Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets

Nov 18, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks Pick & Prediction – 11/18/2024

  • Date: November 18, 2024
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum

Betting Odds

Spread: Houston Rockets 4 (-110), Milwaukee Bucks -4 (-110)
Over/Under: 223
Moneyline: Houston Rockets 145, Milwaukee Bucks -165

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Houston Rockets - 40% Houston Rockets - 43%
Milwaukee Bucks - 60% Milwaukee Bucks - 57%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets, riding high with a 10-4 record, are set to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks, currently sitting at 4-9, on Monday night at the Fiserv Forum. Tip-off is at 8:00 PM ET. The Rockets embark on this matchup with a five-game winning streak, including a dominant 143-107 victory over the Chicago Bulls in their last outing. However, they face the challenge of a back-to-back game, potentially impacting their performance due to fatigue.

Despite their recent struggles, with seven losses in their last ten games, the Bucks are favored at home. The current spread is Bucks -4.0, reflecting their expected advantage in Milwaukee. The moneyline odds place the Bucks at -165, implying a 60% chance of victory, while the Rockets sit at +145, translating to a 40% implied win probability.

For bettors eyeing player props, Jabari Smith Jr.'s Points and Rebounds market is garnering significant attention. The current line sits at Under 15.5, and sharp money is leaning toward the Under, suggesting perceived value in this market. Those considering this wager may want to align with the sharp action, given the momentum behind this selection.

The Bucks, who narrowly lost to the Charlotte Hornets 115-114 in their last contest, will be looking to bounce back and capitalize on the Rockets' potential fatigue. Yet, with Houston's hot streak and Milwaukee's recent inconsistency, this matchup promises to be an intriguing clash.

As both teams take the court, bettors will have a keen eye on how the Rockets handle the back-to-back challenge and whether the Bucks can leverage their home-court advantage to break out of their slump.

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Final Score: Houston Rockets 111.03 vs Milwaukee Bucks 113.5

Visit the NBA picks and predictions section for the rest of today's games.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.5/-112
68% HOU
-3.5/-108
32% MIL

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+134
23% HOU
-159
77% MIL

Total Pick Consensus

224.5/-108
5% UN
224.5/-112
95% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
40
Games
40
42.0
FG
40.4
93.6
FGA
89.7
.449
FG%
.451
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.8
36.1
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.337
3Pt%
.355
29.9
2Pt-FG
26.6
57.5
2Pt-FGA
50.9
.520
2Pt%
.523
17.8
FT
16.6
23.4
FTA
20.9
.759
FT%
.794
14.4
ORB
10.5
33.9
DRB
34.4
48.3
TRB
44.9
22.3
AST
25.5
9.0
STL
7.7
5.4
BLK
3.9
13.6
TOV
13.5
19.7
PF
18.5
114.0
PTS
111.1

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per Game
MIL
40
Games
40
39.4
FG
41.7
87.5
FGA
86.4
.450
FG%
.483
12.5
3Pt-FG
14.2
34.6
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.362
3Pt%
.388
26.8
2Pt-FG
27.5
52.9
2Pt-FGA
49.8
.507
2Pt%
.552
16.8
FT
16.1
22.7
FTA
22.0
.739
FT%
.732
10.8
ORB
8.5
32.2
DRB
35.6
42.9
TRB
44.1
22.4
AST
24.8
7.8
STL
7.7
5.9
BLK
5.2
15.4
TOV
14.2
20.1
PF
18.7
108.0
PTS
113.8

Offense/Defense

HOU
Four Factors
MIL
.514
eFG%
.527
11.6
TOV%
12.0
30.9
RB%
77.2
.190
FT/FGA
.185

Defense/Offense

HOU
Four Factors
MIL
.522
eFG%
.565
13.7
TOV%
12.9
75.9
RB%
19.8
.192
FT/FGA
.186

Offense/Defense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
40
Games
40
42.2
FG
40.5
94.0
FGA
89.9
.449
FG%
.451
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.8
36.3
3Pt-FGA
38.9
.337
3Pt%
.355
30.0
2Pt-FG
26.7
57.7
2Pt-FGA
51.0
.520
2Pt%
.523
17.8
FT
16.6
23.5
FTA
20.9
.759
FT%
.794
14.5
ORB
10.5
34.0
DRB
34.5
48.5
TRB
45.0
22.4
AST
25.5
9.0
STL
7.7
5.4
BLK
3.9
13.6
TOV
13.5
19.8
PF
18.5
114.6
PTS
111.4

Defense/Offense

HOU
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIL
40
Games
40
39.6
FG
41.8
87.9
FGA
86.7
.450
FG%
.483
12.6
3Pt-FG
14.3
34.8
3Pt-FGA
36.7
.362
3Pt%
.388
27.0
2Pt-FG
27.6
53.1
2Pt-FGA
49.9
.507
2Pt%
.552
16.8
FT
16.1
22.8
FTA
22.1
.739
FT%
.732
10.8
ORB
8.5
32.3
DRB
35.7
43.1
TRB
44.2
22.5
AST
24.8
7.8
STL
7.7
5.9
BLK
5.2
15.5
TOV
14.2
20.2
PF
18.7
108.5
PTS
114.1

HOU
Analytics
MIL
27
Pythag Wins
23
13
Pythag Losses
17
6.00
Margin Of Victory
2.65
114.6
O Rtg
114.1
108.5
D Rtg
111.4
98.7
Pace
99.5
.250
FTr
.255
.386
3PAr
.424
.549
TS%
.592

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
HOU MIL
HOU MIL
Consensus
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-109)
+3.0 (-112)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-113)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-115)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
HOU MIL
HOU MIL
Consensus
+130
-155
+134
-159
+130
-155
+136
-162
+144
-172
+142
-168
+140
-167
+130
-157
+140
-165
+126
-150
+120
-145
+135
-160
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
224.5 (-110)
224.5 (-111)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-108)
218.5 (-110)
218.5 (-110)
224.5 (-112)
224.5 (-108)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
224.5 (-108)
224.5 (-113)
220.0 (-110)
220.0 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
223.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
217.5 (-110)
224.5 (-115)
224.5 (-105)