Tyler Mahle Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -115

Earned Runs 1.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Chicago White Sox offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #6 field in MLB for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.

Given his reverse platoon split, Tyler Mahle will be at a disadvantage squaring off against 6 hitters in the projected offense who share his handedness in today's matchup.

The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Tyler Mahle's overall pitching ability grades out in the 75th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors currently.

The 4th-weakest projected batting order of the day in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the coldest temperature of all games on the slate at 51°.

Tyler Mahle is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #6 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in today's game.

Considering that groundball pitchers have a sizeable advantage over groundball batters, Tyler Mahle and his 42.5% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today's outing going up against 3 opposing GB batters.

Tyler Mahle is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -182

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 140

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Tyler Mahle's overall pitching ability grades out in the 75th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors currently.

The 4th-weakest projected batting order of the day in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the coldest temperature of all games on the slate at 51°.

Tyler Mahle is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #6 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in today's game.

Considering that groundball pitchers have a sizeable advantage over groundball batters, Tyler Mahle and his 42.5% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today's outing going up against 3 opposing GB batters.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Chicago White Sox offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #6 field in MLB for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.

Given his reverse platoon split, Tyler Mahle will be at a disadvantage squaring off against 6 hitters in the projected offense who share his handedness in today's matchup.

The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Tyler Mahle is projected to have 17.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -140

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the coldest temperature of all games on the slate at 51°.

Considering that groundball pitchers have a sizeable advantage over groundball batters, Tyler Mahle and his 42.5% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today's outing going up against 3 opposing GB batters.

Tyler Mahle has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.55 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.57 — a 1.03 K/9 difference.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The #7 stadium in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Given his reverse platoon split, Tyler Mahle will be at a disadvantage squaring off against 6 hitters in the projected offense who share his handedness in today's matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Mahle in today's matchup.

Tyler Mahle's 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 19th percentile out of all starters.

Tyler Mahle is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in today's game.