Daniel Jones projections and prop bets for New York Giants at Carolina Panthers on Nov 10, 2024
Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 21.5 over: 100
- Completions 21.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in football against the Panthers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
Projection For Daniel Jones Completions Prop Bet
Daniel Jones is projected to have 19.5 Completions in this weeks game.
Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 165
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -220
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 57.6% rate of passing the ball in the red zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league under these circumstances has been the New York Giants.
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in football against the Panthers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).
The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 3rd-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 2.00 per game this year.
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
Projection For Daniel Jones Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Daniel Jones is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 5.5 over: -130
- Carries 5.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The model projects the Giants to be the 5th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
The model projects Daniel Jones to earn 7.7 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Daniel Jones isn't afraid to call his own number, making up 23.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Projection For Daniel Jones Carries Prop Bet
Daniel Jones is projected to have 7.4 Carries in this weeks game.
Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 199.5 over: -135
- Passing Yards 199.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
Daniel Jones's 213.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a remarkable improvement in his throwing talent over last season's 154.0 figure.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in football against the Panthers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the deficient Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a staggering 8.79 yards.
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
With a subpar 6.31 adjusted yards-per-target (22nd percentile) this year, Daniel Jones has been as one of the least efficient quarterbacks in the NFL.
Projection For Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop Bet
Daniel Jones is projected to have 182.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: 110
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
The Carolina Panthers have intercepted 0.32 passes per game this year, grading out as the 5th-worst defense in football by this stat
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
Projection For Daniel Jones Interceptions Prop Bet
Daniel Jones is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 31.5 over: 102
- Pass Attempts 31.5 under: -132
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
Projection For Daniel Jones Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Daniel Jones is projected to have 28.9 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 25.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 25.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The model projects the Giants to be the 5th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.
The model projects Daniel Jones to earn 7.7 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (176 per game) vs. the Panthers defense this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Daniel Jones's 25.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a remarkable drop-off in his running talent over last year's 32.0 mark.
Daniel Jones's ground effectiveness (4.27 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (8th percentile when it comes to QBs).
Projection For Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Daniel Jones is projected to have 34.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
