Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets

May 16, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves Game 6 Pick 5/16/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 16, 2024
  • Venue: Target Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Denver Nuggets 2.5 (-110), Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 204.5
Moneyline: Denver Nuggets 110, Minnesota Timberwolves -130

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Denver Nuggets - 46% Denver Nuggets - 48%
Minnesota Timberwolves - 54% Minnesota Timberwolves - 52%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets (64-28) are set to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (62-29) in Game 6 of their second-round playoff series in the Western Conference. Denver holds a 3-2 series lead heading into this contest, with the Wolves looking to even up the series at home to force a Game 7 back in Denver.

The game is scheduled to tip-off at 8:30 PM ET at the Target Center, the home arena of the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves, being the home team, are considered slight favorites for this contest.

According to the current spread, the Timberwolves are favored by 2.5 points. The Moneyline odds also favor the Timberwolves at -130, while the Nuggets sit at +110 on the Moneyline. Based on the odds, the Nuggets have an implied win probability of 46%, while the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 54%.

Both teams have been performing well in recent games. The Nuggets have won 36 out of their last 50 games, showcasing their strong form. The Timberwolves have also been on a positive trajectory, winning 27 out of their last 40 games.

In their previous meeting, the Nuggets emerged victorious with a convincing 112-97 win over the Timberwolves. This result adds an extra layer of anticipation to the rematch, as the Timberwolves will be seeking redemption.

For those interested in player prop markets, the Points and Assists category for Jamal Murray has been garnering significant attention. It has become the most popular betting market for this game.

Sharp bettors have been favoring the Under in this bet, as they believe it offers value and may have been mispriced. The current price for the Under 24.5 Points and Assists by Jamal Murray stands at -105.

As fans and bettors gear up for this exciting matchup, all eyes will be on the Nuggets and Timberwolves as they battle it out on the court. With divisional pride and playoff implications at stake, this game promises to be a thrilling showdown that fans won't want to miss.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Final Score: Denver Nuggets 102.51 vs Minnesota Timberwolves 103.18

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+2.0/-108
64% DEN
-2.0/-112
36% MIN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+110
35% DEN
-131
65% MIN

Total Pick Consensus

205.5/-110
4% UN
205.5/-110
96% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
24
Games
25
44.3
FG
39.4
89.5
FGA
87.0
.494
FG%
.454
11.5
3Pt-FG
11.6
30.4
3Pt-FGA
35.0
.380
3Pt%
.333
32.7
2Pt-FG
27.8
59.1
2Pt-FGA
52.0
.553
2Pt%
.535
19.2
FT
15.0
25.5
FTA
19.1
.753
FT%
.788
11.0
ORB
10.6
34.0
DRB
32.4
45.0
TRB
43.0
30.8
AST
23.8
9.1
STL
9.3
4.7
BLK
4.8
14.9
TOV
16.1
18.4
PF
19.4
119.2
PTS
105.6

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per Game
MIN
24
Games
25
43.5
FG
39.2
93.1
FGA
85.4
.468
FG%
.459
13.9
3Pt-FG
14.8
38.8
3Pt-FGA
40.0
.359
3Pt%
.371
29.6
2Pt-FG
24.4
54.3
2Pt-FGA
45.4
.545
2Pt%
.537
15.5
FT
16.5
20.4
FTA
20.8
.759
FT%
.794
12.0
ORB
9.5
31.8
DRB
33.3
43.8
TRB
42.8
29.5
AST
24.8
9.1
STL
8.8
5.8
BLK
4.8
15.0
TOV
16.0
21.2
PF
18.2
116.5
PTS
109.8

Offense/Defense

DEN
Four Factors
MIN
.559
eFG%
.520
12.9
TOV%
14.5
25.7
RB%
75.9
.214
FT/FGA
.173

Defense/Offense

DEN
Four Factors
MIN
.542
eFG%
.546
12.8
TOV%
14.4
74.0
RB%
22.7
.166
FT/FGA
.193

Offense/Defense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
24
Games
25
43.3
FG
40.0
87.5
FGA
88.3
.494
FG%
.454
11.3
3Pt-FG
11.8
29.7
3Pt-FGA
35.5
.380
3Pt%
.333
32.0
2Pt-FG
28.2
57.8
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.553
2Pt%
.535
18.7
FT
15.3
24.9
FTA
19.4
.753
FT%
.788
10.8
ORB
10.7
33.2
DRB
32.9
44.0
TRB
43.7
30.1
AST
24.1
8.9
STL
9.5
4.6
BLK
4.9
14.5
TOV
16.4
18.0
PF
19.7
116.5
PTS
107.2

Defense/Offense

DEN
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
MIN
24
Games
25
42.6
FG
39.8
91.0
FGA
86.8
.468
FG%
.459
13.6
3Pt-FG
15.1
37.9
3Pt-FGA
40.7
.359
3Pt%
.371
29.0
2Pt-FG
24.8
53.1
2Pt-FGA
46.1
.545
2Pt%
.537
15.2
FT
16.7
20.0
FTA
21.1
.759
FT%
.794
11.7
ORB
9.7
31.1
DRB
33.8
42.8
TRB
43.5
28.9
AST
25.2
8.9
STL
8.9
5.7
BLK
4.8
14.6
TOV
16.2
20.7
PF
18.5
113.9
PTS
111.5

DEN
Analytics
MIN
14
Pythag Wins
16
10
Pythag Losses
9
2.71
Margin Of Victory
4.24
116.5
O Rtg
111.5
113.9
D Rtg
107.2
101.4
Pace
97.7
.284
FTr
.243
.339
3PAr
.469
.592
TS%
.580

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DEN MIN
DEN MIN
Consensus
+3.0 (-109)
-3.0 (-109)
+2.0 (-109)
-2.0 (-113)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-110)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-108)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-112)
+3.0 (-108)
-3.0 (-109)
+2.0 (-108)
-2.0 (-113)
+2.5 (-120)
-2.5 (-110)
+2.0 (-120)
-2.0 (+100)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-105)
Open
Current
Book
DEN MIN
DEN MIN
Consensus
+120
-148
+110
-131
+124
-148
+110
-130
+120
-142
+108
-126
+123
-148
+114
-134
+115
-135
+100
-120
+120
-145
+110
-130
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-111)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-112)
205.0 (-108)
205.0 (-110)
205.0 (-110)
205.5 (-109)
205.5 (-112)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
205.5 (-115)
205.5 (-105)
204.5 (-110)
204.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)
205.5 (-110)