Philadelphia Eagles
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Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants Prediction & Picks 10/20/2024
Eagles vs Giants Betting Odds
Spread: | Philadelphia Eagles -3, New York Giants 3 |
Over/Under: | 43 |
Moneyline: | Philadelphia Eagles -160, New York Giants 140 |
Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Philadelphia Eagles - 60% | Philadelphia Eagles - 57% |
New York Giants - 40% | New York Giants - 43% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants Betting Preview
The last time these teams faced was Week 18 of 2023 when the Giants pulled off an upset at home, defeating the Eagles 10-27. New York entered that game as a 4.5 point road underog. They had an implied win probablity of only 34% before pulling of a big upset. The Game Total for that game was 43.0 and which the Under hit.
Philadelphia's biggest strength has been their rushing offense, ranking #7 in the league with 5.02 yards per carry. This represents a particular advantage for Philadelphia given that the Giants have struggled so much to stop the run this year, allowing 5.52 yards per carry (#1-worst in the league). In terms of their defense, the Eagles have ranked #21 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 238 yards per game through the air against them (#11 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #7 with 5.08 yards per carry. Philadelphia has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to a 79.8% completion rate (#7-lowest). Philadelphia has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up 9.06 yards per target (#4-worst).
New York's primary disadvantage has been their run defense, which has allowed a monstrous 5.52 yards per attempt on the ground this year, sliding them into the #1 spot among the league's worst. Giants defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their dismal run defense this year, given that they grade out as the #2-worst unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Giants check in at #19 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 230 yards per game (#16 in football). Their run game has ranked #27 with 3.74 yards per attempt on the ground.
Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants Prediction
Final Score: Philadelphia Eagles 22.93 vs New York Giants 20.26
**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.
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Philadelphia Eagles
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