Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Pick – 8/29/2025
The Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Guardians will do battle in Cleveland on Friday night. The Mariners are trying to help their chances in the NL West race with a win and the Guardians are trying to stay in the AL Wild Card hunt. Before these postseason contenders face off in Northeast Ohio, continue reading to get my Mariners vs Guardians prediction for Friday night.
Our Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Pick
- Pick: Over 7.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians
- Date & Time: Friday, August 29, 2025, 7:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: George Kirby (SEA) vs Logan Allen (CLE)
- Stadium: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
- Broadcast: MLB.tv, CLEG, ROOT Sports NW
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
George Kirby brings a 4.05 ERA into this contest over 17 starts. He is averaging 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. He has been worse on the road than he has been at home. His road ERA sits at 5.08 and he will need to be better for Seattle to win here. Logan Allen enters this game with a 4.35 ERA and is prone to issuing walks. Allen has a 2.13 ERA over two career outings versus Seattle. Kirby owns a 6.11 ERA when facing Cleveland.
Key Players
- Mariners: Cal Raleigh leads the league with 50 homers and has 107 RBI. Eugenio Suárez is on a two-game homer streak. Those power bats will help determine the outcome of this contest.
- Guardians: José Ramírez leads Cleveland in batting average, home runs, and RBI and he will be very important to Cleveland’s success tonight.
Recent Team Streaks
Seattle enters on a hot stretch and have won three of their last four games. Cleveland has won two games in a row over the Tampa Bay Rays and they will look for a third win in a row in this matchup.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Prop |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| George Kirby | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 |
| Eugenio Suárez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Seattle leads the regular-season series 3-0 over the Cleveland Guardians.
- Seattle won those three games at home and this will be Cleveland’s first game at home in this season series.
- Seattle is 31-35 on the road for the season. Cleveland is 33-32 at home.
Mariners vs Guardians Model Projection
Score Projection: Mariners 6 – Guardians 5
Win Probability: Mariners 58%, Guardians 42%
Final Thoughts
Both starting pitchers have their vulnerabilities and these offenses should be able to take advantage of that. I think the best bet for this matchup will be the over at 7.5 runs as both lineups should be able to put runs on the board against the starters here.
