Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

May 7, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder Game 1 Prediction For 5/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

  • Date: May 7, 2024
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Betting Odds

Spread:Dallas Mavericks 3.5 (-110), Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under Total:218
Moneyline:Dallas Mavericks 140, Oklahoma City Thunder -160

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 40%Dallas Mavericks - 36%
Oklahoma City Thunder - 60%Oklahoma City Thunder - 64%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (54-34) are set to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (61-25) in an exciting Tuesday night matchup to start off their Western Conference second round playoff series. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 9:30 PM ET at the Paycom Center, the Thunder's home arena.

The Thunder, coming off a six-day break since their last game, will have the advantage of extra rest. This could play a crucial role in their performance and boost their chances of securing a victory. As a result, they are considered slight favorites at home.

According to the current spread, the Thunder are favored by 3.5 points. The moneyline stands at -160 for the Thunder and +140 for the Mavericks. Based on the odds, the Mavericks have an implied win probability of 40%, while the Thunder have a 60% chance of winning, according to the sportsbooks.

The Thunder enter the game on a hot streak, having won their last nine consecutive games. This winning momentum could give them a psychological edge heading into the matchup. On the other hand, the Mavericks have been playing solid basketball, winning 28 of their last 40 games.

For those interested in player props, keep an eye on Daniel Gafford's Points, Rebounds, and Assists. This market has been generating significant betting interest, indicating that Gafford's performance could have a significant impact on the outcome of the game.

Sharp bettors are leaning towards the Over for this matchup, believing that the line is mispriced and offers value. The current price for Gafford's Points, Rebounds, and Assists is set at Over 16.5 (-115).

As the Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder prepare to battle it out on Tuesday night, NBA fans and sports bettors alike are eagerly anticipating an exciting matchup. Will the Thunder's rest advantage and winning streak propel them to victory, or will the Mavericks continue their strong form and secure a win on the road? Only time will tell as these two teams take the court in a battle for supremacy.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 111.43 vs Oklahoma City Thunder 116.32

Be sure to check out all our free NBA picks here.

Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+4.5/-110
50% DAL
-4.5/-110
50% OKC

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+153
20% DAL
-183
80% OKC

Total Pick Consensus

218.5/-110
9% UN
218.5/-110
91% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
77
Games
76
42.2
FG
37.7
88.2
FGA
86.8
.479
FG%
.435
12.7
3Pt-FG
13.3
34.6
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.368
3Pt%
.340
29.5
2Pt-FG
24.4
53.6
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.551
2Pt%
.512
17.8
FT
18.3
23.0
FTA
23.6
.774
FT%
.775
10.1
ORB
11.6
32.9
DRB
33.2
43.1
TRB
44.8
25.3
AST
24.6
7.8
STL
6.7
5.4
BLK
4.9
13.8
TOV
17.1
18.0
PF
18.3
114.9
PTS
107.0

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
OKC
77
Games
76
42.8
FG
44.5
91.5
FGA
92.5
.468
FG%
.481
12.9
3Pt-FG
14.5
35.5
3Pt-FGA
38.8
.363
3Pt%
.375
30.0
2Pt-FG
30.0
56.0
2Pt-FGA
53.8
.535
2Pt%
.558
16.6
FT
16.8
21.3
FTA
20.5
.780
FT%
.820
12.0
ORB
10.7
33.3
DRB
34.3
45.3
TRB
44.9
27.2
AST
27.0
7.8
STL
10.4
4.6
BLK
5.8
13.4
TOV
11.8
18.7
PF
19.9
115.2
PTS
120.4

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.551
eFG%
.511
12.3
TOV%
15.0
23.4
RB%
74.8
.202
FT/FGA
.211

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
OKC
.539
eFG%
.560
11.7
TOV%
10.4
73.3
RB%
24.3
.181
FT/FGA
.182

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
77
Games
76
42.4
FG
37.7
88.6
FGA
86.7
.479
FG%
.435
12.8
3Pt-FG
13.3
34.8
3Pt-FGA
39.1
.368
3Pt%
.340
29.6
2Pt-FG
24.4
53.8
2Pt-FGA
47.6
.551
2Pt%
.512
17.9
FT
18.3
23.1
FTA
23.6
.774
FT%
.775
10.2
ORB
11.6
33.1
DRB
33.2
43.3
TRB
44.7
25.4
AST
24.6
7.9
STL
6.7
5.5
BLK
4.9
13.8
TOV
17.1
18.1
PF
18.3
115.5
PTS
106.9

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
OKC
77
Games
76
43.0
FG
44.5
91.9
FGA
92.5
.468
FG%
.481
12.9
3Pt-FG
14.5
35.6
3Pt-FGA
38.7
.363
3Pt%
.375
30.1
2Pt-FG
30.0
56.2
2Pt-FGA
53.7
.535
2Pt%
.558
16.7
FT
16.8
21.4
FTA
20.5
.780
FT%
.820
12.1
ORB
10.6
33.4
DRB
34.3
45.5
TRB
44.9
27.3
AST
27.0
7.9
STL
10.4
4.7
BLK
5.8
13.5
TOV
11.8
18.8
PF
19.8
115.7
PTS
120.3

DAL
Analytics
OKC
38
Pythag Wins
64
39
Pythag Losses
12
-0.21
Margin Of Victory
13.39
115.5
O Rtg
120.3
115.7
D Rtg
106.9
99.3
Pace
99.9
.260
FTr
.222
.393
3PAr
.419
.585
TS%
.593

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
Consensus
+2.5 (-111)
-2.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-111)
-4.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-114)
-3.5 (-108)
+4.5 (-114)
-4.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-114)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
Open
Current
Book
DAL OKC
DAL OKC
Consensus
+122
-146
+153
-183
+120
-142
+154
-185
+130
-154
+152
-180
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.5 (-113)
218.5 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
214.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
219.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
216.0 (-110)
219.0 (-112)
219.0 (-108)
213.5 (-110)
213.5 (-110)
218.5 (-112)
218.5 (-109)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-105)
218.5 (-115)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
218.0 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
214.5 (-110)
218.5 (-120)
218.5 (-110)

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