New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans

Jan 1, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks 1/1/2025

  • Date: January 1, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:New Orleans Pelicans 8.5 (-110), Miami Heat -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under:222
Moneyline:New Orleans Pelicans 285, Miami Heat -340


New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
New Orleans Pelicans - 25%New Orleans Pelicans - 22%
Miami Heat - 75%Miami Heat - 78%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans will face off against the Miami Heat on Wednesday night at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center. The Pelicans are struggling significantly this season with a record of 5-28, extending their current losing streak to 10 games after a narrow defeat to the LA Clippers (116-113) in their last outing. In contrast, the Heat are enjoying a more favorable stretch, boasting a 16-14 record and having recently secured a win against the Houston Rockets (104-100).

Miami has the advantage of extra rest, having last played three days ago, which could bolster their chances against a fatigued Pelicans squad. The Heat have been strong at home, winning 8 of their last 10 games in front of their fans, making them a significant favorite in this matchup. Currently, the spread is set at Heat -8.5, with a moneyline of -340 for the Heat and +285 for the Pelicans, translating to an implied win probability of 75% for Miami and just 25% for New Orleans.

Betting enthusiasts may want to keep an eye on Trey Murphy III's Points and Rebounds, as it has emerged as the most popular player prop market for this game. Additionally, sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under, with current lines set at Under 24.5 Points and Rebounds (-110), indicating confidence that this figure could be mispriced.


New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: New Orleans Pelicans 107.6 vs Miami Heat 117.37

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-108
37% NO
Caesars
-9.0/-112
63% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+291
10% NO
FanDuel
-365
90% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

220.5/-105
34% UN
DraftKings
220.5/-115
66% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

NO
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
48
Games
46
40.2
FG
41.4
90.3
FGA
89.5
.445
FG%
.463
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.7
35.3
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.345
3Pt%
.359
28.1
2Pt-FG
27.7
55.0
2Pt-FGA
51.3
.510
2Pt%
.540
17.0
FT
14.2
22.3
FTA
18.1
.765
FT%
.785
12.1
ORB
11.2
30.8
DRB
34.5
42.9
TRB
45.7
25.3
AST
27.2
9.5
STL
7.4
5.6
BLK
5.1
14.3
TOV
14.0
18.2
PF
17.8
109.7
PTS
110.7

Defense/Offense

NO
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
48
Games
46
43.8
FG
39.8
90.8
FGA
87.0
.483
FG%
.457
14.2
3Pt-FG
14.2
38.9
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.365
3Pt%
.367
29.6
2Pt-FG
25.5
51.9
2Pt-FGA
48.2
.571
2Pt%
.530
16.3
FT
17.1
20.6
FTA
21.6
.792
FT%
.794
12.1
ORB
9.4
34.4
DRB
34.3
46.5
TRB
43.7
28.3
AST
26.4
8.8
STL
8.3
5.5
BLK
3.8
15.0
TOV
13.7
18.1
PF
15.9
118.1
PTS
110.9

Offense/Defense

NO
Four Factors
MIA
.513
eFG%
.539
12.5
TOV%
12.6
26.1
RB%
75.5
.189
FT/FGA
.159

Defense/Offense

NO
Four Factors
MIA
.561
eFG%
.539
13.1
TOV%
12.4
71.7
RB%
21.3
.179
FT/FGA
.197

Offense/Defense

NO
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
48
Games
46
40.4
FG
42.1
90.6
FGA
91.0
.445
FG%
.463
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.9
35.4
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.345
3Pt%
.359
28.2
2Pt-FG
28.2
55.2
2Pt-FGA
52.2
.510
2Pt%
.540
17.1
FT
14.5
22.3
FTA
18.4
.765
FT%
.785
12.2
ORB
11.3
30.9
DRB
35.1
43.0
TRB
46.5
25.4
AST
27.6
9.6
STL
7.5
5.7
BLK
5.2
14.3
TOV
14.3
18.2
PF
18.1
110.0
PTS
112.6

Defense/Offense

NO
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
48
Games
46
44.0
FG
40.4
91.1
FGA
88.5
.483
FG%
.457
14.3
3Pt-FG
14.5
39.0
3Pt-FGA
39.5
.365
3Pt%
.367
29.7
2Pt-FG
26.0
52.0
2Pt-FGA
49.0
.571
2Pt%
.530
16.3
FT
17.4
20.6
FTA
22.0
.792
FT%
.794
12.2
ORB
9.5
34.5
DRB
34.9
46.7
TRB
44.4
28.4
AST
26.9
8.8
STL
8.4
5.5
BLK
3.8
15.1
TOV
13.9
18.1
PF
16.1
118.5
PTS
112.8

