle Pitts has fallen off this season, now averaging 38.0 per game.

Kyle Pitts's 33.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 44.8.

Projection For Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Kyle Pitts is projected to have 30.8 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.