Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens Best Bet – 9/29/2024

Bills vs Ravens Betting Odds

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview

Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills faceoff against Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens enter the game as a favorite (-140) as the home team. Baltimore is currently favored by -2.5 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 46.5.

Buffalo's biggest strength has been their defense, ranking #3 in the league while allowing just 308 yards per game. Much of their success has been in locking down the pass game, holding opposing QBs to the #6-least yards per game: 200. The Bills have done the best job shutting down opposing wide receivers, holding them to 113 yards per game (#2-best). Buffalo's best position group in coverage has been their cornerbacks, which rank #2 in the league in locking down route-runners. Buffalo's pass rush has been strong this year, led by their defensive ends, which check in as the #5-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Bills have ranked #6 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 242 yards per game (#9 in football). On the ground they've ranked #12 with 4.56 yards per carry.

Baltimore's primary advantage has been their run defense, which has allowed a scant 4.22 yards per attempt on the ground -- #7-best in the NFL. To give credit where credit is due, their pass defense has also been terrific, checking in at #2 in yards per target (6.74). This Ravens run defense has been anchored by their defensive tackles, who grade out as the #1-best unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Ravens check in at #12 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 225 yards per game (#20 in football). Their run game has ranked #10 with 4.98 yards per attempt on the ground.

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction

Final Score: Buffalo Bills 22.03 vs Baltimore Ravens 23.96

NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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