Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick – 8/24/2025
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals will wrap up their three-game set at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. These teams have split their first two games in Philly this weekend and both will look to claim a series win in Sunday’s rubber match. Continue reading to get my Nationals vs Phillies prediction to see which team I expect that to be.
Our Nationals vs Phillies Pick
- Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 24, 2025, 1:35 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Jake Irvin (Nationals) vs Ranger Suárez (Phillies)
- Stadium: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBCS-PH and MASN2
Key Storylines
- Pitching matchup: Ranger Suárez has a 9-6 record, a 3.25 ERA, and a 1.17 WHIP for the Phillies. He has been a steady hand for Philadelphia and will look to deliver them a win here. Jake Irvin is 8-8 and has a 5.30 ERA for the Nationals. He has struggled through the second half and will have his hands full against a good Phillies lineup here.
- Recent team streaks: The Phillies have won four of their last five games and will look to stay hot with a win in this rubber match. The Nats have won three of their last five games. Washington has a chance to clinch series wins over the Mets and Phillies back-to-back with a win here.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Ranger Suárez | Strikeouts | Over 6.5 |
| James Wood | Total Bases | Under 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Phillies lead the season series 7-5 against the Nationals this year.
- This is the final game on the regular season schedule between these two teams this year.
- The Nationals are 10 games below .500 on the road at 27-37 for the year.
- Philadelphia has dominated at home with a 41-22 record in Philly.
Nationals vs Phillies Model Projection
Score Projection: Phillies 5 – Nationals 3
Win Probability: Phillies 70%, Nationals 30%
Final Thoughts
The Phillies appear to have the advantage all over the field in Sunday’s game against the Nationals. Ranger Suarez should put forth a solid effort and the Philly bullpen has an edge against a Nats bullpen that grades as one of the worst in baseball in 2025. I’ll lay the runline with Philly in this NL East series finale.
