Su Mudaerji and Kevin Borjas will battle in the UFC’s flyweight division on Saturday’s Fight Night card in Shanghai. Both fighters got wins in their last fights and will look for a second straight victory here. Will Su Mudaerji win as a favorite on home soil or will Borjas ruin his moment? Continue reading to get my Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas prediction before Saturday’s action begins.
Our Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas Pick
- Pick: Su Mudaerji to win by decision
- Confidence: 4/5
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Tale of the Tape
| Su Mudaerji | Kevin Borjas | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 27 |
| Reach | 72″ | 68″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Record | 17-7-0 | 10-3-0 |
Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas Preview
Su Mudaerji snapped a three-fight losing streak in his last fight. He defeated Mitch Raposo by split decision in April and will look to build on that result in this fight. The Chinese fighter is one of many participating in this card from Shanghai and he will have the crowd firmly in his favor here. He has lost by submission six times in his career but shouldn’t have to worry about that much against a fighter in Borjas who has never submitted an opponent in MMA.
Borjas is a scrappy up-and-comer from Peru. He possesses respectable power and 80% of his wins have come via knockout. Borjas lost two fights in a row before winning his last fight against Ronaldo Rodriguez by decision in March. But there are concerns about his ability to deliver against higher-quality opponents thanks to how predictable he can be offensively.
Betting Insights
- Moneyline odds have Su Mudaerji as a -180 favorite going into this fight. Borjas is +150 to ruin his homecoming bout.
- This fight is expected to go the distance. The over/under for the fight is set at 2.5 rounds and the over is -270 to cash.
- Su Mudaerji’s last stoppage win came in 2020 in a knockout win over Malcolm Gordon.
- Borjas has yet to register a win via stoppage since joining UFC.
Su Mudaerji vs Kevin Borjas Prediction
No matter which way this fight goes, I expect it to end in a decision. Neither of these flyweights has shown much of an ability to finish their opponents at this level of competition. That will mean that defending and managing stamina will be very important in determining this fight’s outcome.
I think we will see Su Mudaerji get the win in this flyweight matchup. His fighting on home soil is not as important a factor as his ability to defend against Borjas. Borjas’ lack of versatility will allow Su Mudaerji to focus on defending strikes almost exclusively. I expect that to allow the Chinese fighter to gain the upper hand and take this fight in a unanimous decision.
