New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans

Jan 1, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks 1/1/2025

  • Date: January 1, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:New Orleans Pelicans 8.5 (-110), Miami Heat -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under:222
Moneyline:New Orleans Pelicans 285, Miami Heat -340


New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
New Orleans Pelicans - 25%New Orleans Pelicans - 22%
Miami Heat - 75%Miami Heat - 78%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans will face off against the Miami Heat on Wednesday night at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center. The Pelicans are struggling significantly this season with a record of 5-28, extending their current losing streak to 10 games after a narrow defeat to the LA Clippers (116-113) in their last outing. In contrast, the Heat are enjoying a more favorable stretch, boasting a 16-14 record and having recently secured a win against the Houston Rockets (104-100).

Miami has the advantage of extra rest, having last played three days ago, which could bolster their chances against a fatigued Pelicans squad. The Heat have been strong at home, winning 8 of their last 10 games in front of their fans, making them a significant favorite in this matchup. Currently, the spread is set at Heat -8.5, with a moneyline of -340 for the Heat and +285 for the Pelicans, translating to an implied win probability of 75% for Miami and just 25% for New Orleans.

Betting enthusiasts may want to keep an eye on Trey Murphy III's Points and Rebounds, as it has emerged as the most popular player prop market for this game. Additionally, sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under, with current lines set at Under 24.5 Points and Rebounds (-110), indicating confidence that this figure could be mispriced.


New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: New Orleans Pelicans 107.6 vs Miami Heat 117.37

Stay informed with the most recent NBA news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and predictions all season long.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-108
37% NO
Fanatics
-9.0/-112
63% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+291
10% NO
DraftKings
-365
90% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

220.5/-105
34% UN
Fanatics
220.5/-115
66% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

NO
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
40.6
FG
41.3
89.9
FGA
88.6
.452
FG%
.466
12.0
3Pt-FG
13.6
34.6
3Pt-FGA
37.9
.347
3Pt%
.360
28.6
2Pt-FG
27.6
55.2
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.518
2Pt%
.545
16.5
FT
13.9
21.9
FTA
17.9
.754
FT%
.776
12.1
ORB
10.7
31.5
DRB
33.9
43.6
TRB
44.7
25.8
AST
26.5
8.5
STL
7.5
5.2
BLK
4.7
14.6
TOV
13.8
18.3
PF
17.0
109.8
PTS
110.0

Defense/Offense

NO
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
82
Games
82
43.7
FG
40.5
90.5
FGA
87.0
.483
FG%
.465
14.6
3Pt-FG
13.7
40.1
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.365
3Pt%
.367
29.1
2Pt-FG
26.8
50.4
2Pt-FGA
49.7
.578
2Pt%
.538
17.2
FT
16.0
21.9
FTA
20.2
.786
FT%
.791
11.9
ORB
9.7
33.9
DRB
33.7
45.7
TRB
43.4
28.6
AST
26.4
9.0
STL
8.1
5.2
BLK
3.8
14.0
TOV
13.6
17.9
PF
15.5
119.3
PTS
110.6

Offense/Defense

NO
Four Factors
MIA
.519
eFG%
.543
12.8
TOV%
12.5
26.3
RB%
75.8
.184
FT/FGA
.157

Defense/Offense

NO
Four Factors
MIA
.564
eFG%
.544
12.3
TOV%
12.4
72.7
RB%
22.3
.190
FT/FGA
.183

Offense/Defense

NO
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
40.8
FG
42.3
90.3
FGA
90.9
.452
FG%
.466
12.1
3Pt-FG
14.0
34.8
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.347
3Pt%
.360
28.8
2Pt-FG
28.3
55.5
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.518
2Pt%
.545
16.6
FT
14.3
22.1
FTA
18.4
.754
FT%
.776
12.2
ORB
11.0
31.7
DRB
34.8
43.8
TRB
45.8
26.0
AST
27.2
8.6
STL
7.7
5.3
BLK
4.8
14.7
TOV
14.2
18.4
PF
17.4
110.4
PTS
112.9

Defense/Offense

NO
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
82
Games
82
43.9
FG
41.5
91.0
FGA
89.3
.483
FG%
.465
14.7
3Pt-FG
14.1
40.3
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.365
3Pt%
.367
29.3
2Pt-FG
27.5
50.6
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.578
2Pt%
.538
17.3
FT
16.4
22.0
FTA
20.7
.786
FT%
.791
11.9
ORB
10.0
34.1
DRB
34.5
46.0
TRB
44.5
28.8
AST
27.1
9.1
STL
8.4
5.2
BLK
3.9
14.1
TOV
13.9
18.0
PF
16.0
119.9
PTS
113.5

