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New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Pick & Preview – 10/20/2024
Jets vs Steelers Betting Odds
Spread: | New York Jets -1.5, Pittsburgh Steelers 1.5 |
Over/Under: | 38 |
Moneyline: | New York Jets -120, Pittsburgh Steelers 100 |
New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
New York Jets - 52% | New York Jets - 50% |
Pittsburgh Steelers - 48% | Pittsburgh Steelers - 50% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview
Sunday Night Football will showcase a matchup between the New York Jets (2-4) and Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2). Oddsmakers peg the Jets as the slight favorite with an implied win probablity of 52%, leaving the Steelers with a 48% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Jets -1.5 with a Game Total of 38.0.
Pittsburgh's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 307 yards per game -- #7-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their run defense, which has held opposing ground attacks to the #4-least yards per game: 3.68. This Steelers run defense has been aided by their safeties, who grade out as the #1-best unit in the NFL. This presents a decided advantage for Pittsburgh given that the Jets have had so little success running the ball this year, managing a mere 3.61 yards per carry (#5-worst in the league). When it comes to their offense, the Steelers check in at #27 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 184 yards per game (#27 in football). Their run game has ranked #26 with 3.77 yards per attempt on the ground.
New York's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #1 in the league while allowing just 256 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #1-least yards per game: 133. The Jets have done the best job shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 91 yards per game (#1-best). New York's best position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank #1 in the league in locking down route-runners. In terms of their offense, the Jets have ranked #26 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 207 yards per game (#22 in football). On the ground they've ranked #28 with 3.61 yards per carry.
New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
Final Score: New York Jets 19.1 vs Pittsburgh Steelers 19.2
**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.
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New York Jets
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