Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

Apr 28, 2024

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns Game 4 Prediction – 4/28/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: April 28, 2024
  • Venue: Footprint Center
  • Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 (-110), Phoenix Suns 1.5 (-110)
  • Total (Over/Under): 212
  • Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves -120, Phoenix Suns 100

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

  • Minnesota Timberwolves - 52%
  • Phoenix Suns - 48%

Projected Win %:

  • Minnesota Timberwolves - 59%
  • Phoenix Suns - 41%

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves (59-26) are set to face off against the Phoenix Suns (49-36) in an NBA Sunday Night game, in Game 4 of their first round playoff series in the Western Conference. The highly anticipated matchup will take place at the Footprint Center, the home arena of the Suns. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 PM ET.

Despite being on the road, the Timberwolves come into the game as slight favorites. The current spread favors them by 1.5 points. In terms of the moneyline, the Timberwolves hold a slight advantage with odds of -120, while the Suns have odds of +100.

Based on the odds, the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 52%, while the Suns have a 48% chance of winning. This suggests that the game is expected to be closely contested.

The Timberwolves have been playing excellent basketball recently, winning 34 of their last 50 games. On the other hand, the Suns have been struggling, having lost their previous three games. This sets up an intriguing clash between two teams trending in different directions.

In their most recent meeting, the Timberwolves secured a convincing victory over the Suns, defeating them 126-109. This result was considered an upset, as the Timberwolves entered the game as 6.0 underdogs with a mere 31% chance of winning.

One player to watch in this game is Karl-Anthony Towns of the Timberwolves. His Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) have become a popular betting market for this matchup. Bettors have been particularly interested in the under, with many believing that the current line of 27.5 PRA for Towns is mispriced and offers value.

As the game approaches, sharp bettors are keeping a close eye on the PRA market and the potential opportunity to capitalize on the under. The current price for the under 27.5 PRA for Towns stands at -105.

With the Timberwolves aiming to continue their strong form and the Suns looking to break their losing streak, this Sunday Night game promises to be an exciting battle between two competitive teams. Basketball fans and bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating the outcome of this matchup.

Pick and Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves 109.13 - Phoenix Suns 105.78

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+1.0/-110
21% MIN
-1.0/-110
79% PHO

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-105
68% MIN
-116
32% PHO

Total Pick Consensus

213.0/-110
13% UN
213.0/-110
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
13
Games
13
40.8
FG
41.7
86.2
FGA
90.8
.473
FG%
.459
15.7
3Pt-FG
13.1
41.5
3Pt-FGA
36.0
.378
3Pt%
.363
25.1
2Pt-FG
28.6
44.7
2Pt-FGA
54.8
.561
2Pt%
.522
16.2
FT
16.2
20.4
FTA
20.0
.792
FT%
.812
9.5
ORB
10.8
31.8
DRB
35.2
41.3
TRB
46.0
25.2
AST
25.9
8.2
STL
7.8
4.5
BLK
4.6
16.4
TOV
12.9
19.8
PF
21.3
113.4
PTS
112.7

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per Game
PHO
13
Games
13
41.1
FG
38.8
87.8
FGA
85.9
.468
FG%
.452
11.3
3Pt-FG
14.9
33.0
3Pt-FGA
40.8
.343
3Pt%
.365
29.8
2Pt-FG
23.9
54.8
2Pt-FGA
45.1
.543
2Pt%
.531
17.2
FT
19.3
21.3
FTA
24.8
.805
FT%
.777
10.5
ORB
9.5
31.5
DRB
34.8
42.1
TRB
44.4
23.6
AST
25.8
9.7
STL
7.5
5.2
BLK
5.5
14.9
TOV
13.5
19.5
PF
17.5
110.6
PTS
111.9

Offense/Defense

MIN
Four Factors
PHO
.564
eFG%
.531
14.7
TOV%
11.5
23.2
RB%
76.4
.187
FT/FGA
.179

Defense/Offense

MIN
Four Factors
PHO
.532
eFG%
.539
13.3
TOV%
12.2
75.1
RB%
21.3
.195
FT/FGA
.225

Offense/Defense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
13
Games
13
41.1
FG
42.1
87.0
FGA
91.7
.473
FG%
.459
15.8
3Pt-FG
13.2
41.9
3Pt-FGA
36.4
.378
3Pt%
.363
25.3
2Pt-FG
28.9
45.1
2Pt-FGA
55.4
.561
2Pt%
.522
16.3
FT
16.4
20.6
FTA
20.2
.792
FT%
.812
9.6
ORB
10.9
32.0
DRB
35.6
41.7
TRB
46.5
25.4
AST
26.2
8.2
STL
7.9
4.6
BLK
4.7
16.5
TOV
13.1
19.9
PF
21.5
114.4
PTS
113.9

Defense/Offense

MIN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
PHO
13
Games
13
41.4
FG
39.3
88.6
FGA
86.8
.468
FG%
.452
11.4
3Pt-FG
15.1
33.3
3Pt-FGA
41.3
.343
3Pt%
.365
30.0
2Pt-FG
24.2
55.3
2Pt-FGA
45.6
.543
2Pt%
.531
17.3
FT
19.5
21.5
FTA
25.1
.805
FT%
.777
10.6
ORB
9.6
31.8
DRB
35.2
42.4
TRB
44.9
23.8
AST
26.0
9.8
STL
7.6
5.3
BLK
5.6
15.1
TOV
13.6
19.7
PF
17.7
111.6
PTS
113.1

MIN
Analytics
PHO
8
Pythag Wins
6
5
Pythag Losses
7
2.77
Margin Of Victory
-0.77
114.4
O Rtg
113.1
111.6
D Rtg
113.9
98.4
Pace
97.4
.236
FTr
.289
.482
3PAr
.475
.596
TS%
.578

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
MIN PHO
MIN PHO
Consensus
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-111)
-1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-108)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
+1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-108)
-1.0 (-109)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-109)
-1.0 (-112)
-1.0 (-115)
+1.0 (-110)
+1.0 (-115)
-1.0 (-105)
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
+1.0 (-110)
-1.0 (-110)
-1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
MIN PHO
MIN PHO
Consensus
-116
-105
-105
-116
-118
-102
-105
-115
-112
-104
-104
-112
-115
-104
-103
-117
-115
-105
-110
-110
-110
-110
-105
-115
-115
-105
-105
-115
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
212.0 (-112)
212.0 (-110)
213.0 (-109)
213.0 (-113)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.5 (-110)
212.0 (-112)
212.0 (-109)
213.0 (-108)
213.0 (-113)
209.0 (-110)
209.0 (-110)
214.0 (-115)
214.0 (-105)
211.0 (-110)
211.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
213.0 (-110)
208.5 (-115)
208.5 (-105)
213.5 (-105)
213.5 (-115)