San Francisco Giants vs New York Yankees Prediction – 4/12/2025

San Francisco Giants vs New York Yankees Betting Preview

As the New York Yankees prepare to face the San Francisco Giants on April 12, 2025, at Yankee Stadium, both teams come into this interleague matchup with strong records. The Yankees sit at 7-6, while the Giants boast a solid 10-3 record this season. Recently, the Yankees have been facing some challenges, which may have been exacerbated by their recent loss to the Giants in the first game of the series.

The projected starting pitchers present an intriguing contrast. Will Warren, ranked as the 164th best starting pitcher in MLB, has struggled with his projections, averaging 5.1 innings pitched while allowing 2.3 earned runs and a troubling 4.5 hits per game. His recent performances have been less than stellar, marked by a tendency to walk batters, averaging 2.0 walks per game. This could be a concern against a Giants lineup that has shown its ability to capitalize on pitching mistakes.

On the other hand, Jordan Hicks comes in with a much stronger projection, ranking as the 50th best starting pitcher. Although he averages just 4.9 innings pitched, his earned run projection remains average at 2.3, and he has a slightly lower hits allowed average at 4.2. However, Hicks also faces issues with walks, averaging 2.6, which could create opportunities for the Yankees if they can be patient at the plate.

With a Game Total set at 8.0 runs, this matchup is expected to be competitive, and with the Yankees' moneyline at -135, they are favored, suggesting that betting markets see them as more likely to win despite their recent setback. Ultimately, the Yankees will need to leverage their home-field advantage and capitalize on any mistakes by Hicks to claim victory in this pivotal game.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

Jordan Hicks's fastball velocity has spiked 2.7 mph this season (97 mph) over where it was last year (94.3 mph).

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Will Warren is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #3 HR venue among all parks — in this game.

• This pitcher's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.

San Francisco Giants vs New York Yankees Prediction

Predicted Final Score: San Francisco Giants 4.28, New York Yankees 4.2

• Date: April 12, 2025
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Jordan Hicks - Giants
  • Will Warren - Yankees

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