Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers Best Bet – 10/13/2024

Falcons vs Panthers Betting Odds

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers Betting Preview

Sunday the Atlanta Falcons (3-2) will battle the Carolina Panthers (1-4). Oddsmakers peg the Falcons as the big favorite with an implied win probablity of 69%, leaving the Panthers with a 31% chance to record a win. The current spread is the Falcons -6.0 with a Game Total of 47.5.

Atlanta's biggest strength has been their offense, ranking #5 in the league with 355 yards per game. They've achieved offensive success largely through the quality of their passing attack, which is #5-best in football with 267 yards per game. This represents a particular advantage for Atlanta given that the Panthers have struggled so much to stop the pass this year, allowing 8.65 yards per target (#3-worst in the league). In terms of their defense, the Falcons have ranked #23 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 204 yards per game through the air against them (#23 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 with 4.9 yards per carry. Atlanta pass defense has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 20 yards per game (#1-best). Atlanta has been least effective in shutting down opposing wide receivers, giving up a 75.3% completion rate (#1-highest).

Carolina's primary advantage has been their run offense, which ranks #7 in football at 4.82 yards per carry. This presents a decided advantage for Carolina given that the Falcons haven't had much success in stopping the run this year, giving up 4.9 yards per carry (#11-worst in the NFL). When it comes to their defense, the Panthers check in at #30 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 240 yards per game against Carolina this year (#10 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #8 against them with 5.05 yards per ground attempt. This Panthers defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing running backs, keeping them in check at just 4.64 yards per target (#2-best in the league). Carolina's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, who have caught 68.6% of their passes, #7-highest in the league.

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers Prediction

Final Score: Atlanta Falcons 25.66 vs Carolina Panthers 20.98

**NOTE: The above stats and rankings are adjusted for context based on sample size and matchup factors. Note that, by design, these stats will not match up with those you find on stat pages and leaderboards around the industry, however are more predictive for ranking stats and for contextualizing the data. Statistics include data from the beginning of the 2023 NFL season to the present time in the 2024 season to allow a more representative sample size.

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