Shota Imanaga Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 135

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -190

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Quinn Wolcott grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in today's game.

In the majors, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the schedule today at 94°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

With 6 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Shota Imanaga will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 8th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward

Busch Stadium profiles as the #27 park in baseball for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF fences in the league.

Shota Imanaga is an extreme flyball pitcher (43% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #26 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.

The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today.

Shota Imanaga is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 125

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shota Imanaga in the 78th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Because flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Shota Imanaga (43% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today's game with 2 FB hitters in the opposing club's projected batting order.

Shota Imanaga's 2495-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 91st percentile among all starting pitchers.

With a 1.99 difference between Shota Imanaga's 6.85 K/9 and his 8.84 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year in terms of strikeouts and should positively regress going forward.

Shota Imanaga has posted a 12.3% Swinging Strike rate this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shota Imanaga to throw 85 pitches today (6th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Quinn Wolcott grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in today's game.

The #5 venue in the league for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the schedule today at 94°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

Shota Imanaga is projected to have 3.8 Strikeouts in today's game.