Ja'Marr Chase projections and prop bets for Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers on Nov 17, 2024
Ja'Marr Chase Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 77.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 77.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.8% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this contest, Ja'Marr Chase is anticipated by the predictive model to position himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.0 targets.
Ja'Marr Chase has totaled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (89.0) this year than he did last year (75.0).
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has shown poor efficiency against WRs this year, allowing 8.55 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see only 124.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Bengals this year (a lowly 55.6 per game on average).
After averaging 89.0 air yards per game last season, Ja'Marr Chase has been a disappointment this season, now averaging 79.0 per game.
Ja'Marr Chase's 59.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 69.0.
The Chargers pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.42 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.
Projection For Ja'Marr Chase Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Ja'Marr Chase is projected to have 89.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
