DeAndre Hopkins projections and prop bets for Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills on Nov 17, 2024
DeAndre Hopkins Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -102
- Receptions 4.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Chiefs have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 9th-most in football.
The projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to garner 6.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.
While DeAndre Hopkins has garnered 13.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Kansas City's passing attack in this week's contest at 20.2%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have only 124.6 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
DeAndre Hopkins's 3.2 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a noteable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 4.4 figure.
The Buffalo cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection For DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop Bet
DeAndre Hopkins is projected to have 4.2 Receptions in this weeks game.
DeAndre Hopkins Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 51.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 51.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Chiefs have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 9th-most in football.
The projections expect DeAndre Hopkins to garner 6.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WRs.
While DeAndre Hopkins has garnered 13.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Kansas City's passing attack in this week's contest at 20.2%.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have only 124.6 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
DeAndre Hopkins has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (44.0 per game) than he did last season (119.0 per game).
DeAndre Hopkins's 42.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year shows a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 61.0 figure.
With a subpar 2.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (17th percentile) this year, DeAndre Hopkins places as one of the top WRs in the game in the NFL in space.
The Buffalo cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection For DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Prop Bet
DeAndre Hopkins is projected to have 52.3 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
