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Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets Prediction & Picks 11/17/2024
Colts vs Jets Betting Odds
Spread: | Indianapolis Colts 4, New York Jets -4 |
Over/Under: | 44 |
Moneyline: | Indianapolis Colts 165, New York Jets -190 |
Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Indianapolis Colts - 37% | Indianapolis Colts - 28% |
New York Jets - 63% | New York Jets - 72% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets Betting Preview
Joe Flacco and the Indianapolis Colts faceoff against Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets. The Jets enter the game as a favorite (-190) as the home team. New York is currently favored by -4.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 44.0.
Indianapolis's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #30 in the league while allowing 404 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #4-most yards per game: 259. The Colts have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing wide receivers, allowing them to rack up 9.34 yards per target (#1-worst). Indianapolis's worst position group in coverage has been their linebackers, which rank just #26 in the league in locking down route-runners. Indianapolis's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their defensive ends, which check in as just the #26-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Colts have ranked #27 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 197 yards per game (#27 in football). On the ground they've ranked #13 with 4.34 yards per carry.
New York's primary advantage has been their pass defense, which has allowed a scant 191 yards per game through the air -- #3-best in the NFL. The New York Jets pass defense has had the most success in covering opposing wide receivers, who have managed just 118 yards per game against them (#30-least in football). New York's best coverage unit has been their linebackers, which grade out as the #5 unit in the NFL in this regard. New York's pass rush has been led by their defensive tackles who, ranking as the #9 unit in the NFL, have given opposing quarterbacks fits. When it comes to their offense, the Jets check in at #16 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 246 yards per game (#10 in football). Their run game has ranked #25 with 3.76 yards per attempt on the ground.
Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets Prediction
Final Score: Indianapolis Colts 17.81 vs New York Jets 24.46
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