Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys

Nov 3, 2024

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons
  • Overview
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Jake Ferguson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Jake Ferguson projections and prop bets for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys on Dec 22, 2024

Jake Ferguson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards

Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Receiving Yards 34.5 over: -110
  • Receiving Yards 34.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet

The Cowboys may pass less in this game (and call more carries) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

A throwing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: most in the league.

Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Jake Ferguson has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (36.0 per game).

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year.

Jake Ferguson's 38.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year signifies a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 46.0 rate.

Jake Ferguson's 6.5 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates an impressive diminishment in his receiving skills over last year's 8.2 figure.

Projection For Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop Bet

Jake Ferguson is projected to have 45.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • To Record a 30+ Yard Reception
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • To Record a 20+ Yard Reception
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Reception
  • Total Receiving Yards
  • Total Receptions
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+550
+550
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1400
Consensus
-
+480
-
+490
Consensus
-
+470
-
+460
Consensus
-
+750
-
+700
Consensus
-300
+211
-298
+210
Consensus
-
+750
-
+850
Consensus
-
+1000
-
+1100
-
+1000
-
+1000
-
+480
-
+470
-
+450
-
+460
-
+750
-
+800
-
+210
-
+210
-
+750
-
+700
-
+1000
-
+1100
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+115
+120
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+9166
+8166
+16000
+15000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
18
19
19
18
18
19
19
18
Consensus
-118
-108
-119
-109
-118
-107
-123
-112
-123
-123
-123
-109
-125
-104
-117
-123
-110
-
-
-115
-110
-
-
-114
-120
-115
-125
-110
-125
-110
-120
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
46
48
49
51
47
50
45
9
8
45
51
49
46
47
48
50
9
8
46
48
49
51
47
50
45
9
8
45
51
49
46
47
48
50
9
8
Consensus
-117
-117
-119
-
-118
-111
-117
-
-
-114
-
-114
-115
-114
-116
-117
-
-
-120
-115
-114
-
-114
-113
-115
-
-
-114
-
-115
-113
-113
-115
-114
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-106
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-122
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-106
-117
-117
-123
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-117
-123
-
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-117
-
-111
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-110
-110
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-120
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-122
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-118
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-105
-115
-115
-115
-
-120
-110
-115
-
-
-110
-
-120
-110
-115
-120
-120
-
-
-110
-110
-120
-
-120
-110
-120
-
-
-115
-
-110
-120
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-130
-
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-125
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
+100
-
-
-
-
-
-
-130
-
-105
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
5
6
5
6
5
6
5
Consensus
+102
-161
-152
+124
+124
-159
-141
+123
-111
-160
-125
+116
-109
-160
-145
+116
+135
-165
-150
+125
+140
-165
-155
+120
+126
-
-165
-
+122
-
-160
-
+105
-160
-155
+125
+110
-165
-150
+120
+125
-150
-170
+115
+120
-145
-160
+115
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+1520
+1520