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Ryne Nelson

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Arizona Diamondbacks

08:10 PM

May 26, 2025

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Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -105

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Joey Bart, Alexander Canario).

Chris Conroy profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Ryne Nelson will hold that advantage today.

Ryne Nelson's 95.3-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 79th percentile among all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryne Nelson to throw 80 pitches in today's game (least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Chase Field grades out as the #26 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Ryne Nelson wasn't on when it came to striking batters out in his last start and accumulated 2 Ks.

Ryne Nelson is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 14.5 over: -234

Pitching Outs 14.5 under: 165

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Chris Conroy profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums.

Chase Field has the 10th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.

Ryne Nelson is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #29 HR venue among all parks today.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryne Nelson to throw 80 pitches in today's game (least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Ryne Nelson's four-seam fastball percentage has risen by 7.1% from last season to this one (56% to 63.1%) .

Ryne Nelson is projected to have 14.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -148

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 108

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

The #3 venue in baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Ryne Nelson's four-seam fastball percentage has risen by 7.1% from last season to this one (56% to 63.1%) .

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Pittsburgh Pirates has been 119.6 mph this year, putting them as the #2 club in MLB by this stat.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Chris Conroy profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums.

Chase Field has the 10th-highest fence height (on average) in the league.

Ryne Nelson is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #29 HR venue among all parks today.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

Ryne Nelson is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Ryne Nelson Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-111)
un 4.5 (-126)
ov 4.5 (-110)
un 4.5 (-130)
-
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-135)
ov 4.5 (-109)
un 4.5 (-125)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-151)
un 1.5 (108)
ov 1.5 (-150)
un 1.5 (110)
-
ov 1.5 (-155)
un 1.5 (105)
ov 1.5 (-148)
un 1.5 (108)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 14.5 (-205)
un 14.5 (147)
ov 14.5 (-195)
un 14.5 (140)
ov 14.5 (-198)
un 14.5 (150)
ov 14.5 (-200)
un 14.5 (135)
ov 14.5 (-234)
un 14.5 (165)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-101)
un 4.5 (-130)
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-120)
ov 4.5 (100)
un 4.5 (-128)
ov 4.5 (100)
un 4.5 (-130)
ov 4.5 (-103)
un 4.5 (-133)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (115)
un 1.5 (-160)
ov 1.5 (105)
un 1.5 (-145)
-
-
ov 1.5 (126)
un 1.5 (-174)

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