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Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Odds & Picks – 11/24/2024
Cowboys vs Commanders Betting Odds
Spread: | Dallas Cowboys 10.5, Washington Commanders -10.5 |
Over/Under: | 45 |
Moneyline: | Dallas Cowboys 400, Washington Commanders -510 |
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Dallas Cowboys - 19% | Dallas Cowboys - 22% |
Washington Commanders - 81% | Washington Commanders - 78% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Betting Preview
Cooper Rush and the Dallas Cowboys faceoff against Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders. The Commanders enter the game as a huge favorite (-510) as the home team. Washington is currently favored by -10.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 45.0.
Washington's primary advantage has been their run offense, which ranks #5 in football at 4.98 yards per carry. Given their ground game success, this has opened up opportunities through the air too; Washington's 7.89 yards per target puts them #6 in football. This presents a decided advantage for Washington given that the Cowboys haven't had much success in stopping the run this year, giving up 5.16 yards per carry (#5-worst in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Commanders check in at #15 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 203 yards per game against Washington this year (#28 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #8 against them with 4.95 yards per ground attempt. This Commanders pass defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 22 yards per game (#2-best in the league). Washington's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 7.13 yards per target (#8-worst in the league).
Dallas's biggest weakness has been their offense, checking in at #29 in the league with a mere 281 yards per game. A big part of their failure has been the quality (or lack thereof) of their rushing attack, which has been #2-worst in football with just 3.5 yards per carry. In failing to successfully establish the run, Dallas has also had trouble moving the ball through the air, averaging a paltry 6.23 yards per target, which ranks them #28 in football. In terms of their defense, the Cowboys have ranked #23 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 205 yards per game through the air against them (#27 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #5 with 5.16 yards per carry. Dallas has been most effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, holding them to 41 yards per game (#7-best). Dallas has been least effective in shutting down opposing tight ends, giving up 10.42 yards per target (#1-worst).
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction
Final Score: Dallas Cowboys 17.3 vs Washington Commanders 26.45
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