Washington Commanders

Washington Commanders

Nov 3, 2024

New York Giants

New York Giants
  • Overview
  • Props

Daniel Jones Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Daniel Jones projections and prop bets for New York Giants at Carolina Panthers on Nov 10, 2024

Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Completions

Completions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Completions 21.5 over: 100
  • Completions 21.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in football against the Panthers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.

Projection For Daniel Jones Completions Prop Bet

Daniel Jones is projected to have 19.5 Completions in this weeks game.


Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes

Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:

  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 165
  • Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -220

Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

With a 57.6% rate of passing the ball in the red zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league under these circumstances has been the New York Giants.

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in football against the Panthers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 3rd-most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 2.00 per game this year.

The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.

Projection For Daniel Jones Touchdown Passes Prop Bet

Daniel Jones is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.


Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Carries

Carries Prop Bet Odds:

  • Carries 5.5 over: -130
  • Carries 5.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The model projects the Giants to be the 5th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.

The model projects Daniel Jones to earn 7.7 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Daniel Jones isn't afraid to call his own number, making up 23.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet

Projection For Daniel Jones Carries Prop Bet

Daniel Jones is projected to have 7.4 Carries in this weeks game.


Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards

Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Passing Yards 199.5 over: -135
  • Passing Yards 199.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.

Daniel Jones's 213.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a remarkable improvement in his throwing talent over last season's 154.0 figure.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in football against the Panthers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the deficient Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a staggering 8.79 yards.

The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.

With a subpar 6.31 adjusted yards-per-target (22nd percentile) this year, Daniel Jones has been as one of the least efficient quarterbacks in the NFL.

Projection For Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop Bet

Daniel Jones is projected to have 182.5 Passing Yards in this weeks game.


Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Interceptions

Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:

  • Interceptions 0.5 over: 110
  • Interceptions 0.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.

The Carolina Panthers have intercepted 0.32 passes per game this year, grading out as the 5th-worst defense in football by this stat

The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.

Projection For Daniel Jones Interceptions Prop Bet

Daniel Jones is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in this weeks game.


Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts

Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:

  • Pass Attempts 31.5 over: 102
  • Pass Attempts 31.5 under: -132

Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.

Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to throw 31.0 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.

Projection For Daniel Jones Pass Attempts Prop Bet

Daniel Jones is projected to have 28.9 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.


Daniel Jones Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards

Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:

  • Rushing Yards 25.5 over: -110
  • Rushing Yards 25.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Giants, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The model projects the Giants to be the 5th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.68 seconds per play.

The model projects Daniel Jones to earn 7.7 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (176 per game) vs. the Panthers defense this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Daniel Jones's 25.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a remarkable drop-off in his running talent over last year's 32.0 mark.

Daniel Jones's ground effectiveness (4.27 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (8th percentile when it comes to QBs).

Projection For Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop Bet

Daniel Jones is projected to have 34.7 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.


