Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

May 7, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Prediction For 5/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 7, 2024
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 3.5 (-110), Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 218
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 140, Oklahoma City Thunder -160

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 40% Dallas Mavericks - 36%
Oklahoma City Thunder - 60% Oklahoma City Thunder - 64%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (54-34) are set to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (61-25) in an exciting Tuesday night matchup to start off their Western Conference second round playoff series. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 9:30 PM ET at the Paycom Center, the Thunder's home arena.

The Thunder, coming off a six-day break since their last game, will have the advantage of extra rest. This could play a crucial role in their performance and boost their chances of securing a victory. As a result, they are considered slight favorites at home.

According to the current spread, the Thunder are favored by 3.5 points. The moneyline stands at -160 for the Thunder and +140 for the Mavericks. Based on the odds, the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 40%, while the Thunder have a 60% chance of winning, according to the sportsbooks.

The Thunder enter the game on a hot streak, having won their last nine consecutive games. This winning momentum could give them a psychological edge heading into the matchup. On the other hand, the Mavericks have been playing solid basketball, winning 28 of their last 40 games.

For those interested in player props, keep an eye on Daniel Gafford's Points, Rebounds, and Assists. This market has been generating significant betting interest, indicating that Gafford's performance could have a significant impact on the outcome of the game.

Sharp bettors are leaning towards the Over for this matchup, believing that the line is mispriced and offers value. The current price for Gafford's Points, Rebounds, and Assists is set at Over 16.5 (-115).

As the Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to battle it out on Tuesday night, NBA fans and sports bettors alike are eagerly anticipating an exciting matchup. Will the Thunder's rest advantage and winning streak propel them to victory, or will the Mavericks continue their strong form and secure a win on the road? Only time will tell as these two teams take the court in a battle for supremacy.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 111.43 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 116.32

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-110
50% DAL
-4.5/-110
50% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+153
20% DAL
-183
80% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-110
9% UN
218.5/-110
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
16
Games
16
43.4
FG
35.9
89.8
FGA
85.3
.483
FG%
.421
12.1
3Pt-FG
12.9
34.6
3Pt-FGA
37.2
.348
3Pt%
.346
31.3
2Pt-FG
23.1
55.2
2Pt-FGA
48.1
.567
2Pt%
.479
17.3
FT
18.9
22.3
FTA
25.8
.775
FT%
.731
11.5
ORB
13.4
32.9
DRB
36.4
44.4
TRB
49.9
25.1
AST
24.6
8.1
STL
7.0
5.1
BLK
4.9
13.0
TOV
20.0
20.9
PF
18.0
116.1
PTS
103.6

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
16
Games
16
39.4
FG
42.3
87.7
FGA
92.6
.449
FG%
.457
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.7
36.5
3Pt-FGA
39.8
.348
3Pt%
.344
26.7
2Pt-FG
28.6
51.2
2Pt-FGA
52.8
.521
2Pt%
.542
18.5
FT
15.9
25.1
FTA
19.4
.736
FT%
.823
12.3
ORB
9.8
31.8
DRB
32.7
44.1
TRB
42.4
26.6
AST
25.3
7.3
STL
12.4
4.4
BLK
7.0
14.4
TOV
11.8
18.9
PF
21.3
109.9
PTS
114.3

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.550
eFG%
.497
11.5
TOV%
17.1
26.6
RB%
70.9
.192
FT/FGA
.221

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.521
eFG%
.531
12.8
TOV%
10.5
72.8
RB%
21.1
.211
FT/FGA
.172

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
16
Games
16
44.1
FG
35.7
91.4
FGA
84.9
.483
FG%
.421
12.3
3Pt-FG
12.8
35.2
3Pt-FGA
37.0
.348
3Pt%
.346
31.9
2Pt-FG
22.9
56.1
2Pt-FGA
47.9
.567
2Pt%
.479
17.5
FT
18.8
22.6
FTA
25.7
.775
FT%
.731
11.7
ORB
13.4
33.4
DRB
36.2
45.1
TRB
49.6
25.5
AST
24.4
8.3
STL
7.0
5.1
BLK
4.8
13.2
TOV
19.9
21.2
PF
17.9
118.1
PTS
103.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
16
Games
16
40.1
FG
42.1
89.2
FGA
92.1
.449
FG%
.457
12.9
3Pt-FG
13.6
37.1
3Pt-FGA
39.6
.348
3Pt%
.344
27.1
2Pt-FG
28.5
52.1
2Pt-FGA
52.5
.521
2Pt%
.542
18.8
FT
15.9
25.6
FTA
19.3
.736
FT%
.823
12.5
ORB
9.7
32.4
DRB
32.5
44.9
TRB
42.2
27.0
AST
25.1
7.4
STL
12.4
4.5
BLK
7.0
14.7
TOV
11.7
19.2
PF
21.2
111.8
PTS
113.6

DAL
Analytics
OKC
11
Pythag Wins
13
5
Pythag Losses
3
6.13
Margin Of Victory
10.63
118.1
O Rtg
113.6
111.8
D Rtg
103.1
98.3
Pace
100.5
.248
FTr
.209
.386
3PAr
.430
.583
TS%
.565

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
Consensus
+2.5 (-111)
-2.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
Consensus
+122
-146
+153
-183
+120
-142
+154
-185
+130
-154
+152
-180
+117
-139
+150
-180
+130
-155
+143
-170
+130
-160
+160
-190
+135
-160
+160
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.5 (-113)
218.5 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-108)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-120)
218.5 (-110)