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Shane Baz

Tampa Bay Rays

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Tampa Bay Rays

07:05 PM

Jul 1, 2025

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Athletics

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Todd Tichenor profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate today.

Among all stadiums, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°.

Because of his reverse platoon split, Shane Baz will have a disadvantage facing 6 batters in the projected offense who share his hand in this outing.

The Athletics have done a strong job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 17.8° figure is among the highest in the league this year (#1 overall).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shane Baz in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

The #6 field in the majors for suppressing BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

The 5th-deepest CF dimensions in the majors are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Because flyball batters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Shane Baz (43.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected lineup.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Shane Baz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Shane Baz is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -154

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shane Baz in the 76th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

Recording 92 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Shane Baz checks in at the 79th percentile.

The Athletics have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Muncy, Denzel Clarke, Nicholas Kurtz).

Because flyball batters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Shane Baz (43.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected lineup.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Shane Baz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Todd Tichenor profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°.

Because of his reverse platoon split, Shane Baz will have a disadvantage facing 6 batters in the projected offense who share his hand in this outing.

Shane Baz is projected to have 6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 135

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -175

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shane Baz in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

Recording 92 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Shane Baz checks in at the 79th percentile.

The #6 field in the majors for suppressing BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

The 5th-deepest CF dimensions in the majors are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Because flyball batters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Shane Baz (43.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected lineup.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Todd Tichenor profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate today.

Among all stadiums, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°.

Because of his reverse platoon split, Shane Baz will have a disadvantage facing 6 batters in the projected offense who share his hand in this outing.

The Athletics have done a strong job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 17.8° figure is among the highest in the league this year (#1 overall).

Shane Baz is projected to have 17.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Shane Baz Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-144)
un 4.5 (104)
ov 4.5 (-140)
un 4.5 (100)
-
ov 4.5 (-155)
un 4.5 (110)
ov 4.5 (-148)
un 4.5 (108)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-145)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-183)
un 1.5 (131)
ov 2.5 (130)
un 2.5 (-170)
-
ov 1.5 (-185)
un 1.5 (125)
ov 1.5 (-184)
un 1.5 (133)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-160)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 18.5 (160)
un 18.5 (-224)
ov 17.5 (-160)
un 17.5 (125)
ov 18.5 (168)
un 18.5 (-235)
-
ov 18.5 (152)
un 18.5 (-214)
ov 18.5 (145)
un 18.5 (-190)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (-106)
un 6.5 (-124)
ov 6.5 (-115)
un 6.5 (-110)
ov 6.5 (-106)
un 6.5 (-118)
ov 6.5 (100)
un 6.5 (-130)
ov 6.5 (-106)
un 6.5 (-129)
ov 6.5 (100)
un 6.5 (-130)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-134)
un 1.5 (-106)
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-115)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-142)
un 1.5 (104)
-

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