Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
Jonathan Taylor projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts on Dec 22, 2024
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
A running game script is indicated by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to run on 51.1% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
In this contest, Jonathan Taylor is projected by the model to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 21.9 rush attempts.
Jonathan Taylor has been a more integral piece of his team's ground game this season (73.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (56.8%).
Jonathan Taylor has grinded out 80.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to RBs (95th percentile).
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 5th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Colts this year (just 54.5 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Jonathan Taylor checks in as one of the worst running backs in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.66 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 14th percentile.
This year, the shaky Tennessee Titans run defense has conceded a staggering 4.23 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 26th-highest rate in the NFL.
Jonathan Taylor is projected to have 77.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