NO
Analytics
MIA
13
Pythag Wins
23
35
Pythag Losses
23
-8.46
Margin Of Victory
0.15
110.0
O Rtg
112.8
118.5
D Rtg
112.6
99.2
Pace
96.8
.247
FTr
.248
.391
3PAr
.446
.548
TS%
.575

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NO MIA
NO MIA
Consensus
+10.0 (-108)
-10.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-110)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-112)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+9.0 (-107)
-9.0 (-107)
+8.5 (-107)
-8.5 (-114)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+9.0 (-115)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-115)
-9.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
NO MIA
NO MIA
Consensus
+310
-400
+291
-365
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
+310
-395
+295
-375
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
+290
-360
+295
-370
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+280
-385
+275
-345
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
+320
-420
+285
-365
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+310
-400
+290
-375
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
222.0 (-113)
222.0 (-108)
220.5 (-109)
220.5 (-112)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
220.0 (-115)
220.0 (-105)
FanDuel
FanDuel $200 Bonus
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
220.0 (-112)
220.0 (-108)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
220.5 (-108)
220.5 (-113)
Caesars
Caesars
Double Your Winnings
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
220.0 (-105)
220.0 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
NO
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
MIA
0-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
1-2-0
ATS W/L/P
2-1-0
116
Avg Score
101
125.33
Avg Opp Score
102.67
0-5-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-2-0
2-3-0
ATS W/L/P
3-2-0
114
Avg Score
105.4
122.4
Avg Opp Score
104.8
0-10-0
Win/Loss/Tie
6-4-0
4-6-0
ATS W/L/P
5-5-0
112.1
Avg Score
110.5
121.5
Avg Opp Score
108.1
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
03/22/24
NO
207.5
+124
21
MIA
-3.0
-149
20
02/23/24
MIA
220.5
+112
31
NO
-2.5
-134
24
01/22/23
NO
217.5
+240
32
MIA
-7.0
-300
23
01/18/23
MIA
219.5
-158
36
NO
3.0
+132
23
02/10/22
MIA
217.0
-162
27
NO
3.5
+137
24
11/17/21
NO
211.0
+214
34
MIA
-6.5
-275
21
03/04/21
MIA
225.0
-132
31
NO
2.0
+109
15
12/25/20
NO
222.0
+123
26
MIA
-3.0
-146
29
03/06/20
MIA
231.5
+101
26
NO
-1.5
-120
32
11/16/19
NO
225.5
+289
22
MIA
-8.0
-365
29

New Orleans Pelicans

01/29/25
DAL
266.2
-130
40
NO
1.3
-119
36
01/27/25
NO
186.9
-88
16
TOR
-0.8
-88
20
01/25/25
NO
169.6
-94
17
CHA
1.4
+79
23
01/24/25
NO
353.8
+481
42
MEM
-13.8
-615
48
01/17/25
UTA
91.1
+181
3
NO
-4.7
-245
16
01/15/25
DAL
72.0
-33
3
NO
-0.5
-38
11
01/14/25
NO
253.5
+108
30
CHI
-1.6
-129
34
01/12/25
NO
286.5
+907
44
BOS
-18.6
-1463
36
01/10/25
NO
257.0
+261
33
PHI
-8.2
-320
28
01/08/25
POR
249.9
+120
45
NO
-2.2
-142
27

Miami Heat

01/29/25
CLE
256.5
-256
35
MIA
7.8
+214
24
01/25/25
MIA
155.3
-202
18
BKN
3.8
+167
13
01/23/25
MIA
211.0
+184
28
MIL
-6.1
-225
25
01/21/25
POR
190.3
+267
30
MIA
-7.8
-335
33
01/19/25
SA
159.8
+95
22
MIA
-2.5
-113
15
01/17/25
DEN
89.6
-59
12
MIA
0.5
+51
4
01/15/25
MIA
69.7
+51
12
LAL
-1.5
-60
11
01/13/25
MIA
114.1
+143
18
LAC
-4.5
-178
15
01/11/25
MIA
100.5
-85
13
POR
0.9
+72
11
01/09/25
MIA
74.0
-70
2
UTA
0.6
+60
3

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