Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks 12/20/2024

• Date: December 20, 2024
• Venue: Kaseya Center

Betting Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder, boasting a strong 21-6 record, are set to face off against the Miami Heat, who stand at 13-11, in an intriguing Friday night matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET at the Kaseya Center, home of the Heat.

Despite being on the road, the Thunder are slight favorites with a spread of -1.0 and a moneyline of -120, suggesting an implied win probability of 52%. However, the Thunder face a potential disadvantage as this game marks the second of a back-to-back, having secured a 105-99 victory over the Orlando Magic just yesterday. Fatigue could be a factor for Oklahoma City, as their players have had less recovery time.

Conversely, the Miami Heat have had four days to rest since their narrow 125-124 loss to the Detroit Pistons. This extended break may give them a physical edge, particularly as they seek to extend their impressive five-game home winning streak. The Heat's moneyline is set at +100, translating to a 48% implied win probability.

Both teams have been performing well recently, with the Thunder winning 19 of their last 25 games. For Miami, their recent home success is a significant factor, and they will look to capitalize on the Thunder's potential fatigue.

For bettors eyeing player props, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Points and Assists market has garnered considerable attention. The current line for Under 35.5 Points and Assists is priced at -125, with sharp bettors seeing value in the Under, believing it might be mispriced.

This matchup promises to be a thrilling contest, with both teams having distinct advantages. The Thunder's recent form and slight favoritism contrast with the Heat's home court advantage and extra rest, setting the stage for an exciting battle in Miami.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: Oklahoma City Thunder 108.97 vs Miami Heat 108.06

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.