Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

Nov 22, 2024

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets Prediction For 11/22/2024

  • Date: November 22, 2024
  • Venue: Ball Arena


Betting Odds

Spread:Dallas Mavericks 3 (-110), Denver Nuggets -3 (-110)
Over/Under:227
Moneyline:Dallas Mavericks 125, Denver Nuggets -145


Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:Projected Win %:
Dallas Mavericks - 43%Dallas Mavericks - 40%
Denver Nuggets - 57%Denver Nuggets - 60%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks (8-7) are set to face off against the Denver Nuggets (8-5) in an intriguing matchup scheduled for Friday night at 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena. Both teams come into the game with identical rest periods, having last played three days ago. This extra downtime could be beneficial for both squads, allowing players to recover and prepare thoroughly.

The Nuggets are slight favorites at home, with a spread of -3.0 and a moneyline of -140, giving them an implied win probability of 56%. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have a moneyline of +120, translating to a 44% chance of victory. Dallas enters the game on a three-game winning streak, including a dominant 132-91 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans. On the other hand, Denver boasts an impressive five-game home winning streak, further bolstering their status as favorites.

In their last outing, the Nuggets pulled off an upset against the Memphis Grizzlies, winning 122-110 despite being 6.0-point underdogs. This performance highlights their ability to rise to the occasion, especially on their home court.

For those interested in player prop bets, Kyrie Irving's Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) market has garnered significant attention. The line is set at Over 37.5 PRA with odds of -120, suggesting that sharp bettors see value in the over, anticipating a strong performance from Irving.

Both teams have momentum on their side, making this a compelling matchup for fans and bettors alike. With the Mavericks' recent form and the Nuggets' home-court prowess, this game promises to deliver an exciting contest.


Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Final Score: Dallas Mavericks 112.55 vs Denver Nuggets 116.21

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Consensus

Spread Pick Consensus

+3.0/-115
63% DAL
-3.0/-105
37% DEN

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+124
22% DAL
-148
78% DEN

Total Pick Consensus

227.0/-112
13% UN
227.0/-108
87% OV

Stats

  • Team Stats Per Game
  • Team Stats Per 100 Poss
  • Four Factors
  • Analytics

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
15
Games
13
43.2
FG
43.1
89.7
FGA
93.5
.481
FG%
.461
12.2
3Pt-FG
13.3
35.1
3Pt-FGA
39.0
.347
3Pt%
.341
31.0
2Pt-FG
29.8
54.6
2Pt-FGA
54.5
.568
2Pt%
.546
17.0
FT
15.6
21.9
FTA
20.3
.775
FT%
.769
11.5
ORB
12.1
32.9
DRB
32.8
44.4
TRB
44.9
25.1
AST
29.5
7.9
STL
8.2
5.1
BLK
6.8
13.0
TOV
15.1
20.8
PF
21.9
115.6
PTS
115.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per Game
DEN
15
Games
13
39.1
FG
42.3
87.5
FGA
90.3
.447
FG%
.468
12.5
3Pt-FG
12.3
37.0
3Pt-FGA
32.4
.339
3Pt%
.380
26.6
2Pt-FG
30.0
50.5
2Pt-FGA
57.9
.526
2Pt%
.518
18.5
FT
19.6
24.9
FTA
25.4
.743
FT%
.773
12.1
ORB
12.1
32.1
DRB
34.1
44.3
TRB
46.2
26.1
AST
29.6
7.5
STL
9.2
4.2
BLK
4.8
14.4
TOV
14.2
18.9
PF
19.1
109.3
PTS
116.5

Offense/Defense

DAL
Four Factors
DEN
.549
eFG%
.532
11.6
TOV%
12.8
26.3
RB%
73.8
.189
FT/FGA
.167

Defense/Offense

DAL
Four Factors
DEN
.519
eFG%
.537
12.8
TOV%
12.3
73.1
RB%
26.9
.211
FT/FGA
.217

Offense/Defense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
15
Games
13
44.0
FG
42.3
91.4
FGA
91.9
.481
FG%
.461
12.4
3Pt-FG
13.1
35.8
3Pt-FGA
38.3
.347
3Pt%
.341
31.6
2Pt-FG
29.3
55.6
2Pt-FGA
53.6
.568
2Pt%
.546
17.3
FT
15.3
22.3
FTA
20.0
.775
FT%
.769
11.7
ORB
11.9
33.5
DRB
32.3
45.2
TRB
44.2
25.6
AST
29.0
8.1
STL
8.1
5.2
BLK
6.7
13.2
TOV
14.8
21.2
PF
21.5
117.7
PTS
113.1

Defense/Offense

DAL
Team Stats Per 100 Poss
DEN
15
Games
13
39.9
FG
41.6
89.2
FGA
88.8
.447
FG%
.468
12.8
3Pt-FG
12.1
37.7
3Pt-FGA
31.8
.339
3Pt%
.380
27.1
2Pt-FG
29.5
51.5
2Pt-FGA
56.9
.526
2Pt%
.518
18.8
FT
19.3
25.3
FTA
24.9
.743
FT%
.773
12.4
ORB
11.9
32.7
DRB
33.5
45.1
TRB
45.4
26.6
AST
29.1
7.6
STL
9.1
4.3
BLK
4.7
14.7
TOV
14.0
19.2
PF
18.7
111.3
PTS
114.5

DAL
Analytics
DEN
10
Pythag Wins
7
5
Pythag Losses
6
6.33
Margin Of Victory
1.46
117.7
O Rtg
114.5
111.3
D Rtg
113.1
98.2
Pace
100.1
.244
FTr
.281
.392
3PAr
.359
.582
TS%
.574

Odds

  • Spread
  • MoneyLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
DAL DEN
DAL DEN
Consensus
+4.5 (-109)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-109)
-3.0 (-112)
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-115)
-3.0 (-105)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-112)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+4.0 (-107)
-4.0 (-113)
+3.0 (-107)
-3.0 (-114)
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
+3.0 (-110)
-3.0 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
Open
Current
Book
DAL DEN
DAL DEN
Consensus
+164
-198
+126
-150
+164
-198
+124
-148
+168
-200
+128
-152
+148
-177
+128
-152
+162
-195
+122
-145
+145
-175
+125
-150
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
229.5 (-113)
229.5 (-108)
226.5 (-111)
226.5 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
230.0 (-110)
227.0 (-108)
227.0 (-112)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
229.5 (-112)
229.5 (-109)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
226.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
229.5 (-110)
227.5 (-105)
227.5 (-115)