New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Preview – 11/24/2024

Patriots vs Dolphins Betting Odds

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

Sunday the New England Patriots (3-8) will battle the Miami Dolphins (4-6). Oddsmakers peg the Dolphins as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 74%, leaving the Patriots with a 26% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Dolphins -7.0 with a Game Total of 46.0.

New England's biggest weakness has been their offense, ranking #28 in the league with a mere 285 yards per game. They've failed so much on offense in large part because of their passing attack, which checks in at #4-worst in football with 204 yards per game. And when a defense doesn't have to worry about the pass, they can key in on the run, which has led to just 3.68 yards per carry for the Patriots -- bottom 10 in the league. It's tough to succeed when you don't have much time to throw, as has been the case for New England. Their offensive line has ranked just #31 in pass protection. In terms of their defense, the Patriots have ranked #24 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 233 yards per game through the air against them (#12 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #16 with 4.61 yards per carry. New England pass defense has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 25 yards per game (#4-best). New England has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up 8.78 yards per target (#5-worst).

Miami's primary advantage has been their defense, which has allowed a scant 320 yards per game -- #8-best in the NFL. They've succeeded in large part due to their pass defense, which has held opposing air attacks to the #8-least yards per game: 210. The Miami Dolphins pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing tight ends, holding them to a 70.7% completion rate (#4-stingiest in football). Miami's best coverage unit has been their cornerbacks, which grade out as the #9 unit in the NFL in this regard. When it comes to their offense, the Dolphins check in at #20 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 208 yards per game (#24 in football). Their run game has ranked #24 with 3.87 yards per attempt on the ground.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

Final Score: New England Patriots 17.04 vs Miami Dolphins 27.56

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