Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 28, 2024

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns Game 4 Prediction – 4/28/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 28, 2024
  • Venue: Footprint Center
  • Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 (-110), Phoenix Suns 1.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 212
  • Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves -120, Phoenix Suns 100

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Minnesota Timberwolves - 52%
  • Phoenix Suns - 48%

Projected Win %:

  • Minnesota Timberwolves - 59%
  • Phoenix Suns - 41%

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves (59-26) are set to face off against the Phoenix Suns (49-36) in an NBA Sunday Night game, in Game 4 of their first round playoff series in the Western Conference. The highly anticipated matchup will take place at the Footprint Center, the home arena of the Suns. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 PM ET.

Despite being on the road, the Timberwolves come into the game as slight favorites. The current spread favors them by 1.5 points. In terms of the moneyline, the Timberwolves hold a slight advantage with odds of -120, while the Suns have odds of +100.

Based on the odds, the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 52%, while the Suns have a 48% chance of winning. This suggests that the game is expected to be closely contested.

The Timberwolves have been playing excellent basketball recently, winning 34 of their last 50 games. On the other hand, the Suns have been struggling, having lost their previous three games. This sets up an intriguing clash between two teams trending in different directions.

In their most recent meeting, the Timberwolves secured a convincing victory over the Suns, defeating them 126-109. This result was considered an upset, as the Timberwolves entered the game as 6.0 underdogs with a mere 31% chance of winning.

One player to watch in this game is Karl-Anthony Towns of the Timberwolves. His Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) have become a popular betting market for this matchup. Bettors have been particularly interested in the under, with many believing that the current line of 27.5 PRA for Towns is mispriced and offers value.

As the game approaches, sharp bettors are keeping a close eye on the PRA market and the potential opportunity to capitalize on the under. The current price for the under 27.5 PRA for Towns stands at -105.

With the Timberwolves aiming to continue their strong form and the Suns looking to break their losing streak, this Sunday Night game promises to be an exciting battle between two competitive teams. Basketball fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating the outcome of this matchup.

Pick and Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves 109.13 - Phoenix Suns 105.78

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-110
21% MIN
-1.0/-110
79% PHO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-105
68% MIN
-116
32% PHO

Total Pick Consensus

213.0/-110
13% UN
213.0/-110
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
25
Games
25
39.2
FG
41.8
85.4
FGA
89.0
.459
FG%
.470
14.8
3Pt-FG
13.6
40.0
3Pt-FGA
37.1
.371
3Pt%
.368
24.4
2Pt-FG
28.2
45.4
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.537
2Pt%
.543
16.5
FT
16.8
20.8
FTA
21.2
.794
FT%
.794
9.5
ORB
10.5
33.3
DRB
33.2
42.8
TRB
43.8
24.8
AST
26.5
8.8
STL
8.0
4.8
BLK
4.4
16.0
TOV
12.9
18.2
PF
19.8
109.8
PTS
114.2

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
25
Games
25
39.4
FG
40.3
87.0
FGA
85.5
.454
FG%
.471
11.6
3Pt-FG
15.2
35.0
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.333
3Pt%
.383
27.8
2Pt-FG
25.1
52.0
2Pt-FGA
45.9
.535
2Pt%
.547
15.0
FT
18.2
19.1
FTA
22.9
.788
FT%
.794
10.6
ORB
9.4
32.4
DRB
33.7
43.0
TRB
43.1
23.8
AST
27.0
9.3
STL
7.7
4.8
BLK
4.8
16.1
TOV
13.9
19.4
PF
18.2
105.6
PTS
114.0

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
PHO
.546
eFG%
.546
14.4
TOV%
11.6
22.7
RB%
76.2
.193
FT/FGA
.189

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
PHO
.520
eFG%
.560
14.5
TOV%
12.7
75.9
RB%
22.0
.173
FT/FGA
.213

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
25
Games
25
39.8
FG
42.6
86.8
FGA
90.7
.459
FG%
.470
15.1
3Pt-FG
13.9
40.7
3Pt-FGA
37.8
.371
3Pt%
.368
24.8
2Pt-FG
28.7
46.1
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.537
2Pt%
.543
16.7
FT
17.2
21.1
FTA
21.6
.794
FT%
.794
9.7
ORB
10.7
33.8
DRB
33.9
43.5
TRB
44.6
25.2
AST
27.0
8.9
STL
8.2
4.8
BLK
4.5
16.2
TOV
13.1
18.5
PF
20.2
111.5
PTS
116.3

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
25
Games
25
40.0
FG
41.0
88.3
FGA
87.1
.454
FG%
.471
11.8
3Pt-FG
15.5
35.5
3Pt-FGA
40.4
.333
3Pt%
.383
28.2
2Pt-FG
25.5
52.8
2Pt-FGA
46.7
.535
2Pt%
.547
15.3
FT
18.5
19.4
FTA
23.3
.788
FT%
.794
10.7
ORB
9.6
32.9
DRB
34.4
43.7
TRB
43.9
24.1
AST
27.5
9.5
STL
7.9
4.9
BLK
4.9
16.4
TOV
14.2
19.7
PF
18.5
107.2
PTS
116.1

MIN
Analytics
PHO
16
Pythag Wins
12
9
Pythag Losses
13
4.24
Margin Of Victory
-0.20
111.5
O Rtg
116.1
107.2
D Rtg
116.3
97.7
Pace
97.4
.243
FTr
.268
.469
3PAr
.464
.580
TS%
.596

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN PHO
MIN PHO
Consensus
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-111)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-108)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-109)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-115)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-105)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIN PHO
MIN PHO
Consensus
-116
-105
-105
-116
-118
-102
-105
-115
-112
-104
-104
-112
-115
-104
-103
-117
-115
-105
-110
-110
-110
-110
-105
-115
-115
-105
-105
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
212.0 (-112)
212.0 (-110)
213.0 (-109)
213.0 (-113)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.0 (-112)
212.0 (-109)
213.0 (-108)
213.0 (-113)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
214.0 (-115)
214.0 (-105)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
208.5 (-115)
208.5 (-105)
213.5 (-105)
213.5 (-115)