Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 28, 2024

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns Game 4 Prediction – 4/28/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 28, 2024
  • Venue: Footprint Center
  • Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 (-110), Phoenix Suns 1.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 212
  • Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves -120, Phoenix Suns 100

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Minnesota Timberwolves - 52%
  • Phoenix Suns - 48%

Projected Win %:

  • Minnesota Timberwolves - 59%
  • Phoenix Suns - 41%

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves (59-26) are set to face off against the Phoenix Suns (49-36) in an NBA Sunday Night game, in Game 4 of their first round playoff series in the Western Conference. The highly anticipated matchup will take place at the Footprint Center, the home arena of the Suns. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 PM ET.

Despite being on the road, the Timberwolves come into the game as slight favorites. The current spread favors them by 1.5 points. In terms of the moneyline, the Timberwolves hold a slight advantage with odds of -120, while the Suns have odds of +100.

Based on the odds, the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 52%, while the Suns have a 48% chance of winning. This suggests that the game is expected to be closely contested.

The Timberwolves have been playing excellent basketball recently, winning 34 of their last 50 games. On the other hand, the Suns have been struggling, having lost their previous three games. This sets up an intriguing clash between two teams trending in different directions.

In their most recent meeting, the Timberwolves secured a convincing victory over the Suns, defeating them 126-109. This result was considered an upset, as the Timberwolves entered the game as 6.0 underdogs with a mere 31% chance of winning.

One player to watch in this game is Karl-Anthony Towns of the Timberwolves. His Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) have become a popular betting market for this matchup. Bettors have been particularly interested in the under, with many believing that the current line of 27.5 PRA for Towns is mispriced and offers value.

As the game approaches, sharp bettors are keeping a close eye on the PRA market and the potential opportunity to capitalize on the under. The current price for the under 27.5 PRA for Towns stands at -105.

With the Timberwolves aiming to continue their strong form and the Suns looking to break their losing streak, this Sunday Night game promises to be an exciting battle between two competitive teams. Basketball fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating the outcome of this matchup.

Pick and Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves 109.13 - Phoenix Suns 105.78

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-110
21% MIN
-1.0/-110
79% PHO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-105
68% MIN
-116
32% PHO

Total Pick Consensus

213.0/-110
13% UN
213.0/-110
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
40
Games
40
39.3
FG
41.6
85.6
FGA
89.7
.459
FG%
.464
15.1
3Pt-FG
13.8
39.8
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.380
3Pt%
.362
24.2
2Pt-FG
27.8
45.7
2Pt-FGA
51.7
.528
2Pt%
.539
16.1
FT
17.2
20.6
FTA
21.9
.780
FT%
.786
10.4
ORB
11.7
33.4
DRB
33.1
43.7
TRB
44.9
24.8
AST
26.8
8.0
STL
8.2
4.8
BLK
4.3
15.8
TOV
12.9
18.0
PF
19.5
109.8
PTS
114.2

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
40
Games
40
40.0
FG
40.5
88.1
FGA
85.4
.454
FG%
.474
12.9
3Pt-FG
14.1
36.9
3Pt-FGA
37.3
.349
3Pt%
.378
27.2
2Pt-FG
26.4
51.2
2Pt-FGA
48.1
.530
2Pt%
.549
15.0
FT
17.9
19.3
FTA
22.4
.777
FT%
.796
11.2
ORB
9.3
32.0
DRB
33.1
43.2
TRB
42.4
24.4
AST
27.5
9.6
STL
7.8
4.9
BLK
5.1
15.0
TOV
14.0
18.9
PF
18.1
107.9
PTS
112.9

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
PHO
.547
eFG%
.540
14.3
TOV%
11.5
24.4
RB%
73.8
.188
FT/FGA
.192

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
PHO
.527
eFG%
.557
13.4
TOV%
12.8
74.9
RB%
21.8
.170
FT/FGA
.209

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
40
Games
40
40.2
FG
42.5
87.6
FGA
91.7
.459
FG%
.464
15.5
3Pt-FG
14.1
40.8
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.380
3Pt%
.362
24.7
2Pt-FG
28.4
46.8
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.528
2Pt%
.539
16.5
FT
17.6
21.1
FTA
22.4
.780
FT%
.786
10.6
ORB
12.0
34.2
DRB
33.9
44.8
TRB
45.8
25.4
AST
27.4
8.2
STL
8.4
4.9
BLK
4.4
16.1
TOV
13.2
18.4
PF
20.0
112.4
PTS
116.7

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
40
Games
40
41.0
FG
41.4
90.2
FGA
87.2
.454
FG%
.474
13.2
3Pt-FG
14.4
37.7
3Pt-FGA
38.1
.349
3Pt%
.378
27.8
2Pt-FG
27.0
52.4
2Pt-FGA
49.1
.530
2Pt%
.549
15.4
FT
18.2
19.8
FTA
22.9
.777
FT%
.796
11.4
ORB
9.5
32.8
DRB
33.8
44.2
TRB
43.3
25.0
AST
28.1
9.8
STL
7.9
5.0
BLK
5.2
15.3
TOV
14.3
19.4
PF
18.5
110.5
PTS
115.4

MIN
Analytics
PHO
22
Pythag Wins
18
18
Pythag Losses
22
1.90
Margin Of Victory
-1.28
112.4
O Rtg
115.4
110.5
D Rtg
116.7
97.1
Pace
97.3
.241
FTr
.263
.466
3PAr
.437
.580
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN PHO
MIN PHO
Consensus
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-111)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-108)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-109)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-115)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-105)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIN PHO
MIN PHO
Consensus
-116
-105
-105
-116
-118
-102
-105
-115
-112
-104
-104
-112
-115
-104
-103
-117
-115
-105
-110
-110
-110
-110
-105
-115
-115
-105
-105
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
212.0 (-112)
212.0 (-110)
213.0 (-109)
213.0 (-113)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.0 (-112)
212.0 (-109)
213.0 (-108)
213.0 (-113)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
214.0 (-115)
214.0 (-105)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
208.5 (-115)
208.5 (-105)
213.5 (-105)
213.5 (-115)