Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction For 12/29/2024
Panthers vs Buccaneers Betting Odds
Spread: | Carolina Panthers 8, Tampa Bay Buccaneers -8 |
Over/Under: | 48.5 |
Moneyline: | Carolina Panthers 320, Tampa Bay Buccaneers -390 |
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Carolina Panthers - 23% | Carolina Panthers - 24% |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 77% | Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 76% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
Sunday the Carolina Panthers (4-11) will battle the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7). Oddsmakers peg the Buccaneers as the huge favorite with an implied win probablity of 77%, leaving the Panthers with a 23% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Buccaneers -8.0 with a Game Total of 48.5.
Tampa Bay's primary advantage has been their offense, which ranks #2 in the NFL at 367 yards per game. The quality of their passing attack has led to much of their success. The Buccaneers 253 yards per game through the air ranks #2-best in football this year. They haven’t made things easy for opposing defense given they they've also positioned themselves in the top 10 on the ground as well, rushing for 5.2 yards per carry. It's easy to see why they've done so well through the air when you notice the quality of their offensive line, which ranks #4 in the league in pass protection. When it comes to their defense, the Buccaneers check in at #26 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 258 yards per game against Tampa Bay this year (#4 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #8 against them with 4.72 yards per ground attempt. This Buccaneers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 7.37 yards per target (#2-best in the league). Tampa Bay's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing tight ends, who have scorched them for 65 yards per game (#2-worst in the league).
Carolina's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #32 in the league while allowing 421 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to shut down the run game, as they've allowed opposing ball-carriers to rush for the #1-most yards per carry: 5.55. That's not to give any unnecessary credit to their pass defense, though, which checks in at #4-worst in yards per target (8.36). The Panthers linebackers have played a big part in their inability to stop the run, ranking #1-worst in the NFL by this measure. This represents a particular disadvantage for Carolina given that the Buccaneers have excelled in the run game this year, accumulating 5.2 yards per carry (#3-best in the league). In terms of their offense, the Panthers have ranked #28 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 190 yards per game (#29 in football). On the ground they've ranked #14 with 4.26 yards per carry.
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
Final Score: Carolina Panthers 18.71 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26.62
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