New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons Prediction For 9/29/2024

Saints vs Falcons Betting Odds

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

Derek Carr and the New Orleans Saints faceoff against Kirk Cousins and the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons enter the game as a slight favorite (-120) as the home team. Atlanta is currently favored by -1.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 42.0.

New Orleans's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #8 in the league while allowing just 321 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #8-least yards per game: 205. The Saints pass defense has done the best job shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 22 yards per game (#2-best). New Orleans's best position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank #6 in the league in locking down route-runners. New Orleans's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive ends, which check in as the #10-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Saints have ranked #18 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 229 yards per game (#18 in football). On the ground they've ranked #13 with 4.52 yards per carry.

Atlanta's primary advantage has been their pass defense, which has allowed a scant 200 yards per game through the air -- #6-best in the NFL. The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing wide receivers, who have managed just 7.28 yards per target against them (#29-least in football). Atlanta's best coverage unit has been their safeties, which grade out as the #9 unit in the NFL in this regard. When it comes to their offense, the Falcons check in at #20 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 208 yards per game (#23 in football). Their run game has ranked #14 with 4.46 yards per attempt on the ground.

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

Final Score: New Orleans Saints 21.7 vs Atlanta Falcons 25.19

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

Visit the NFL picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.