Seattle Mariners vs Athletics Prediction – 7/29/2025
The Athletics are set to host the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday night in Sacramento. The Mariners grabbed the first game of this series behind Luis Castillo on the mound. They will look for another win over the A’s thanks to a starting pitching advantage again tonight. Before the first pitch of this AL West rivalry game, continue reading to get my Mariners vs Athletics prediction.
Our Athletics vs Mariners Pick
- Pick: Seattle Mariners Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics |
| Date & Time | July 29, 2025, 10:05 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Logan Evans (SEA) vs. Luis Severino (OAK) |
| Stadium | Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, CA |
| Broadcast | MLB.tv |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Form: Logan Evans will take the mound for the Athletics in this matchup. Evans is 4-3 for the season with a 3.64 ERA. He will face Luis Severino of the A’s. Severino has gone a miserable 4-11 this season with a 4.95 ERA. He has allowed 129 hits in 125.1 innings of work in 2025.
Bullpen Usage: The Athletics have the second-worst bullpen ERA in all of baseball this season. They are ahead of only the Washington Nationals in that category and their late-game pitching issues could impact them in this game as well.
Team Momentum: The A’s had won four games in a row but lost yesterday against the Mariners. The Mariners have won three of their last five games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Evans | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Cal Raleigh | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Julio Rodríguez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- The Mariners hold a 5-3 lead in the season series between these teams.
- The Mariners have won three straight games over the Athletics going into this contest.
- The first game of this series went under the total with only four runs scored.
Mariners vs Athletics Model Projection
Projected Score: Mariners 5 – Athletics 3
Win Probability: Mariners 60% | Athletics 40%
Final Thoughts
The Mariners managed to end the recent winning streak of the Athletics in their last meeting on Monday. I think we see the Mariners win again here. They are more trustworthy in the starting pitching department of this game with Evans taking on a struggling Severino. I expect the Mariners to win their second straight game in Sacramento.
