Alvin Kamara projections and prop bets for Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints on Nov 10, 2024
Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 37.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 37.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects the Saints as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 58.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
The Saints have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.1 plays per game.
The Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.1 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
When talking about protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the worst in football this year.
Alvin Kamara's 75.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 86.4% figure.
This year, the tough Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a mere 4.8 yards.
This year, the fierce Falcons pass defense has conceded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing RBs: a feeble 3.9 YAC.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Alvin Kamara is projected to have 46 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 70.5 over: -115
- Rushing Yards 70.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
The Saints have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.1 plays per game.
In this week's game, Alvin Kamara is predicted by the model to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.7 carries.
After making up 53.6% of his offense's run game usage last year, Alvin Kamara has had a larger role in the ground game this year, currently comprising 65.9%.
This year, the weak Falcons run defense has yielded a whopping 137.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 9th-most in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run on 41.2% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
Alvin Kamara rates as one of the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.57 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 17th percentile.
The Falcons defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection For Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Alvin Kamara is projected to have 71 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -170
- Receptions 4.5 under: 140
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects the Saints as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 58.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
The Saints have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.1 plays per game.
The Falcons defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.1 per game) this year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
When talking about protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the worst in football this year.
Alvin Kamara's 75.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a noteable reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 86.4% figure.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop Bet
Alvin Kamara is projected to have 6 Receptions in this weeks game.
Alvin Kamara Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 16.5 over: -130
- Carries 16.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
The Saints have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.1 plays per game.
In this week's game, Alvin Kamara is predicted by the model to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.7 carries.
After making up 53.6% of his offense's run game usage last year, Alvin Kamara has had a larger role in the ground game this year, currently comprising 65.9%.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run on 41.2% of their downs: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
The Falcons defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection For Alvin Kamara Carries Prop Bet
Alvin Kamara is projected to have 16.9 Carries in this weeks game.
