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Zach Eflin

Baltimore Orioles

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Baltimore Orioles

06:35 PM

Apr 2, 2025

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Boston Red Sox

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest.

Given that flyball hitters hold a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Zach Eflin and his 44.7% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard position in this outing matching up with 0 opposing GB batters.

Zach Eflin's 91.8-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 16th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Boston Red Sox bats collectively rank 4th- in MLB for power since the start of last season when assessing with their 92.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Zach Eflin's overall pitching skill ranks in the 83rd percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the Boston Red Sox offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-luckiest offense in the majors since the start of last season.

David Rackley projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #29 park in baseball for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -161

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 128

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Story, Triston Casas, Connor Wong).

David Rackley projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Zach Eflin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Zach Eflin must realize this, because he has gone to his secondary offerings a lot since the start of last season: 63% of the time, placing in the 89th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Given that flyball hitters hold a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Zach Eflin and his 44.7% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard position in this outing matching up with 0 opposing GB batters.

In his previous outing, Zach Eflin didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Zach Eflin's 91.8-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 16th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Placing in the 22nd percentile, Zach Eflin has put up an 18.9% Strikeout% since the start of last season.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Zach Eflin Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-116)
un 5.5 (-117)
ov 5.5 (-115)
un 5.5 (-120)
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Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (109)
un 2.5 (-144)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-145)
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-
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-157)
un 4.5 (118)
ov 4.5 (-155)
un 4.5 (120)
ov 4.5 (-152)
un 4.5 (120)
ov 4.5 (-160)
un 4.5 (116)
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (110)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (150)
un 1.5 (-215)
ov 1.5 (150)
un 1.5 (-215)
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