Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction – 8/23/2025
The Washington Nationals will take on the Philadelphia Phillies in the second game of their three-game series on Saturday. The Nats picked up an upset win over the Phillies in the series opener on Friday night. They will look to deliver another surprising result against the Phillies in this contest. Before the action begins in Philadelphia, continue reading to get my Nationals vs Phillies prediction.
Our Nationals vs Phillies Pick
- Pick: Over 9.5 runs
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 23, 2025, 6:05 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Mitchell Parker (WSH) vs Aaron Nola (PHI)
- Stadium: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBCS-PH and MASN2
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Mitchell Parker has been bombarded in August. He has allowed 22 earned runs, 10 walks, and five homers across four starts this month. Aaron Nola is just back from injury and was shelled last time out. He lasted only 2.1 innings while yielding six earned runs. Neither pitcher inspires confidence in keeping the scoring light tonight.
Key Players
- Riley Adams hit a three-run home run for the Nats on Friday and his power will be important for Washington tonight as well.
- Philadelphia’s bullpen imploded in Friday night’s loss and they will need to be better in this contest.
Recent team streaks
- The Nationals enter this game on a three-game winning streak.
- Philadelphia had a four-game winning streak snapped in Friday’s loss to Washington.
- The Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Trea Turner | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| James Wood | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Phillies lead the season series against the Nationals 6-5 going into this matchup.
- The road team has won three of the last four matchups between these teams.
- The first game of this series went under the total of 9.5 runs.
Nationals vs Phillies Model Projection
Score Projection: Nationals 5 – Phillies 7
Win Probability: Nationals 35% – Phillies 65%
Final Thoughts
Frankly, I’m not sure who wins this game thanks to the inconsistent nature of both starting pitchers. But I think that we can count on a high-scoring game no matter who comes out on top here. Both Parker and Nola have had their share of problems in recent starts and I think their issues will continue here. I’ll take the over in this contest as both offenses should find a way to put runs on the board in this NL East rivalry matchup.
