Jake Ferguson MLB projections and prop bets for Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys on Oct 13, 2024
Jake Ferguson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: 125
- Receptions 5.5 under: -165
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Cowboys as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.8 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.
The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (41.2 per game) this year.
Jake Ferguson's 5.5 adjusted catches per game this season indicates a meaningful progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 4.2 rate.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
The Lions pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (66.4%) versus TEs since the start of last season (66.4%).
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's unit has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Jake Ferguson Receptions Prop Bet
Jake Ferguson is projected to have 5.7 Receptions in this weeks game.
Jake Ferguson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 49.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 49.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Cowboys as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.8 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.
The Detroit Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (41.2 per game) this year.
Jake Ferguson has notched substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (56.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
The Lions pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (66.4%) versus TEs since the start of last season (66.4%).
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's unit has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jake Ferguson is projected to have 61.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
