San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 1 Prediction – 7/2/2025
Wednesday’s Game 1 between the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies is set for 1:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. With the original July 1 game postponed by rain, both teams shift focus to this early start in what will be a full day of baseball in Philly. The Phillies will start rookie right-hander Mick Abel against veteran righty Nick Pivetta for San Diego. Continue reading to get my Padres vs Phillies Game 1 prediction for Wednesday. Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+ Both teams will try to get as much as possible from their starters in Game 1 to preserve arms for the second game. The Padres have a solid bullpen (3.67 ERA, top 8 in MLB) but even their quality pen will be tested by the power bats of the Phillies during this twin bill. Score Projection: Phillies 4 – Padres 3 Win Probability: Phillies 55%, Padres 45% This Game 1 shapes up as a pitchers’ duel with Pivetta and Abel both demonstrating strong early-season form. Both offenses have cooled lately, and the under has hit frequently for both teams in 2025. We will go the contrarian route here, as the over will likely be a popular play with all of the star power on both sides. The under is the way to play this one in the betting markets.Our Padres vs Phillies Game 1 Pick
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Key Storylines
Pitching Form
Bullpen Usage
Recent Team Streaks
Best Player Props
Player Prop Odds Kyle Schwarber (PHI) Over 0.5 hits –145 Nick Castellanos (PHI) Over 0.5 hits –210 Manny Machado (SD) Over 1.5 hits +180 Betting Trends & H2H
Padres vs Phillies Game 1 Model Projection
Final Thoughts
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