Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 28, 2024

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns Game 4 Prediction – 4/28/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 28, 2024
  • Venue: Footprint Center
  • Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 (-110), Phoenix Suns 1.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 212
  • Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves -120, Phoenix Suns 100

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Minnesota Timberwolves - 52%
  • Phoenix Suns - 48%

Projected Win %:

  • Minnesota Timberwolves - 59%
  • Phoenix Suns - 41%

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves (59-26) are set to face off against the Phoenix Suns (49-36) in an NBA Sunday Night game, in Game 4 of their first round playoff series in the Western Conference. The highly anticipated matchup will take place at the Footprint Center, the home arena of the Suns. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 PM ET.

Despite being on the road, the Timberwolves come into the game as slight favorites. The current spread favors them by 1.5 points. In terms of the moneyline, the Timberwolves hold a slight advantage with odds of -120, while the Suns have odds of +100.

Based on the odds, the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 52%, while the Suns have a 48% chance of winning. This suggests that the game is expected to be closely contested.

The Timberwolves have been playing excellent basketball recently, winning 34 of their last 50 games. On the other hand, the Suns have been struggling, having lost their previous three games. This sets up an intriguing clash between two teams trending in different directions.

In their most recent meeting, the Timberwolves secured a convincing victory over the Suns, defeating them 126-109. This result was considered an upset, as the Timberwolves entered the game as 6.0 underdogs with a mere 31% chance of winning.

One player to watch in this game is Karl-Anthony Towns of the Timberwolves. His Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) have become a popular betting market for this matchup. Bettors have been particularly interested in the under, with many believing that the current line of 27.5 PRA for Towns is mispriced and offers value.

As the game approaches, sharp bettors are keeping a close eye on the PRA market and the potential opportunity to capitalize on the under. The current price for the under 27.5 PRA for Towns stands at -105.

With the Timberwolves aiming to continue their strong form and the Suns looking to break their losing streak, this Sunday Night game promises to be an exciting battle between two competitive teams. Basketball fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating the outcome of this matchup.

Pick and Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves 109.13 - Phoenix Suns 105.78

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-110
21% MIN
-1.0/-110
79% PHO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-105
68% MIN
-116
32% PHO

Total Pick Consensus

213.0/-110
13% UN
213.0/-110
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
82
Games
82
41.0
FG
42.6
87.6
FGA
90.1
.468
FG%
.473
15.0
3Pt-FG
14.2
39.9
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.377
3Pt%
.370
26.0
2Pt-FG
28.4
47.7
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.545
2Pt%
.549
17.2
FT
17.2
21.8
FTA
21.8
.789
FT%
.790
11.1
ORB
11.5
33.2
DRB
32.7
44.3
TRB
44.2
26.1
AST
27.3
8.0
STL
8.5
5.0
BLK
4.0
14.5
TOV
12.2
18.3
PF
18.4
114.3
PTS
116.6

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
82
Games
82
40.5
FG
41.2
88.0
FGA
86.3
.460
FG%
.478
12.7
3Pt-FG
14.3
36.0
3Pt-FGA
38.0
.353
3Pt%
.378
27.8
2Pt-FG
26.9
52.0
2Pt-FGA
48.3
.534
2Pt%
.556
15.7
FT
16.8
20.4
FTA
20.8
.767
FT%
.810
11.0
ORB
9.5
31.8
DRB
32.9
42.9
TRB
42.5
24.8
AST
27.8
8.4
STL
7.2
4.5
BLK
4.8
14.7
TOV
14.1
19.2
PF
17.9
109.3
PTS
113.6

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
PHO
.554
eFG%
.552
13.0
TOV%
10.9
25.8
RB%
74.1
.196
FT/FGA
.191

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
PHO
.532
eFG%
.561
13.2
TOV%
12.8
75.1
RB%
22.6
.178
FT/FGA
.195

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
82
Games
82
41.8
FG
43.6
89.3
FGA
92.1
.468
FG%
.473
15.3
3Pt-FG
14.5
40.7
3Pt-FGA
39.2
.377
3Pt%
.370
26.5
2Pt-FG
29.1
48.7
2Pt-FGA
52.9
.545
2Pt%
.549
17.6
FT
17.6
22.3
FTA
22.3
.789
FT%
.790
11.3
ORB
11.8
33.9
DRB
33.4
45.2
TRB
45.2
26.6
AST
27.9
8.1
STL
8.7
5.1
BLK
4.1
14.8
TOV
12.5
18.6
PF
18.8
116.6
PTS
119.3

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
82
Games
82
41.3
FG
42.2
89.7
FGA
88.2
.460
FG%
.478
12.9
3Pt-FG
14.7
36.7
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.353
3Pt%
.378
28.3
2Pt-FG
27.5
53.0
2Pt-FGA
49.4
.534
2Pt%
.556
16.0
FT
17.2
20.8
FTA
21.2
.767
FT%
.810
11.3
ORB
9.8
32.5
DRB
33.7
43.7
TRB
43.4
25.3
AST
28.4
8.5
STL
7.4
4.6
BLK
4.9
15.0
TOV
14.4
19.5
PF
18.3
111.5
PTS
116.2

MIN
Analytics
PHO
53
Pythag Wins
34
29
Pythag Losses
48
5.00
Margin Of Victory
-3.00
116.6
O Rtg
116.2
111.5
D Rtg
119.3
97.3
Pace
97.1
.249
FTr
.241
.455
3PAr
.440
.588
TS%
.595

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN PHO
MIN PHO
Consensus
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-111)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-108)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-109)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-115)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-105)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIN PHO
MIN PHO
Consensus
-116
-105
-105
-116
-118
-102
-105
-115
-112
-104
-104
-112
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
212.0 (-112)
212.0 (-110)
213.0 (-109)
213.0 (-113)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.0 (-112)
212.0 (-109)
213.0 (-108)
213.0 (-113)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
214.0 (-115)
214.0 (-105)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
208.5 (-115)
208.5 (-105)
213.5 (-105)
213.5 (-115)

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