Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Pick – 7/10/2025

The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox will open a four-game series on Thursday at Fenway Park in Boston. Both of these teams are still within striking distance of the top of the AL East standings. But they will need to perform well in this extended weekend series to finish their first halves strong. Continue reading to get our Rays vs Red Sox prediction for Thursday night.

Our Rays vs Red Sox Pick

• Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline
• Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
• Date & Time: July 10, 2025, 7:10 PM
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Rays – Taj Bradley (5-6, 4.79 ERA)
  • Red Sox – Walker Buehler (6-6, 6.25 ERA)
• Stadium: Fenway Park
• Broadcast: MLB Network • NESN • FDSSUN

Key Storylines

• Pitching form: Both of these pitchers have struggled to find their form this season. Taj Bradley has a 5-6 record and a 4.79 ERA. Walker Buehler’s 6.25 ERA is far cry from what we’ve seen from him in the past as well.
• Bullpen usage: Boston’s bullpen ERA is better than that of the Rays. The Sox rank eighth in MLB in bullpen ERA. The Rays are 15th in the league in that category.
• Recent team streaks: Boston has won six games in a row coming into this contest. The Rays won their last game over the Detroit Tigers and are 2-3 in their last five games.

Betting Trends & H2H

• Rays are 2-3 in their last five games; Red Sox are 5-0.
• Boston leads the season series between these teams by a 2-1 margin.
• Both of these teams are 27-28 in night games during the 2025 season.
• Tampa Bay is 22-18 on the road this year. The Red Sox are 28-20 at home.
• Tampa Bay has gone under the total in 56.7% of their games for the year.
• The Rays are four games back of first place in the AL East. Boston trails the first-place Blue Jays by 5.5 games.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Model Projection

Score Projection: Rays 5 – Red Sox 4

Win Probability: Rays 60% • Red Sox 40%

Final Thoughts

Both starting pitchers have shown that they are not consistent throughout this season. But someone does have to win this game. I’ll take the Rays on the road in a pick ’em game. Those who are looking for another angle when betting this contest should consider the over. With both pitchers struggling for form, we could see a high-scoring matchup in the AL East tonight.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor, writer and broadcaster from New York. He is an avid New York Knicks fan and is no longer ashamed to admit it. He is also an avid New York Giants fan, and is very ashamed to admit it. His top sports to handicap are the NBA, WNBA and men’s tennis for some reason. He has watched more UAlbany Great Danes basketball than anyone should consume.