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Player Props

  • To Throw An Interception
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Pass
  • To Complete First Pass
  • To Throw An Interception
  • Total Passing + Rushing Yards
  • Total Passing Yards
  • Total Rushing Yards
  • To Score a Touchdown
  • Total Passing Touchdowns
  • Total Pass Completions
  • Interceptions Thrown
  • To Score 2+ Touchdowns
  • Total Passing Attempts
  • Longest Rush
  • Total Rushing Attempts
  • To Score 3+ Touchdowns
  • Longest Pass
  • To Complete First Pass
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-120
-108
-120
-108
-120
-108
-120
-108
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
50
49
51
52
232
244
236
238
240
233
235
237
234
239
241
242
228
223
226
231
243
227
50
49
51
52
238
240
237
239
233
236
234
232
241
235
242
226
244
231
223
228
243
227
50
49
51
52
232
244
236
238
240
233
235
237
234
239
241
242
228
223
226
231
243
227
50
49
51
52
238
240
237
239
233
236
234
232
241
235
242
226
244
231
223
228
243
227
Consensus
-115
-115
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-113
-115
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-114
-113
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-115
-116
-116
-117
-116
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-118
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-117
-116
-117
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-115
-113
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-115
-113
-113
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-115
-114
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-114
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
42
43
44
41
204
203
208
209
210
205
198
212
213
211
206
201
207
215
202
196
214
199
194
42
44
43
41
210
203
196
213
212
211
209
204
202
207
198
205
206
208
215
199
214
201
194
42
43
44
41
204
203
208
209
210
205
198
212
213
211
206
201
207
215
202
196
214
199
194
42
44
43
41
210
203
196
213
212
211
209
204
202
207
198
205
206
208
215
199
214
201
194
Consensus
-115
-114
-110
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-115
-110
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-112
-113
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-108
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-110
-112
-114
-116
-117
-113
-110
-113
-114
-113
-114
-
-112
-114
-112
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-114
-
-116
-116
-113
-112
-117
-123
-116
-119
-117
-116
-114
-114
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-111
-113
-113
-114
-109
-110
-114
-116
-113
-111
-
-119
-116
-109
-
-
-111
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-118
-
-114
-115
-112
-113
-115
-120
-116
-116
-116
-119
-117
-116
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-108
-117
-117
-117
-108
-108
-117
-117
-117
-108
-
-117
-
-108
-
-117
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-127
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-127
-127
-127
-127
-127
-127
-117
-
-127
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-
-108
-108
-117
-117
-117
-108
-108
-117
-117
-117
-117
-
-108
-
-108
-
-117
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-117
-127
-
-117
-117
-117
-117
-127
-127
-117
-127
-127
-117
-117
-
-127
-117
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-110
-110
-110
-115
-120
-115
-115
-110
-110
-
-110
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-120
-
-115
-115
-125
-120
-120
-115
-120
-120
-125
-125
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-110
-110
-110
-105
-110
-115
-115
-110
-105
-
-110
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-120
-120
-120
-120
-125
-120
-120
-120
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-113
-110
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-115
-110
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-110
-113
-112
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-118
-108
-108
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-110
-114
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-114
-
-110
-114
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-113
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-113
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-110
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-120
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-115
-115
-120
-115
-
-115
-115
-115
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
27
28
29
25
26
24
23
21
4
5
3
27
26
28
25
24
29
23
21
5
4
3
27
28
29
25
26
24
23
21
4
5
3
27
26
28
25
24
29
23
21
5
4
3
Consensus
-118
-110
-109
-117
-117
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-114
-114
-111
-110
-119
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-118
-116
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-113
-117
-111
-110
-117
-
-
-
-
-
Consensus
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-114
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
+100
-104
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-106
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-114
-106
-104
-113
-113
-113
-123
-123
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-121
-111
-
-121
-
-
-
-
-
-123
-123
-113
-123
-123
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-111
-121
-111
-
-121
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-110
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-115
-120
-110
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-110
-120
-115
-
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-110
-
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-114
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-114
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-
-
-
-110
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-110
-110
-
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-128
-102
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-104
-104
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-102
-125
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-112
-102
-104
-115
-110
-110
-115
-115
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-110
-115
-115
-115
-110
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-110
-110
-120
-120
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-110
-115
-115
-110
-120
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-120
-
-
-140
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
+105
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-140
-
-
-
-
-115
-
-
-
-
-
+105
-
-
-
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
-
+750
-
+750
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1100
Consensus
-
+1200
-
+1300
Consensus
-443
+333
-411
+339
Consensus
-
+1500
-
+1500
Consensus
-
+1700
-
+1600
Consensus
-
+650
-
+650
-
+700
-
+750
-
+1100
-
+1100
-
+1200
-
+1400
-
+380
-
+440
-
+1600
-
+1600
-
+1700
-
+1700
-
+700
-
+750
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
Consensus
+201
-
-277
-
+202
-
-270
-
+178
-
-274
-
+190
-
-284
-
+190
-
-260
-
+195
-
-250
-
+205
-
-280
-
+178
-
-240
-
+190
-275
-275
+200
+195
-275
-275
+200
+165
-
-240
-
+160
-
-240
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
21
22
20
22
21
20
21
22
20
22
21
20
Consensus
-125
+101
-
-132
+101
-
-120
-104
-
-126
-109
-
-135
+100
-
-137
-108
-
-139
-108
-
-139
+102
-
-105
+100
-
-130
-105
-
-125
+100
-
-130
-110
-
-120
-108
-120
-120
-108
-108
-120
-108
-120
-120
-108
-108
-125
+100
-
-135
+100
-
-135
+105
-
-130
-105
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
1
1
1
1
Consensus
-101
-126
-101
-127
-104
-131
-104
-131
+100
-125
-105
-130
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3225
+3000
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
33
32
31
34
32
33
31
34
33
32
31
34
32
33
31
34
Consensus
-109
-122
-110
-
-109
-120
-122
-
-102
-120
-110
-
-110
-127
-122
-
-104
-133
-123
-
-103
-131
-111
-
-101
-133
-123
-
-103
-129
-111
-
+100
-120
-115
-
-110
-130
-115
-
-110
-120
-115
-
-110
-130
-115
-
-114
-
-102
-114
-
-114
-128
-114
-108
-
-102
-114
-
-120
-128
-114
+100
-115
-
-
-110
-130
-
-
+100
-125
-
-
-110
-130
-
-
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
11
12
12
11
11
12
12
11
Consensus
-125
+105
-133
+100
-135
+100
-135
+100
-130
+100
-130
+100
-130
+100
-130
+100
-115
-
-
-105
-115
-
-
-105
-135
+100
-130
-115
-115
+100
-135
-110
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
6
7
6
7
6
7
6
7
Consensus
-120
+109
-108
-148
-114
+114
-123
-145
-135
+120
+100
-155
-130
+115
-110
-150
-
+108
-
-140
-
+108
-
-140
-125
+115
+110
-155
-125
+115
+105
-155
Open
Current
Book
Yes
Yes
Consensus
+3500
+9500
Open
Current
Book
Over
Under
Over
Under
34
33
32
33
34
32
34
33
32
33
34
32
Consensus
-109
-114
-120
-113
-114
-112
-113
-112
-119
-120
-122
-109
-121
-111
-123
-123
-123
-111
-121
-111
-123
-113
-113
-111
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-110
-110
-120
-120
-120
-110
-110
-120
-120
-120
-120
-110
Open
Current
Book
No
Yes
No
Yes
Consensus
+200
-275
+200
-275
+200
-275
+200
-275