Arizona Cardinals
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Arizona Cardinals vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds & Picks – 10/27/2024
Cardinals vs Dolphins Betting Odds
Spread: | Arizona Cardinals 3, Miami Dolphins -3 |
Over/Under: | 46.5 |
Moneyline: | Arizona Cardinals 145, Miami Dolphins -170 |
Arizona Cardinals vs Miami Dolphins Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Arizona Cardinals - 39% | Arizona Cardinals - 26% |
Miami Dolphins - 61% | Miami Dolphins - 74% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Arizona Cardinals vs Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The last time these two teams played was in Week 9 of 2020. That contest produced a high scoring shootout, as the Dolphins pulled off the home win 34-31.
Miami's primary disadvantage this season has been their offense, which has ranked #28 in football with a low 235 yards per game. They've been so ineffective on offense in large part because of their ground attack, clocking in at #32 in the league with just 3.31 yards per carry. Perhaps because they routinely failt to successfully establish the run, Miami has also lacked effectiveness through the air. They've scraped together a measly 6.18 yards per target, ranking the bottom 10 in football. When it comes to their defense, the Dolphins check in at #4 in football when it comes to total yards allowed per game. Opposing air attacks have notched 164 yards per game against Miami this year (#32 in football). Opposing ball-carriers have ranked #11 against them with 4.84 yards per ground attempt. This Dolphins defense hits their peak effectiveness when it comes to defending opposing wide receivers, keeping them in check at just 113 yards per game (#1-best in the league). Miami's defensive effectiveness bottoms out when it comes to defending opposing running backs, who have scorched them for 6.93 yards per target (#2-worst in the league).
Arizona's biggest weakness has been their defense, ranking #28 in the league while allowing 386 yards per game. Much of their struggle has come in trying to lock down the pass game, as they've allowed opposing QBs pass for the #7-most yards per game: 244. The Cardinals have been at their worst when it comes to shutting down opposing wide receivers, allowing them to complete 72.2% of their targets, #2-highest in football. Arizona's worst position group in coverage has been their cornerbacks, which rank just #32 in the league in locking down route-runners. Arizona's pass rush has been weak this year, being weighed down by their defensive ends, which check in as just the #32-best unit in terms of getting to the passer. In terms of their offense, the Cardinals have ranked #22 in the league in total yards per game. They've passed for 176 yards per game (#23 in football). On the ground they've ranked #13 with 4.39 yards per carry.
Arizona Cardinals vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
Final Score: Arizona Cardinals 20.8 vs Miami Dolphins 28.03
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Arizona Cardinals
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