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Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills Wild Card Best Bet – 1/12/2025
Broncos vs Bills Betting Odds
| Spread: | Denver Broncos 8.5, Buffalo Bills -8.5 |
| Over/Under: | 47 |
| Moneyline: | Denver Broncos 360, Buffalo Bills -450 |
Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Win Probabilities
| Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
| Denver Broncos - 21% | Denver Broncos - 32% |
| Buffalo Bills - 79% | Buffalo Bills - 68% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos faceoff against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. The Bills enter the game as a huge favorite (-450) as the home team. Buffalo is currently favored by -8.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 47.0.
Buffalo's primary advantage has been their run offense, which ranks #7 in football at 4.76 yards per carry. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Buffalo's 7.63 yards per target puts them #9 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Bills check in at #19 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 228 yards per game against Buffalo this year (#11 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #20 against them with 4.52 yards per ground attempt. This Bills defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, keeping them in check at just 6.72 yards per target (#4-best in the league). Buffalo's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have caught 70.3% of their passes, #1-highest in the league.
Denver's biggest strength has been their run defense, which ranks #2 in the league while allowing just 3.95 yards per carry this season. The Broncos defensive tackles have played a big part in their ability to stop the run, ranking #8-best in the NFL by this measure. In terms of their offense, the Broncos have ranked #22 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 226 yards per game (#20 in football). On the ground they've ranked #20 with 4.03 yards per carry.
Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
Final Score: Denver Broncos 20.14 vs Buffalo Bills 25.41
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