Jonathan Taylor projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts on Nov 24, 2024
Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 8.5 over: -105
- Receiving Yards 8.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Colts are big underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
Jonathan Taylor's 58.8% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a noteworthy boost in his pass game usage over last year's 47.1% rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 55.6% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (just 54.3 per game on average).
When talking about air yards, Jonathan Taylor ranks in the paltry 11th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -4.0 per game.
Jonathan Taylor's 58.8% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a noteable reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 77.7% figure.
Jonathan Taylor's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a measly 5.09 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.34 mark last season.
Projection For Jonathan Taylor Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 13.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 70.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 70.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Colts to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
The model projects Jonathan Taylor to garner 19.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs.
After accounting for 56.8% of his offense's run game usage last year, Jonathan Taylor has had a larger role in the ground game this year, currently accounting for 74.6%.
Jonathan Taylor has picked up 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (95th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Colts are big underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their usual game plan.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Indianapolis Colts this year (just 54.3 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
With a lousy rate of 2.86 yards after contact (22nd percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor rates as one of the worst running backs in football.
This year, the stout Lions run defense has yielded a feeble 90.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 4th-best in the league.
Projection For Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 72.9 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
