Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction – 9/6/2025
The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees will meet in a huge AL East game on Saturday afternoon. The Blue Jays won the first game of this series on the road and will try to extend their division lead over the Yankees with another win today. New York comes into this game looking to end the Blue Jays’ run of dominance against them this season. Continue reading to get my Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction for Saturday afternoon.
Our Blue Jays vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Yankees moneyline
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 6, 2025, 1:05 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Chris Bassitt vs Luis Gil
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES, Sportsnet, MLB Network
Key Storylines
- Division race: Toronto entered the weekend leading the AL East, with New York within striking distance after a surge and a big road win at Houston earlier this week.
- Season series: Toronto owns an 8-3 edge in 2025 head-to-head meetings.
Pitching matchup
Chris Bassitt will get the start for the Blue Jays today. Bassitt is 11-7 on the year with a 4.10 ERA. He will look to help his team get a second straight win over the Yankees in this huge weekend series from the Bronx.
Luis Gil’s raw stuff is real: upper-90s fastball and a power change that profiles as an out pitch. Toronto grades well against right-handed pitching, so Gil’s ability to get ahead in counts matters. If he’s behind, the Jays’ bats can punish him in fastball counts.
Key Players
- Yankees: Aaron Judge has produced MVP-level work again with 43 HR and 97 RBI, batting .324. Anthony Volpe’s uptick against righties has strengthened the lineup as well.
- Blue Jays: Bo Bichette sits at .311 with 93 RBI, while George Springer’s power has been impactful for Toronto.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 1+ Home Run |
| Luis Gil | 5+ Strikeouts |
| Bo Bichette | 2+ Total Bases |
| George Springer | 1+ Home Run |
Betting Trends & H2H
- H2H 2025: Blue Jays lead 8-3.
- Last 5: Yankees 2-3, Blue Jays 4-1.
- Home/Away 2025: Yankees 41-29 at home, Blue Jays 37-35 away.
Blue Jays vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Blue Jays 4 – Yankees 5
Win Probability: Blue Jays 45% – Yankees 55%
Final Thoughts
Toronto has handled New York this season and grades well against right-handed pitching, which complicates Luis Gil’s path to victory. On the other side, the Yankees’ home form and middle-of-the-order power could cause problems for Bassitt, especially if New York hunts early fastballs and forces him into strike-zone adjustments. Play Yankees on the moneyline and consider a smaller add on the over for this huge game from the Bronx.
