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Shota Imanaga

Chicago Cubs

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Milwaukee Brewers

02:10 PM

May 4, 2025

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Chicago Cubs

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -174

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Malachi Moore) calling pitches in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the worst stadium in MLB for batting average.

Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

Shota Imanaga was rolling in his last start and conceded 0 ER.

Among all starters, Shota Imanaga's fastball spin rate of 2489 rpm is in the 91st percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field.

On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Shota Imanaga meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Shota Imanaga (42.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in Milwaukee's projected lineup.

Shota Imanaga is projected to have 17.3 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shota Imanaga in the 77th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Malachi Moore) calling pitches in today's game.

American Family Field projects as the #1 field in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all starters, Shota Imanaga's fastball spin rate of 2489 rpm is in the 91st percentile this year.

Given the 1.9 deviation between Shota Imanaga's 6.92 K/9 and his 8.82 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform better in the future.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 19.9% underlying K%.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Shota Imanaga meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Shota Imanaga (42.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in Milwaukee's projected lineup.

Shota Imanaga is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in American Family Field.

On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Shota Imanaga meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Shota Imanaga (42.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in Milwaukee's projected lineup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Malachi Moore) calling pitches in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the worst stadium in MLB for batting average.

Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

Shota Imanaga was rolling in his last start and conceded 0 ER.

Among all starters, Shota Imanaga's fastball spin rate of 2489 rpm is in the 91st percentile this year.

Shota Imanaga is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Shota Imanaga Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (109)
un 5.5 (-153)
ov 5.5 (105)
un 5.5 (-150)
-
ov 5.5 (105)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-154)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (106)
un 2.5 (-147)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-150)
-
ov 2.5 (105)
un 2.5 (-150)
ov 2.5 (108)
un 2.5 (-148)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-166)
un 17.5 (122)
ov 17.5 (-170)
un 17.5 (125)
ov 17.5 (-174)
un 17.5 (130)
ov 17.5 (-165)
un 17.5 (120)
ov 17.5 (-174)
un 17.5 (126)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (113)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-145)
ov 5.5 (114)
un 5.5 (-146)
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-154)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (139)
un 1.5 (-195)
ov 1.5 (140)
un 1.5 (-195)
-
-
ov 1.5 (139)
un 1.5 (-194)

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