Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick For 9/29/2024

Eagles vs Buccaneers Betting Odds

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

Sunday the Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) will battle the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1). Oddsmakers peg the Eagles as the favorite with an implied win probablity of 55%, leaving the Buccaneers with a 45% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Eagles -2.5 with a Game Total of 45.0.

Tampa Bay's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #23 in football with a low 297 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their ground attack, clocking in at #32 in the league with just 3.35 yards per carry. When it comes to their defense, the Buccaneers check in at #25 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 252 yards per game against Tampa Bay this year (#1 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #21 against them with 4.26 yards per ground attempt. This Buccaneers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 6.27 yards per target (#4-best in the league). Tampa Bay's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 9.13 yards per target (#2-worst in the league).

Philadelphia's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #24 in the league while allowing 354 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #2-most yards per game: 248. The Eagles have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing wide receivers, allowing them to rack up 173 yards per game (#1-worst). In terms of their offense, the Eagles have ranked #11 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 241 yards per game (#11 in football). On the ground they've ranked #3 with 5.21 yards per carry.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

Final Score: Philadelphia Eagles 23.54 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22.59

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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