Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

May 7, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Prediction For 5/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 7, 2024
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 3.5 (-110), Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 218
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 140, Oklahoma City Thunder -160

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 40% Dallas Mavericks - 36%
Oklahoma City Thunder - 60% Oklahoma City Thunder - 64%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (54-34) are set to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (61-25) in an exciting Tuesday night matchup to start off their Western Conference second round playoff series. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 9:30 PM ET at the Paycom Center, the Thunder's home arena.

The Thunder, coming off a six-day break since their last game, will have the advantage of extra rest. This could play a crucial role in their performance and boost their chances of securing a victory. As a result, they are considered slight favorites at home.

According to the current spread, the Thunder are favored by 3.5 points. The moneyline stands at -160 for the Thunder and +140 for the Mavericks. Based on the odds, the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 40%, while the Thunder have a 60% chance of winning, according to the sportsbooks.

The Thunder enter the game on a hot streak, having won their last nine consecutive games. This winning momentum could give them a psychological edge heading into the matchup. On the other hand, the Mavericks have been playing solid basketball, winning 28 of their last 40 games.

For those interested in player props, keep an eye on Daniel Gafford's Points, Rebounds, and Assists. This market has been generating significant betting interest, indicating that Gafford's performance could have a significant impact on the outcome of the game.

Sharp bettors are leaning towards the Over for this matchup, believing that the line is mispriced and offers value. The current price for Gafford's Points, Rebounds, and Assists is set at Over 16.5 (-115).

As the Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to battle it out on Tuesday night, NBA fans and sports bettors alike are eagerly anticipating an exciting matchup. Will the Thunder's rest advantage and winning streak propel them to victory, or will the Mavericks continue their strong form and secure a win on the road? Only time will tell as these two teams take the court in a battle for supremacy.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 111.43 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 116.32

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Subscribe to our newsletter to get our best bets every week!

*By clicking the "Subscribe" button, you agree to receive promotional emails.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-110
50% DAL
-4.5/-110
50% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+153
20% DAL
-183
80% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-110
9% UN
218.5/-110
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
30
Games
28
43.2
FG
36.1
88.9
FGA
85.1
.486
FG%
.424
13.5
3Pt-FG
12.6
35.8
3Pt-FGA
38.2
.377
3Pt%
.331
29.7
2Pt-FG
23.5
53.1
2Pt-FGA
46.9
.559
2Pt%
.500
18.4
FT
18.3
23.8
FTA
24.8
.771
FT%
.737
11.3
ORB
12.6
34.0
DRB
35.0
45.4
TRB
47.5
25.5
AST
23.9
8.5
STL
7.1
5.5
BLK
5.0
14.2
TOV
19.1
19.2
PF
18.0
118.2
PTS
103.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
30
Games
28
41.0
FG
42.8
90.5
FGA
92.3
.453
FG%
.464
13.1
3Pt-FG
13.6
37.0
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.355
3Pt%
.349
27.9
2Pt-FG
29.2
53.5
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.521
2Pt%
.548
16.7
FT
15.8
21.7
FTA
19.5
.769
FT%
.813
12.0
ORB
10.5
31.8
DRB
33.5
43.8
TRB
44.0
26.8
AST
25.5
8.3
STL
12.2
4.1
BLK
6.3
14.3
TOV
11.9
19.1
PF
20.8
111.8
PTS
115.1

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.561
eFG%
.499
12.5
TOV%
16.6
26.3
RB%
72.7
.207
FT/FGA
.215

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.526
eFG%
.538
12.5
TOV%
10.6
74.0
RB%
23.2
.184
FT/FGA
.171

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
30
Games
28
43.3
FG
36.2
89.2
FGA
85.3
.486
FG%
.424
13.5
3Pt-FG
12.7
35.9
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.377
3Pt%
.331
29.8
2Pt-FG
23.5
53.3
2Pt-FGA
47.0
.559
2Pt%
.500
18.4
FT
18.3
23.9
FTA
24.9
.771
FT%
.737
11.4
ORB
12.6
34.1
DRB
35.0
45.5
TRB
47.6
25.6
AST
23.9
8.5
STL
7.1
5.5
BLK
5.0
14.2
TOV
19.1
19.3
PF
18.1
118.5
PTS
103.4

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
30
Games
28
41.1
FG
42.9
90.7
FGA
92.5
.453
FG%
.464
13.2
3Pt-FG
13.6
37.1
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.355
3Pt%
.349
28.0
2Pt-FG
29.3
53.7
2Pt-FGA
53.4
.521
2Pt%
.548
16.7
FT
15.9
21.7
FTA
19.5
.769
FT%
.813
12.0
ORB
10.6
31.9
DRB
33.5
43.9
TRB
44.1
26.9
AST
25.6
8.3
STL
12.2
4.1
BLK
6.3
14.3
TOV
12.0
19.2
PF
20.8
112.1
PTS
115.3

DAL
Analytics
OKC
21
Pythag Wins
23
9
Pythag Losses
5
6.37
Margin Of Victory
11.93
118.5
O Rtg
115.3
112.1
D Rtg
103.4
99.3
Pace
99.8
.268
FTr
.211
.402
3PAr
.423
.594
TS%
.570

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
Consensus
+2.5 (-111)
-2.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
Consensus
+122
-146
+153
-183
+120
-142
+154
-185
+130
-154
+152
-180
+117
-139
+150
-180
+130
-155
+143
-170
+130
-160
+160
-190
+135
-160
+160
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.5 (-113)
218.5 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-108)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-120)
218.5 (-110)