NO
Analytics
MIA
20
Pythag Wins
42
62
Pythag Losses
40
-9.43
Margin Of Victory
0.56
110.4
O Rtg
113.5
119.9
D Rtg
112.9
99.1
Pace
96.2
.244
FTr
.232
.385
3PAr
.429
.552
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NO MIA
NO MIA
Consensus
+10.0 (-108)
-10.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-110)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-112)
FanDuel
FanDuel $250 Bonus
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-112)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+9.0 (-107)
-9.0 (-107)
+8.5 (-107)
-8.5 (-114)
Caesars
Caesars
Get $150 In Bonus Bets
+9.0 (-115)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-115)
-9.0 (-105)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
NO MIA
NO MIA
Consensus
+310
-400
+291
-365
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
+310
-395
+295
-375
FanDuel
FanDuel $250 Bonus
+290
-360
+295
-370
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
+280
-385
+275
-345
Caesars
Caesars
Get $150 In Bonus Bets
+320
-420
+285
-365
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
+310
-400
+290
-375
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
222.0 (-113)
222.0 (-108)
220.5 (-109)
220.5 (-112)
DraftKings
DraftKings $200 Bonus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
220.0 (-115)
220.0 (-105)
FanDuel
FanDuel $250 Bonus
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
220.0 (-112)
220.0 (-108)
BetRivers
BetRivers Up To $500 Bonus
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
220.5 (-108)
220.5 (-113)
Caesars
Caesars
Get $150 In Bonus Bets
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
220.0 (-105)
220.0 (-115)
BetMGM
BetMGM Up To $1500 Bonus
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)
220.5 (-110)
220.5 (-110)

Betting trends

  • Betting Trends
  • Head to Head
  • Teams Last 10
NO
Betting Trends
  • Last 3
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
MIA
0-3-0
Win/Loss/Tie
2-1-0
1-2-0
ATS W/L/P
2-1-0
116
Avg Score
101
125.33
Avg Opp Score
102.67
0-5-0
Win/Loss/Tie
3-2-0
2-3-0
ATS W/L/P
3-2-0
114
Avg Score
105.4
122.4
Avg Opp Score
104.8
0-10-0
Win/Loss/Tie
6-4-0
4-6-0
ATS W/L/P
5-5-0
112.1
Avg Score
110.5
121.5
Avg Opp Score
108.1
DATE
TM
LN
ML
1st
03/22/24
NO
207.5
+124
21
MIA
-3.0
-149
20
02/23/24
MIA
220.5
+112
31
NO
-2.5
-134
24
01/22/23
NO
217.5
+240
32
MIA
-7.0
-300
23
01/18/23
MIA
219.5
-158
36
NO
3.0
+132
23
02/10/22
MIA
217.0
-162
27
NO
3.5
+137
24
11/17/21
NO
211.0
+214
34
MIA
-6.5
-275
21
03/04/21
MIA
225.0
-132
31
NO
2.0
+109
15
12/25/20
NO
222.0
+123
26
MIA
-3.0
-146
29
03/06/20
MIA
231.5
+101
26
NO
-1.5
-120
32
11/16/19
NO
225.5
+289
22
MIA
-8.0
-365
29

New Orleans Pelicans

04/13/25
OKC
401.5
-1242
66
NO
21.8
+880
33
04/11/25
MIA
359.1
-1887
59
NO
25.1
+1202
40
04/10/25
NO
198.2
+739
23
MIL
-14.7
-1247
19
04/08/25
NO
363.0
+172
41
BKN
-2.6
-204
44
04/06/25
MIL
117.1
-123
15
NO
1.7
+102
17
04/04/25
NO
134.4
+480
18
LAL
-9.4
-788
15
04/02/25
NO
88.2
+454
3
LAC
-7.2
-939
4
03/30/25
CHA
343.5
+191
40
NO
-4.0
-228
34
03/28/25
GS
344.3
-2016
32
NO
24.3
+1198
43
03/24/25
PHI
250.5
+140
26
NO
-3.3
-165
32

Miami Heat

04/16/25
MIA
181.1
+91
32
CHI
-1.6
-107
23
04/13/25
WAS
375.4
+488
52
MIA
-14.8
-601
49
04/11/25
MIA
359.1
-1887
59
NO
25.1
+1202
40
04/09/25
MIA
208.4
-120
29
CHI
2.1
+102
25
04/07/25
PHI
271.9
+594
35
MIA
-15.0
-806
36
04/03/25
MEM
252.7
-245
25
MIA
6.9
+207
30
04/02/25
MIA
85.0
+147
12
BOS
-4.2
-191
4
03/31/25
MIA
177.0
-361
30
WAS
6.5
+285
19
03/29/25
MIA
172.9
-258
27
PHI
5.2
+211
23
03/27/25
ATL
104.8
+48
15
MIA
-0.7
-57
10

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