The upcoming Week 3 UFL clash between the Arlington Renegades and the Birmingham Stallions on April 11, 2025, at Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Alabama, is set to be a compelling encounter. Both teams have demonstrated strong performances early in the season, setting the stage for an exciting game. Here, we will make our prediction for Friday’s Arlington Renegades vs Birmingham Stallions showdown.
Arlington Renegades vs Birmingham Stallions Preview
The Birmingham Stallions, reigning UFL champions, have split their first two games to open the 2025 season. Under the guidance of head coach Skip Holtz, they have maintained a dominant presence in spring football and will look to get above the .500 mark here. This will be the first home game of the season for the Stallions and it will be interesting to see what kind of crowd support they have given all of the success they have had in recent years.
The Arlington Renegades, led by head coach Bob Stoops, have won their first two games this season. Quarterback Luis Perez, the 2024 XFL Championship Game MVP, has been instrumental in their offensive efforts. Perez leads the league in passing yards with 375 yards through two games. But the Renegades have had a very soft early-season schedule, beating the Brahmas and Roughnecks, as they prepare for a much tougher test in Week 3.
Betting Insights
As of now, DraftKings Sportsbook has made the Birmingham Stallions a 3.5-point favorite heading into this matchup. They have set the total at 39.5 points. Key betting considerations include:
- Stallions’ Offensive Prowess: Birmingham’s offense looked much better on the road last week against the Michigan Panthers and they will look to continue trending in the right direction.
- Renegades’ Strength of Schedule: The Renegades have faced two teams with a combined record of 0-4 to start the year and they could struggle in this contest against a better opponent.
- Historical Matchup: In their last encounter, the Stallions secured a 27-14 victory over the Renegades, indicating a potential matchup advantage.
Arlington Renegades vs Birmingham Stallions Prediction

Stallions -3.5 (-110) over Renegades
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- The Stallions should raise their level of play in their first home game of the season.
- Arlington hasn’t played anybody yet and we are not impressed with their 2-0 start just yet.
Analyzing the current form and team dynamics, the Birmingham Stallions appear to have the upper hand in this contest. Their balanced offensive approach, combined with a formidable defense, positions them favorably against the Renegades. While Arlington possesses talent, particularly in the passing game with Luis Perez, their inconsistent rushing attack and weak early schedule may hinder their ability to keep pace with Birmingham. Considering these factors, the prediction leans towards a Birmingham Stallions victory, with the Stallions covering the the 3.5-point spread.