Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

May 7, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Prediction For 5/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 7, 2024
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Betting Odds

Spread: Dallas Mavericks 3.5 (-110), Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total: 218
Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks 140, Oklahoma City Thunder -160

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 40% Dallas Mavericks - 36%
Oklahoma City Thunder - 60% Oklahoma City Thunder - 64%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (54-34) are set to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (61-25) in an exciting Tuesday night matchup to start off their Western Conference second round playoff series. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 9:30 PM ET at the Paycom Center, the Thunder's home arena.

The Thunder, coming off a six-day break since their last game, will have the advantage of extra rest. This could play a crucial role in their performance and boost their chances of securing a victory. As a result, they are considered slight favorites at home.

According to the current spread, the Thunder are favored by 3.5 points. The moneyline stands at -160 for the Thunder and +140 for the Mavericks. Based on the odds, the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 40%, while the Thunder have a 60% chance of winning, according to the sportsbooks.

The Thunder enter the game on a hot streak, having won their last nine consecutive games. This winning momentum could give them a psychological edge heading into the matchup. On the other hand, the Mavericks have been playing solid basketball, winning 28 of their last 40 games.

For those interested in player props, keep an eye on Daniel Gafford's Points, Rebounds, and Assists. This market has been generating significant betting interest, indicating that Gafford's performance could have a significant impact on the outcome of the game.

Sharp bettors are leaning towards the Over for this matchup, believing that the line is mispriced and offers value. The current price for Gafford's Points, Rebounds, and Assists is set at Over 16.5 (-115).

As the Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to battle it out on Tuesday night, NBA fans and sports bettors alike are eagerly anticipating an exciting matchup. Will the Thunder's rest advantage and winning streak propel them to victory, or will the Mavericks continue their strong form and secure a win on the road? Only time will tell as these two teams take the court in a battle for supremacy.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 111.43 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 116.32

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-110
50% DAL
-4.5/-110
50% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+153
20% DAL
-183
80% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-110
9% UN
218.5/-110
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
45
Games
44
42.0
FG
36.7
87.8
FGA
85.3
.478
FG%
.431
13.0
3Pt-FG
12.4
35.2
3Pt-FGA
38.4
.368
3Pt%
.324
29.0
2Pt-FG
24.3
52.6
2Pt-FGA
46.9
.551
2Pt%
.518
18.4
FT
18.4
23.7
FTA
24.1
.775
FT%
.762
10.8
ORB
12.2
33.7
DRB
34.2
44.5
TRB
46.4
25.1
AST
24.0
8.3
STL
6.7
5.8
BLK
4.8
14.5
TOV
18.8
19.1
PF
18.0
115.3
PTS
104.3

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
45
Games
44
41.0
FG
43.5
90.3
FGA
91.8
.453
FG%
.474
13.0
3Pt-FG
13.8
36.1
3Pt-FGA
38.6
.361
3Pt%
.358
27.9
2Pt-FG
29.6
54.2
2Pt-FGA
53.2
.515
2Pt%
.557
17.0
FT
15.8
22.0
FTA
19.2
.773
FT%
.826
12.0
ORB
10.1
32.4
DRB
33.3
44.4
TRB
43.4
26.2
AST
26.1
8.5
STL
11.4
4.6
BLK
5.7
14.0
TOV
12.1
19.2
PF
20.6
111.9
PTS
116.5

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.552
eFG%
.504
12.9
TOV%
16.4
25.0
RB%
73.2
.209
FT/FGA
.215

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.526
eFG%
.549
12.3
TOV%
10.8
73.8
RB%
22.8
.188
FT/FGA
.172

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
45
Games
44
42.2
FG
36.8
88.3
FGA
85.5
.478
FG%
.431
13.1
3Pt-FG
12.5
35.5
3Pt-FGA
38.5
.368
3Pt%
.324
29.2
2Pt-FG
24.4
52.9
2Pt-FGA
47.0
.551
2Pt%
.518
18.5
FT
18.4
23.9
FTA
24.2
.775
FT%
.762
10.9
ORB
12.2
33.9
DRB
34.2
44.8
TRB
46.5
25.2
AST
24.1
8.3
STL
6.7
5.8
BLK
4.8
14.6
TOV
18.8
19.2
PF
18.0
116.0
PTS
104.5

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
45
Games
44
41.2
FG
43.6
90.9
FGA
92.0
.453
FG%
.474
13.1
3Pt-FG
13.9
36.3
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.361
3Pt%
.358
28.1
2Pt-FG
29.7
54.6
2Pt-FGA
53.3
.515
2Pt%
.557
17.1
FT
15.9
22.1
FTA
19.2
.773
FT%
.826
12.0
ORB
10.1
32.6
DRB
33.4
44.7
TRB
43.5
26.4
AST
26.1
8.6
STL
11.4
4.6
BLK
5.7
14.1
TOV
12.1
19.3
PF
20.6
112.6
PTS
116.8

DAL
Analytics
OKC
27
Pythag Wins
36
18
Pythag Losses
8
3.33
Margin Of Victory
12.30
116.0
O Rtg
116.8
112.6
D Rtg
104.5
99.2
Pace
99.7
.270
FTr
.209
.401
3PAr
.421
.587
TS%
.582

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
Consensus
+2.5 (-111)
-2.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
Consensus
+122
-146
+153
-183
+120
-142
+154
-185
+130
-154
+152
-180
+117
-139
+150
-180
+130
-155
+143
-170
+130
-160
+160
-190
+135
-160
+160
-190
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.5 (-113)
218.5 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-108)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-120)
218.5 (-110)

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