The Texas Rangers and Houston Astros will meet in another huge game on Tuesday night. The AL West race has reached a fever pitch, with both Texas teams in the hunt for playoff spots. They will look for a huge win against one another in this game from Daikin Park in Houston. Before the first pitch from Houston, continue reading to get my thoughts on this matchup and to get my Rangers vs Astros prediction.
Our Rangers vs Astros Pick
- Pick: Rangers Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros
- Date & Time: Tuesday, September 16, 2025, 8:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Merrill Kelly vs AJ Blubaugh
- Stadium: Daikin Park, Houston
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
Key Storylines
- The Astros won the first game of this series at home. That moved Houston to within a half-game of first place in the AL West. They have a chance to overcome the Seattle Mariners in the standings with a win and a Seattle loss on Tuesday.
- Houston is also holding onto the final American League Wild Card spot at this point in time. The Rangers are three games behind them and looking to make up ground late in the regular season.
Pitching matchup
- Merrill Kelly will start this game for Houston. Kelly is 12-7 and has a 3.21 ERA. His 1.06 WHIP is impressive but he has given up over 20 home runs this season and will need to avoid being taken deep by the power bats of the Astros.
- It is a bullpen day for the Astros, as AJ Blubaugh is set to begin the game on the bump for Houston. Blubaugh has a 2.45 ERA for the season and he has only lasted five innings in one appearance this year. He will try to eat up innings and hold the Rangers in check tonight.
Recent team streaks
- The Rangers have lost two games in a row and they can’t afford to keep dropping games.
- Houston has won three of their last four games coming into Tuesday night.
Best Player Props
| Player | Market | Suggested Line |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Adolis García | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Yordan Alvarez | Home Run | Over 0.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Texas leads the season series 6-5 over the Astros.
- The home team has won three of the last four meetings between these teams.
Rangers vs Astros Model Projection
Score Projection: Rangers 4 – Astros 2
Win Probability: Rangers 57%, Astros 43%
Final Thoughts
I am going to take the Texas Rangers to win what feels like a must-win game for them on the road. Merrill Kelly will give the Rangers a chance to win this contest. The question will be whether they can generate enough offense against Blubaugh and the Astros’ pitching staff. I think they will do just enough to win a low-scoring contest from Houston.
