Jay Sanin on December 19, 2024
Jake Ferguson projections and prop bets for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys on Dec 22, 2024
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
The Cowboys may pass less in this game (and call more carries) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush.
A throwing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: most in the league.
Jake Ferguson has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (36.0 per game).
In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year.
Jake Ferguson's 38.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year signifies a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 46.0 rate.
Jake Ferguson's 6.5 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates an impressive diminishment in his receiving skills over last year's 8.2 figure.
Jake Ferguson is projected to have 45.6 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
