Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Nov 18, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks Pick & Prediction – 11/18/2024

  • Date: November 18, 2024
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum

Betting Odds

Spread: Houston Rockets 4 (-110), Milwaukee Bucks -4 (-110)
Over/Under: 223
Moneyline: Houston Rockets 145, Milwaukee Bucks -165

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Houston Rockets - 40% Houston Rockets - 43%
Milwaukee Bucks - 60% Milwaukee Bucks - 57%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets, riding high with a 10-4 record, are set to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks, currently sitting at 4-9, on Monday night at the Fiserv Forum. Tip-off is at 8:00 PM ET. The Rockets embark on this matchup with a five-game winning streak, including a dominant 143-107 victory over the Chicago Bulls in their last outing. However, they face the challenge of a back-to-back game, potentially impacting their performance due to fatigue.

Despite their recent struggles, with seven losses in their last ten games, the Bucks are favored at home. The current spread is Bucks -4.0, reflecting their expected advantage in Milwaukee. The moneyline odds place the Bucks at -165, implying a 60% chance of victory, while the Rockets sit at +145, translating to a 40% implied win probability.

For bettors eyeing player props, Jabari Smith Jr.'s Points and Rebounds market is garnering significant attention. The current line sits at Under 15.5, and sharp money is leaning toward the Under, suggesting perceived value in this market. Those considering this wager may want to align with the sharp action, given the momentum behind this selection.

The Bucks, who narrowly lost to the Charlotte Hornets 115-114 in their last contest, will be looking to bounce back and capitalize on the Rockets' potential fatigue. Yet, with Houston's hot streak and Milwaukee's recent inconsistency, this matchup promises to be an intriguing clash.

As both teams take the court, bettors will have a keen eye on how the Rockets handle the back-to-back challenge and whether the Bucks can leverage their home-court advantage to break out of their slump.

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Final Score: Houston Rockets 111.03 vs Milwaukee Bucks 113.5

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-112
62% HOU
-3.5/-108
38% MIL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+130
19% HOU
-155
81% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

224.0/-108
5% UN
224.0/-112
95% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
14
Games
13
42.5
FG
40.8
95.2
FGA
89.9
.446
FG%
.453
11.9
3Pt-FG
15.0
36.3
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.327
3Pt%
.379
30.6
2Pt-FG
25.8
58.9
2Pt-FGA
50.3
.520
2Pt%
.512
17.7
FT
17.1
23.4
FTA
20.7
.758
FT%
.825
14.8
ORB
10.6
35.9
DRB
35.6
50.7
TRB
46.2
22.9
AST
26.2
8.4
STL
6.8
5.4
BLK
3.8
12.9
TOV
13.2
21.3
PF
19.1
114.6
PTS
113.6

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
14
Games
13
37.7
FG
41.0
87.9
FGA
86.8
.429
FG%
.472
11.9
3Pt-FG
13.2
34.4
3Pt-FGA
37.0
.346
3Pt%
.358
25.8
2Pt-FG
27.8
53.5
2Pt-FGA
49.8
.482
2Pt%
.557
18.7
FT
16.0
24.7
FTA
22.2
.757
FT%
.720
11.3
ORB
8.7
33.1
DRB
35.0
44.4
TRB
43.7
21.9
AST
22.8
7.3
STL
7.5
6.2
BLK
5.7
15.3
TOV
13.5
19.9
PF
18.9
106.1
PTS
111.2

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
MIL
.509
eFG%
.537
10.9
TOV%
11.8
30.8
RB%
76.7
.186
FT/FGA
.190

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
MIL
.497
eFG%
.548
13.4
TOV%
12.3
76.1
RB%
19.6
.213
FT/FGA
.184

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
14
Games
13
42.4
FG
41.0
95.1
FGA
90.4
.446
FG%
.453
11.8
3Pt-FG
15.1
36.2
3Pt-FGA
39.8
.327
3Pt%
.379
30.6
2Pt-FG
25.9
58.8
2Pt-FGA
50.6
.520
2Pt%
.512
17.7
FT
17.2
23.3
FTA
20.8
.758
FT%
.825
14.8
ORB
10.7
35.9
DRB
35.8
50.6
TRB
46.5
22.9
AST
26.3
8.4
STL
6.8
5.3
BLK
3.9
12.9
TOV
13.3
21.2
PF
19.2
114.4
PTS
114.3

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
14
Games
13
37.6
FG
41.2
87.8
FGA
87.4
.429
FG%
.472
11.9
3Pt-FG
13.3
34.4
3Pt-FGA
37.2
.346
3Pt%
.358
25.7
2Pt-FG
27.9
53.4
2Pt-FGA
50.1
.482
2Pt%
.557
18.7
FT
16.1
24.7
FTA
22.4
.757
FT%
.720
11.3
ORB
8.7
33.1
DRB
35.2
44.4
TRB
43.9
21.9
AST
23.0
7.3
STL
7.5
6.2
BLK
5.7
15.3
TOV
13.6
19.8
PF
19.0
105.9
PTS
111.9

HOU
Analytics
MIL
10
Pythag Wins
6
4
Pythag Losses
7
8.50
Margin Of Victory
-2.38
114.4
O Rtg
111.9
105.9
D Rtg
114.3
99.4
Pace
98.6
.245
FTr
.256
.381
3PAr
.426
.543
TS%
.576

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU MIL
HOU MIL
Consensus
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-106)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-112)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-106)
+4.0 (-120)
-4.0 (-110)
+4.5 (-120)
-4.5 (+100)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
HOU MIL
HOU MIL
Consensus
+130
-155
+133
-157
+130
-155
+130
-155
+144
-172
+122
-144
+140
-167
+135
-162
+140
-165
+143
-170
+120
-145
+135
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
224.0 (-109)
224.0 (-112)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
224.0 (-112)
224.0 (-108)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
224.0 (-108)
224.0 (-113)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)