New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans

Jan 1, 2025

Miami Heat

Miami Heat
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks 1/1/2025

  • Date: January 1, 2025
  • Venue: Kaseya Center


Betting Odds

Spread:New Orleans Pelicans 8.5 (-110), Miami Heat -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under:222
Moneyline:New Orleans Pelicans 285, Miami Heat -340


New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
New Orleans Pelicans - 25%New Orleans Pelicans - 22%
Miami Heat - 75%Miami Heat - 78%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans will face off against the Miami Heat on Wednesday night at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center. The Pelicans are struggling significantly this season with a record of 5-28, extending their current losing streak to 10 games after a narrow defeat to the LA Clippers (116-113) in their last outing. In contrast, the Heat are enjoying a more favorable stretch, boasting a 16-14 record and having recently secured a win against the Houston Rockets (104-100).

Miami has the advantage of extra rest, having last played three days ago, which could bolster their chances against a fatigued Pelicans squad. The Heat have been strong at home, winning 8 of their last 10 games in front of their fans, making them a significant favorite in this matchup. Currently, the spread is set at Heat -8.5, with a moneyline of -340 for the Heat and +285 for the Pelicans, translating to an implied win probability of 75% for Miami and just 25% for New Orleans.

Betting enthusiasts may want to keep an eye on Trey Murphy III's Points and Rebounds, as it has emerged as the most popular player prop market for this game. Additionally, sharp bettors are leaning towards the Under, with current lines set at Under 24.5 Points and Rebounds (-110), indicating confidence that this figure could be mispriced.


New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction

Final Score: New Orleans Pelicans 107.6 vs Miami Heat 117.37

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+9.0/-115
41% NO
-9.0/-105
59% MIA

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+300
7% NO
-355
93% MIA

Total Pick Consensus

222.0/-115
50% UN
222.0/-105
50% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

NO
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
33
Games
30
39.6
FG
40.2
90.1
FGA
87.6
.440
FG%
.459
11.3
3Pt-FG
13.4
33.7
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.335
3Pt%
.360
28.3
2Pt-FG
26.8
56.4
2Pt-FGA
50.3
.502
2Pt%
.532
16.2
FT
14.9
21.2
FTA
18.5
.764
FT%
.805
12.6
ORB
11.2
30.3
DRB
34.3
42.9
TRB
45.5
24.5
AST
26.4
9.7
STL
7.1
5.4
BLK
5.1
15.3
TOV
15.3
18.6
PF
19.0
106.7
PTS
108.7

Defense/Offense

NO
Team Stats Per Game
MIA
33
Games
30
43.6
FG
39.2
89.9
FGA
86.8
.485
FG%
.452
14.4
3Pt-FG
14.4
38.5
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.373
3Pt%
.373
29.2
2Pt-FG
24.9
51.4
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.569
2Pt%
.515
16.4
FT
18.2
20.6
FTA
23.2
.796
FT%
.784
11.9
ORB
9.9
33.7
DRB
33.7
45.7
TRB
43.5
28.4
AST
25.4
9.3
STL
9.0
5.8
BLK
3.5
15.0
TOV
13.5
17.7
PF
16.7
117.9
PTS
111.0

Offense/Defense

NO
Four Factors
MIA
.503
eFG%
.536
13.3
TOV%
13.8
27.2
RB%
75.1
.179
FT/FGA
.170

Defense/Offense

NO
Four Factors
MIA
.565
eFG%
.535
13.2
TOV%
12.2
71.8
RB%
22.3
.183
FT/FGA
.210

Offense/Defense

NO
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
33
Games
30
39.9
FG
41.1
90.8
FGA
89.4
.440
FG%
.459
11.4
3Pt-FG
13.7
34.0
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.335
3Pt%
.360
28.5
2Pt-FG
27.3
56.8
2Pt-FGA
51.3
.502
2Pt%
.532
16.3
FT
15.2
21.3
FTA
18.9
.764
FT%
.805
12.7
ORB
11.4
30.6
DRB
35.1
43.3
TRB
46.5
24.7
AST
26.9
9.8
STL
7.3
5.4
BLK
5.2
15.4
TOV
15.7
18.8
PF
19.4
107.6
PTS
111.0

Defense/Offense

NO
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIA
33
Games
30
43.9
FG
40.1
90.7
FGA
88.6
.485
FG%
.452
14.5
3Pt-FG
14.7
38.9
3Pt-FGA
39.3
.373
3Pt%
.373
29.5
2Pt-FG
25.4
51.8
2Pt-FGA
49.3
.569
2Pt%
.515
16.6
FT
18.6
20.8
FTA
23.7
.796
FT%
.784
12.0
ORB
10.1
34.0
DRB
34.4
46.1
TRB
44.5
28.6
AST
25.9
9.4
STL
9.2
5.9
BLK
3.6
15.2
TOV
13.8
17.8
PF
17.1
118.9
PTS
113.4

NO
Analytics
MIA
6
Pythag Wins
17
27
Pythag Losses
13
-11.27
Margin Of Victory
2.33
107.6
O Rtg
113.4
118.9
D Rtg
111.0
98.9
Pace
96.9
.235
FTr
.267
.374
3PAr
.443
.537
TS%
.572

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
NO MIA
NO MIA
Consensus
+10.0 (-108)
-10.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-109)
+9.0 (-115)
-9.0 (-110)
+9.0 (-115)
-9.0 (-105)
+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-112)
+9.0 (-108)
-9.0 (-112)
+9.0 (-114)
-9.0 (-107)
+9.5 (-114)
-9.5 (-107)
+9.0 (-110)
-9.0 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-105)
+8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
NO MIA
NO MIA
Consensus
+310
-400
+289
-359
+310
-395
+280
-355
+290
-360
+310
-390
+280
-385
+300
-385
+320
-420
+278
-355
+310
-400
+280
-350
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
222.0 (-113)
222.0 (-108)
221.0 (-112)
221.0 (-109)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
222.0 (-105)
222.0 (-115)
221.0 (-110)
221.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.5 (-110)
221.0 (-112)
221.0 (-109)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-110)
222.0 (-105)
222.0 (-115)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)
221.5 (-115)
221.5 (-105)