Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

May 12, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 4 Pick 5/12/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 12, 2024
  • Venue: Target Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Denver Nuggets 2.5 (-110), Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 204.5
Moneyline: Denver Nuggets 125, Minnesota Timberwolves -145

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 43% Denver Nuggets - 34%
Minnesota Timberwolves - 57% Minnesota Timberwolves - 66%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets (62-28) are set to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (62-27) in Game 4 of their Western Conference playoff series on Sunday night. This game holds extra significance as it pits two divisional rivals against each other, adding an extra layer of motivation for both teams to secure a victory.

The game is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET and will take place at the Target Center, the home arena of the Minnesota Timberwolves, with the Wolves leading this series 2-1. The Timberwolves, being the home team, enter the game as slight favorites in the betting odds.

Speaking of odds, the current spread for the game is set at Timberwolves -2.5, indicating that they are favored to win by a margin of 2.5 points. The Moneyline for the Timberwolves is -135, while the Nuggets have a Moneyline of +115. Based on these odds, the Nuggets have an implied win probability of 45%, while the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 55%.

Both teams have been playing solid basketball as of late. The Nuggets have won 35 of their last 50 games, showcasing their consistency and ability to compete at a high level. Similarly, the Timberwolves have won 34 of their last 50 games, proving their resilience and determination on the court.

In their most recent meeting, the Nuggets emerged victorious with a dominant 117-90 win over the Timberwolves. This result may provide some additional motivation for the Timberwolves to seek redemption and even the score in this upcoming matchup.

As the game approaches, fans and sports bettors alike will be eagerly anticipating the clash between these two talented teams. With the divisional rivalry, the home-court advantage for the Timberwolves, and the intriguing betting odds, this Sunday night showdown promises to be an exciting and closely contested battle on the NBA hardwood.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 102.69 vs Minnesota Timberwolves 108.31

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.0/-110
42% DEN
-4.0/-110
58% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+145
28% DEN
-175
72% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

205.0/-110
10% UN
205.0/-110
90% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
24
Games
25
44.3
FG
39.4
89.5
FGA
87.0
.494
FG%
.454
11.5
3Pt-FG
11.6
30.4
3Pt-FGA
35.0
.380
3Pt%
.333
32.7
2Pt-FG
27.8
59.1
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.553
2Pt%
.535
19.2
FT
15.0
25.5
FTA
19.1
.753
FT%
.788
11.0
ORB
10.6
34.0
DRB
32.4
45.0
TRB
43.0
30.8
AST
23.8
9.1
STL
9.3
4.7
BLK
4.8
14.9
TOV
16.1
18.4
PF
19.4
119.2
PTS
105.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
24
Games
25
43.5
FG
39.2
93.1
FGA
85.4
.468
FG%
.459
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.8
38.8
3Pt-FGA
40.0
.359
3Pt%
.371
29.6
2Pt-FG
24.4
54.3
2Pt-FGA
45.4
.545
2Pt%
.537
15.5
FT
16.5
20.4
FTA
20.8
.759
FT%
.794
12.0
ORB
9.5
31.8
DRB
33.3
43.8
TRB
42.8
29.5
AST
24.8
9.1
STL
8.8
5.8
BLK
4.8
15.0
TOV
16.0
21.2
PF
18.2
116.5
PTS
109.8

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
MIN
.559
eFG%
.520
12.9
TOV%
14.5
25.7
RB%
75.9
.214
FT/FGA
.173

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
MIN
.542
eFG%
.546
12.8
TOV%
14.4
74.0
RB%
22.7
.166
FT/FGA
.193

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
24
Games
25
43.3
FG
40.0
87.5
FGA
88.3
.494
FG%
.454
11.3
3Pt-FG
11.8
29.7
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.380
3Pt%
.333
32.0
2Pt-FG
28.2
57.8
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.553
2Pt%
.535
18.7
FT
15.3
24.9
FTA
19.4
.753
FT%
.788
10.8
ORB
10.7
33.2
DRB
32.9
44.0
TRB
43.7
30.1
AST
24.1
8.9
STL
9.5
4.6
BLK
4.9
14.5
TOV
16.4
18.0
PF
19.7
116.5
PTS
107.2

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
24
Games
25
42.6
FG
39.8
91.0
FGA
86.8
.468
FG%
.459
13.6
3Pt-FG
15.1
37.9
3Pt-FGA
40.7
.359
3Pt%
.371
29.0
2Pt-FG
24.8
53.1
2Pt-FGA
46.1
.545
2Pt%
.537
15.2
FT
16.7
20.0
FTA
21.1
.759
FT%
.794
11.7
ORB
9.7
31.1
DRB
33.8
42.8
TRB
43.5
28.9
AST
25.2
8.9
STL
8.9
5.7
BLK
4.8
14.6
TOV
16.2
20.7
PF
18.5
113.9
PTS
111.5

DEN
Analytics
MIN
14
Pythag Wins
16
10
Pythag Losses
9
2.71
Margin Of Victory
4.24
116.5
O Rtg
111.5
113.9
D Rtg
107.2
101.4
Pace
97.7
.284
FTr
.243
.339
3PAr
.469
.592
TS%
.580

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN MIN
DEN MIN
Consensus
+2.5 (-109)
-2.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-109)
-3.5 (-113)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.0 (-110)
-4.0 (-110)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
-3.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-113)
-2.5 (-109)
+4.0 (-113)
-4.0 (-108)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DEN MIN
DEN MIN
Consensus
+115
-142
+145
-175
+114
-135
+142
-170
+122
-144
+138
-164
+117
-139
+145
-175
+115
-135
+143
-170
+115
-140
+155
-185
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
205.0 (-113)
205.0 (-108)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
203.5 (-112)
203.5 (-108)
205.0 (-112)
205.0 (-108)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
205.0 (-113)
205.0 (-108)
204.0 (-110)
204.0 (-110)
206.0 (-110)
206.0 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
203.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)